Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 96.86 | NA | NA | -0.0218576 | NA |
2 | 96.89 | NA | NA | -0.334462 | NA |
3 | 96.9 | NA | NA | -0.291649 | NA |
4 | 96.94 | NA | NA | -0.265347 | NA |
5 | 96.88 | NA | NA | -0.194462 | NA |
6 | 96.89 | NA | NA | -0.200243 | NA |
7 | 96.89 | 96.7725 | 96.9958 | -0.223316 | 0.117483 |
8 | 96.95 | 96.9684 | 97.0225 | -0.0541493 | -0.0183507 |
9 | 97.03 | 97.1329 | 97.05 | 0.082934 | -0.102934 |
10 | 97.29 | 97.5206 | 97.0779 | 0.442726 | -0.230642 |
11 | 97.12 | 97.6389 | 97.1092 | 0.529757 | -0.518924 |
12 | 97.15 | 97.6751 | 97.145 | 0.530069 | -0.525069 |
13 | 97.18 | 97.1611 | 97.1829 | -0.0218576 | 0.018941 |
14 | 97.21 | 96.8864 | 97.2208 | -0.334462 | 0.323628 |
15 | 97.24 | 96.9638 | 97.2554 | -0.291649 | 0.276233 |
16 | 97.27 | 97.0317 | 97.2971 | -0.265347 | 0.238264 |
17 | 97.3 | 97.1639 | 97.3583 | -0.194462 | 0.136128 |
18 | 97.33 | 97.2306 | 97.4308 | -0.200243 | 0.0994097 |
19 | 97.36 | 97.2796 | 97.5029 | -0.223316 | 0.0803993 |
20 | 97.39 | 97.5146 | 97.5687 | -0.0541493 | -0.124601 |
21 | 97.42 | 97.7188 | 97.6358 | 0.082934 | -0.298767 |
22 | 97.9 | 98.1536 | 97.7108 | 0.442726 | -0.253559 |
23 | 97.98 | 98.3223 | 97.7925 | 0.529757 | -0.342257 |
24 | 98.03 | 98.4113 | 97.8812 | 0.530069 | -0.381319 |
25 | 98.03 | 97.9494 | 97.9713 | -0.0218576 | 0.0806076 |
26 | 97.94 | 97.7255 | 98.06 | -0.334462 | 0.214462 |
27 | 98.12 | 97.8688 | 98.1604 | -0.291649 | 0.251233 |
28 | 98.19 | 98.0072 | 98.2725 | -0.265347 | 0.182847 |
29 | 98.34 | 98.1955 | 98.39 | -0.194462 | 0.144462 |
30 | 98.42 | 98.3143 | 98.5146 | -0.200243 | 0.10566 |
31 | 98.43 | 98.4175 | 98.6408 | -0.223316 | 0.0124826 |
32 | 98.45 | 98.7042 | 98.7583 | -0.0541493 | -0.254184 |
33 | 98.77 | 98.95 | 98.8671 | 0.082934 | -0.180017 |
34 | 99.24 | 99.4177 | 98.975 | 0.442726 | -0.177726 |
35 | 99.46 | 99.6093 | 99.0796 | 0.529757 | -0.14934 |
36 | 99.54 | 99.7109 | 99.1808 | 0.530069 | -0.170903 |
37 | 99.55 | 99.2594 | 99.2812 | -0.0218576 | 0.290608 |
38 | 99.24 | 99.0514 | 99.3858 | -0.334462 | 0.188628 |
39 | 99.43 | 99.1934 | 99.485 | -0.291649 | 0.236649 |
40 | 99.47 | 99.308 | 99.5733 | -0.265347 | 0.162014 |
41 | 99.57 | 99.4664 | 99.6608 | -0.194462 | 0.103628 |
42 | 99.62 | 99.5477 | 99.7479 | -0.200243 | 0.0723264 |
43 | 99.64 | 99.61 | 99.8333 | -0.223316 | 0.0299826 |
44 | 99.75 | 99.8646 | 99.9188 | -0.0541493 | -0.114601 |
45 | 99.85 | 100.08 | 99.9967 | 0.082934 | -0.229601 |
46 | 100.28 | 100.504 | 100.061 | 0.442726 | -0.223976 |
47 | 100.52 | 100.645 | 100.115 | 0.529757 | -0.125174 |
48 | 100.57 | 100.693 | 100.163 | 0.530069 | -0.123403 |
49 | 100.57 | 100.187 | 100.209 | -0.0218576 | 0.382691 |
50 | 100.27 | 99.9322 | 100.267 | -0.334462 | 0.337795 |
51 | 100.27 | 100.045 | 100.337 | -0.291649 | 0.224983 |
52 | 100.18 | 100.139 | 100.404 | -0.265347 | 0.0411806 |
53 | 100.16 | 100.268 | 100.463 | -0.194462 | -0.108455 |
54 | 100.18 | 100.314 | 100.514 | -0.200243 | -0.133507 |
55 | 100.18 | 100.34 | 100.563 | -0.223316 | -0.159601 |
56 | 100.59 | 100.556 | 100.61 | -0.0541493 | 0.0341493 |
57 | 100.69 | 100.743 | 100.66 | 0.082934 | -0.0533507 |
58 | 101.06 | 101.171 | 100.728 | 0.442726 | -0.110642 |
59 | 101.15 | 101.344 | 100.815 | 0.529757 | -0.19434 |
60 | 101.16 | 101.44 | 100.91 | 0.530069 | -0.280069 |
61 | 101.16 | 100.985 | 101.007 | -0.0218576 | 0.174774 |
62 | 100.81 | 100.768 | 101.102 | -0.334462 | 0.0423785 |
63 | 100.94 | 100.913 | 101.205 | -0.291649 | 0.0266493 |
64 | 101.13 | 101.055 | 101.321 | -0.265347 | 0.0745139 |
65 | 101.29 | 101.248 | 101.443 | -0.194462 | 0.0415451 |
66 | 101.34 | 101.371 | 101.571 | -0.200243 | -0.0305903 |
67 | 101.35 | 101.478 | 101.701 | -0.223316 | -0.127934 |
68 | 101.7 | 101.77 | 101.824 | -0.0541493 | -0.0696007 |
69 | 102.05 | 102.017 | 101.934 | 0.082934 | 0.0328993 |
70 | 102.48 | 102.482 | 102.039 | 0.442726 | -0.00189236 |
71 | 102.66 | 102.672 | 102.142 | 0.529757 | -0.0122569 |
72 | 102.72 | 102.777 | 102.247 | 0.530069 | -0.0571528 |
73 | 102.73 | 102.331 | 102.353 | -0.0218576 | 0.398941 |
74 | 102.18 | 102.126 | 102.46 | -0.334462 | 0.0544618 |
75 | 102.22 | 102.269 | 102.561 | -0.291649 | -0.049184 |
76 | 102.37 | 102.385 | 102.651 | -0.265347 | -0.0154861 |
77 | 102.53 | 102.543 | 102.737 | -0.194462 | -0.0126215 |
78 | 102.61 | 102.622 | 102.822 | -0.200243 | -0.0118403 |
79 | 102.62 | 102.509 | 102.732 | -0.223316 | 0.110816 |
80 | 103 | 102.418 | 102.472 | -0.0541493 | 0.582066 |
81 | 103.17 | 102.298 | 102.215 | 0.082934 | 0.872066 |
82 | 103.52 | 102.404 | 101.961 | 0.442726 | 1.11602 |
83 | 103.69 | 102.244 | 101.714 | 0.529757 | 1.44649 |
84 | 103.73 | 101.998 | 101.468 | 0.530069 | 1.7316 |
85 | 99.57 | 101.206 | 101.227 | -0.0218576 | -1.63564 |
86 | 99.09 | 100.657 | 100.991 | -0.334462 | -1.56679 |
87 | 99.14 | 100.468 | 100.759 | -0.291649 | -1.32752 |
88 | 99.36 | 100.271 | 100.536 | -0.265347 | -0.910903 |
89 | 99.6 | 100.126 | 100.32 | -0.194462 | -0.525538 |
90 | 99.65 | 99.9064 | 100.107 | -0.200243 | -0.256424 |
91 | 99.8 | 99.845 | 100.068 | -0.223316 | -0.0450174 |
92 | 100.15 | 100.166 | 100.22 | -0.0541493 | -0.0162674 |
93 | 100.45 | 100.472 | 100.389 | 0.082934 | -0.021684 |
94 | 100.89 | 100.989 | 100.546 | 0.442726 | -0.0989757 |
95 | 101.13 | 101.216 | 100.686 | 0.529757 | -0.0855903 |
96 | 101.17 | 101.345 | 100.815 | 0.530069 | -0.175069 |
97 | 101.21 | 100.902 | 100.924 | -0.0218576 | 0.307691 |
98 | 101.1 | 100.676 | 101.01 | -0.334462 | 0.424045 |
99 | 101.17 | 100.79 | 101.082 | -0.291649 | 0.379566 |
100 | 101.11 | 100.864 | 101.129 | -0.265347 | 0.246181 |
101 | 101.2 | 100.961 | 101.155 | -0.194462 | 0.239462 |
102 | 101.15 | 100.976 | 101.177 | -0.200243 | 0.173576 |
103 | 100.92 | NA | NA | -0.223316 | NA |
104 | 101.1 | NA | NA | -0.0541493 | NA |
105 | 101.22 | NA | NA | 0.082934 | NA |
106 | 101.25 | NA | NA | 0.442726 | NA |
107 | 101.39 | NA | NA | 0.529757 | NA |
108 | 101.43 | NA | NA | 0.530069 | NA |