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rwasp_structuraltimeseries.wasp

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Structural Time Series Models

Date of computation

Thu, 20 Nov 2014 12:37:59 +0000

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Statistical Computations at FreeStatistics.org, Office for Research Development and Education, URL https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?v=date/2014/Nov/20/t14164870859use3jpc27cm8zg.htm/, Retrieved Sun, 19 May 2024 14:58:39 +0000

Statistical Computations at FreeStatistics.org, Office for Research Development and Education, URL https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=257023, Retrieved Sun, 19 May 2024 14:58:39 +0000

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Estimated Impact

Family? (F = Feedback message, R = changed R code, M = changed R Module, P = changed Parameters, D = changed Data)

-     [Univariate Data Series] [data set] [2008-12-01 19:54:57] [b98453cac15ba1066b407e146608df68]
- RMP   [Structural Time Series Models] [Unemployment] [2010-11-30 13:26:46] [b98453cac15ba1066b407e146608df68]
- RMPD      [Structural Time Series Models] [] [2014-11-20 12:37:59] [4bf1efda48b6e8e35beb7b429a900cbb] [Current]
-   PD        [Structural Time Series Models] [] [2014-11-20 14:23:38] [95c11abf048d3a1e472aeccb09199113] 

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Summary of computational transaction
Raw Input	view raw input (R code)
Raw Output	view raw output of R engine
Computing time	3 seconds
R Server	'Gwilym Jenkins' @ jenkins.wessa.net

\begin{tabular}{lllllllll}
\hline
Summary of computational transaction \tabularnewline
Raw Input & view raw input (R code)  \tabularnewline
Raw Output & view raw output of R engine  \tabularnewline
Computing time & 3 seconds \tabularnewline
R Server & 'Gwilym Jenkins' @ jenkins.wessa.net \tabularnewline
\hline
\end{tabular}
%Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=257023&T=0

[TABLE]
[ROW][C]Summary of computational transaction[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]Raw Input[/C][C]view raw input (R code) [/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]Raw Output[/C][C]view raw output of R engine [/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]Computing time[/C][C]3 seconds[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]R Server[/C][C]'Gwilym Jenkins' @ jenkins.wessa.net[/C][/ROW]
[/TABLE]
Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=257023&T=0

Globally Unique Identifier (entire table): ba.freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=257023&T=0

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The GUIDs for individual cells are displayed in the table below:

Summary of computational transaction
Raw Input	view raw input (R code)
Raw Output	view raw output of R engine
Computing time	3 seconds
R Server	'Gwilym Jenkins' @ jenkins.wessa.net

Structural Time Series Model
t	Observed	Level	Slope	Seasonal	Stand. Residuals
1	68.897	68.897	0	0	0
2	38.683	47.31584795514	-0.934542340286412	-8.63284795513998	-3.6627805276772
3	44.72	43.0282906223634	-1.11485570782159	1.69170937763665	-0.648634585108667
4	39.525	40.7727325884187	-1.15428439624787	-1.24773258841866	-0.264734588644925
5	45.315	43.1154638834473	-1.08641585147989	2.19953611655271	0.838747947477594
6	50.38	47.8177487218374	-1.00593298423226	2.56225127816258	1.3898310626084
7	40.6	45.0884800818675	-1.02928578461736	-4.48848008186753	-0.413051692842317
8	36.279	40.0562848766388	-1.08805340825061	-3.77728487663878	-0.957862109222168
9	42.438	40.6890558740851	-1.06088995034634	1.74894412591486	0.411285369307562
10	38.064	39.6805686400089	-1.0600209128725	-1.6165686400089	0.0125138654320783
11	31.879	35.5297928061023	-1.11312859782739	-3.65079280610225	-0.737559933638307
12	11.379	21.8463568370966	-1.33563695365428	-10.4673568370966	-2.99769810422181
13	70.249	34.9951645994466	-1.59207710080523	35.2538354005534	3.72270724638262
14	39.253	41.9283457264899	-1.50877938863519	-2.67534572648992	2.0364688505979
15	47.06	44.8764661608876	-1.3792390052112	2.18353383911243	0.980296615423065
16	41.697	45.6027241224094	-1.31304558483808	-3.90572412240942	0.478074845687306
17	38.708	42.3218857571446	-1.36544222935178	-3.61388575714458	-0.462230064066394
18	49.267	43.4250172621849	-1.31117266004821	5.84198273781514	0.585561067359338
19	39.018	42.7678325859264	-1.29823279301961	-3.74983258592641	0.155231801672105
20	32.228	39.4870078890309	-1.33691149905332	-7.25900788903088	-0.470190225338614
21	40.87	38.2382321100753	-1.33514407763608	2.63176788992465	0.0208847739177475
22	39.383	37.5309758797025	-1.32236359330312	1.85202412029749	0.148655016554578
23	34.571	35.2050224274815	-1.34170801340043	-0.634022427481485	-0.237227889603804
24	12.066	31.8787146709147	-1.37339341334371	-19.8127146709147	-0.469498775554197
25	70.938	35.3521820784923	-1.31453921809346	35.5858179215077	1.16244979371429
26	34.077	37.50645836329	-1.25283528182696	-3.42945836328997	0.818405442004465
27	45.409	40.957510361586	-1.13312710404558	4.45148963841402	1.075366258542
28	40.809	42.9019364931998	-1.04425848235358	-2.09293649319983	0.704099955068355
29	37.013	42.3974309152469	-1.02895281530653	-5.38443091524687	0.125559150660811
30	44.953	40.371540617248	-1.05523913131902	4.58145938275197	-0.234284834439211
31	37.848	39.8969124071168	-1.04088693682971	-2.04891240711682	0.136819013149442
32	32.745	39.5118698941462	-1.02522206308515	-6.76686989414622	0.154530911182693
33	43.412	39.6497662158735	-0.997872206528255	3.76223378412646	0.273815386922061
34	34.931	35.4079226920151	-1.07254849461703	-0.476922692015077	-0.762624663619105
35	33.008	33.2955478844395	-1.09544592228105	-0.287547884439539	-0.244165014693213
36	8.62	31.5948236806889	-1.10804091284488	-22.9748236806889	-0.142340793461268
37	68.906	33.1635942219666	-1.05271125863236	35.7424057780334	0.631230768695341
38	39.556	39.6139168525303	-0.880522025083604	-0.0579168525302638	1.7560410439838
39	50.669	44.5877218283568	-0.727412389638613	6.08127817164318	1.35191351030621
40	36.432	42.04536536563	-0.778660356162142	-5.61336536562996	-0.418002733730371
41	40.891	43.5518199749046	-0.71320034969455	-2.66081997490464	0.530257806689978
42	48.428	43.9907752448685	-0.680961019215969	4.43722475513147	0.269343242657596
43	36.222	41.0801418312417	-0.741254539564211	-4.8581418312417	-0.522860918354252
44	33.425	39.8754194136543	-0.753421302652078	-6.4504194136543	-0.108694977181382
45	39.401	36.2041430313636	-0.82821492320558	3.19685696863642	-0.683531949864236
46	37.967	36.12619154747	-0.809426249138777	1.84080845252997	0.17551766391489
47	34.801	35.3909113374341	-0.8076137126464	-0.589911337434095	0.017338135141443
48	12.657	36.4676070251407	-0.762232072608888	-23.8106070251407	0.441161870059202
49	69.116	37.0978566402312	-0.728263643053002	32.0181433597688	0.32620020696401
50	41.519	40.6552819020315	-0.618740928805641	0.863718097968513	0.999719840709484
51	51.321	43.1513854606948	-0.534429852308442	8.16961453930523	0.721708927291602
52	38.529	44.537559270348	-0.480251122718532	-6.008559270348	0.444015835890805
53	41.547	44.5353465664918	-0.466562549216454	-2.98834656649182	0.110914426482011
54	52.073	45.3446764863045	-0.430265444861793	6.72832351369547	0.297475514382453
55	38.401	43.8618199877256	-0.459685082282265	-5.46081998772558	-0.246049459920832
56	40.898	44.5700381967464	-0.427702348572084	-3.67203819674644	0.273028693066501
57	40.439	40.8888458435885	-0.515089748453624	-0.449845843588506	-0.759705976260369
58	41.888	39.8878902428731	-0.527917275011421	2.00010975712692	-0.11332732711829
59	37.898	39.4732866035179	-0.524964179887676	-1.57528660351786	0.0264291637840085
60	8.771	36.4170650314286	-0.590680747048667	-27.6460650314286	-0.590963445017022
61	68.184	37.0280234579998	-0.559157285110118	31.1559765420002	0.280588067455379
62	50.53	44.4470514393682	-0.344809672870114	6.08294856063181	1.85828684769119
63	47.221	43.129511438047	-0.371697039347128	4.091488561953	-0.225712437104122
64	41.756	45.4435484305097	-0.29578747950765	-3.68754843050967	0.622239961907691
65	45.633	47.606493071292	-0.225571932536874	-1.97349307129204	0.570708818971171
66	48.138	44.409580275057	-0.310311481185558	3.72841972494302	-0.691835236885049
67	39.486	44.1380560077056	-0.309215487379419	-4.65205600770557	0.00904818202658586
68	39.341	42.5368671230007	-0.345257974811817	-3.19586712300073	-0.301399714451764
69	41.117	41.4801142421619	-0.364847656032294	-0.363114242161896	-0.165816141537423
70	41.629	40.0555357279537	-0.39369860858791	1.57346427204632	-0.246768765344252
71	29.722	34.7812811042007	-0.525609657535152	-5.05928110420075	-1.13661252422025
72	7.054	34.7928681367862	-0.511104316923683	-27.7388681367862	0.125201849614467
73	56.676	31.8304227327401	-0.5777366760803	24.8455772672599	-0.571390699277202
74	34.87	29.680825200638	-0.621017337961417	5.18917479936199	-0.365840102659492
75	35.117	30.7186685162706	-0.574652275391043	4.39833148372938	0.385217344678916
76	30.169	32.6739530536605	-0.503071168116453	-2.50495305366049	0.586891469543071
77	30.936	32.1266852691748	-0.504329661171814	-1.19068526917478	-0.01026311155781
78	35.699	31.6867548049068	-0.50249585369067	4.01224519509324	0.0149838193278544
79	33.228	34.250681088834	-0.41560616671526	-1.02268108883405	0.714394123880358
80	27.733	32.3783591764898	-0.456568596866715	-4.64535917648984	-0.33937656283544
81	33.666	32.1160385650586	-0.451151197036127	1.54996143494143	0.0452195758936779
82	35.429	31.5858635651961	-0.453339755818961	3.84313643480395	-0.0183850982266695
83	27.438	31.7133140540133	-0.43732217681036	-4.27531405401335	0.135141055551097
84	8.17	33.0313141192536	-0.388925136259712	-24.8613141192536	0.408677935497557
85	63.41	35.7318060893868	-0.303408283979742	27.6781939106132	0.719378076275009
86	38.04	35.1302572816846	-0.31172002062785	2.9097427183154	-0.0693600086692032
87	45.389	38.6042809400318	-0.205314520430138	6.78471905996821	0.879498289303485
88	37.353	39.7162809739557	-0.168036401241708	-2.3632809739557	0.305826111927152
89	37.024	39.2610604262729	-0.176194109281567	-2.23706042627286	-0.0667107279999698
90	50.957	43.7427432446779	-0.0438450685643674	7.21425675532208	1.0833313597321
91	37.994	41.5274912691477	-0.105379430968977	-3.53349126914766	-0.505462162414488
92	36.454	40.980120457085	-0.117848928002164	-4.52612045708502	-0.102885740930675
93	46.08	42.7708404498308	-0.0642705034512529	3.30915955016921	0.444020404811344
94	43.373	41.6672397209886	-0.0933245452255919	1.7057602790114	-0.24169217667827
95	37.395	42.1781647901969	-0.0764746122490422	-4.78316479019693	0.140532444461971
96	10.963	39.7714818088877	-0.141446869351556	-28.8084818088877	-0.542181814062959
97	76.058	44.1257127689406	-0.0158113892726256	31.9322872310594	1.04616883106766
98	50.179	47.4306435407792	0.0773596753244896	2.74835645922076	0.772335635563049
99	57.452	49.956306924633	0.146363963032328	7.49569307536696	0.568928397395251
100	47.568	50.5978267069845	0.160373029901341	-3.0298267069845	0.115009798592489
101	50.05	52.577796725296	0.211967011505582	-2.52779672529601	0.422778140111883
102	50.856	47.743797283195	0.0688530673701594	3.11220271680502	-1.17333373861742
103	41.992	45.9840035430385	0.0170644078741877	-3.99200354303855	-0.425452639677629
104	39.284	45.0445043918311	-0.00995653913661244	-5.76050439183109	-0.222549843675434
105	44.521	42.6885696804444	-0.0760324478001051	1.83243031955559	-0.545586934142547
106	43.832	42.1089039027117	-0.0901822178637206	1.72309609728833	-0.117091233890132
107	41.153	43.8798340500282	-0.0379697524398259	-2.72683405002816	0.432733409091734
108	17.1	46.6435233251485	0.0406231507445084	-29.5435233251484	0.651628072991544
109	70.487	43.9115441817995	-0.0372541461514065	26.5754558182005	-0.644945081490038
110	43.982	42.8155594169344	-0.0670584131385327	1.16644058306557	-0.24619528817338
111	52.169	43.7943258421503	-0.0375427541318789	8.37467415784968	0.243060214556347
112	40.661	43.8446672633711	-0.035057108233329	-3.18366726337108	0.0204189044856248
113	47.725	45.6841440092557	0.0180281881370498	2.04085599074431	0.435611272256973
114	76.489	59.6518837892464	0.413146775890121	16.8371162107536	3.24329114009959
115	30.251	48.0661169794812	0.0735562407186945	-17.8151169794812	-2.79074911093297
116	33.041	41.0528762691652	-0.126717831281525	-8.0118762691652	-1.64824432781249
117	31.57	34.3734879212516	-0.311583541830243	-2.80348792125162	-1.5235986385985
118	27	29.3718920955847	-0.443705794198873	-2.37189209558475	-1.09027561824441
119	30.129	30.8396793354622	-0.389903597893736	-0.710679335462212	0.444386724161696
120	18.394	39.010933951387	-0.148950432249076	-20.6169339513871	1.99075098267615
121	48.081	30.8411256274771	-0.374858140467684	17.2398743725229	-1.86529374098286
122	32.295	30.0827158404397	-0.385674447445388	2.21228415956031	-0.0891797937527022
123	35.89	29.053825796225	-0.403839280768044	6.83617420377503	-0.149502045754657
124	30.538	32.6247048974178	-0.29145362919353	-2.08670489741782	0.923651103216494
125	30.089	32.9272381071718	-0.274646281633256	-2.83823810717183	0.138047162952687
126	35.285	21.5408244084989	-0.589101530572262	13.7441755915011	-2.58327014798169
127	30.666	31.2673332697565	-0.297306445212171	-0.601333269756498	2.3987432843356
128	28.623	33.3400410539477	-0.230322507873707	-4.71704105394767	0.551104643135672
129	31.504	33.1263204425043	-0.229853745722163	-1.62232044250427	0.00385975676162951
130	36.784	37.1567485779331	-0.109665345794144	-0.372748577933137	0.990327658848811
131	40.659	41.2742186204546	0.00952717285468918	-0.615218620454603	0.982661123687155
132	39.163	49.3065450743373	0.235734832693346	-10.1435450743373	1.86530501499952
133	44.568	38.9922894654472	-0.0618464170426598	5.57571053455282	-2.45306437650477
134	33.625	33.7467333585558	-0.208165391329267	-0.121733358555801	-1.20516908543983
135	29.53	28.1507413345625	-0.360368508863406	1.3792586654375	-1.25234526223074
136	28.479	27.9799455140085	-0.355009476677226	0.499054485991464	0.0440582045603485
137	31.092	29.1133517810387	-0.312915741938101	1.97864821896132	0.345942460524501
138	32.95	26.8676065430181	-0.367582141310221	6.08239345698189	-0.44932374413338
139	29.867	29.0147038273242	-0.296476680182894	0.852296172675753	0.584674876876468
140	25.722	30.4719554577721	-0.246911498559712	-4.74995545777213	0.407746274421153
141	30.214	32.8751439195802	-0.172054435692563	-2.66114391958015	0.616078005770883
142	35.424	36.1502528248264	-0.0747310116301709	-0.726252824826445	0.8012965651639

\begin{tabular}{lllllllll}
\hline
Structural Time Series Model \tabularnewline
t & Observed & Level & Slope & Seasonal & Stand. Residuals \tabularnewline
1 & 68.897 & 68.897 & 0 & 0 & 0 \tabularnewline
2 & 38.683 & 47.31584795514 & -0.934542340286412 & -8.63284795513998 & -3.6627805276772 \tabularnewline
3 & 44.72 & 43.0282906223634 & -1.11485570782159 & 1.69170937763665 & -0.648634585108667 \tabularnewline
4 & 39.525 & 40.7727325884187 & -1.15428439624787 & -1.24773258841866 & -0.264734588644925 \tabularnewline
5 & 45.315 & 43.1154638834473 & -1.08641585147989 & 2.19953611655271 & 0.838747947477594 \tabularnewline
6 & 50.38 & 47.8177487218374 & -1.00593298423226 & 2.56225127816258 & 1.3898310626084 \tabularnewline
7 & 40.6 & 45.0884800818675 & -1.02928578461736 & -4.48848008186753 & -0.413051692842317 \tabularnewline
8 & 36.279 & 40.0562848766388 & -1.08805340825061 & -3.77728487663878 & -0.957862109222168 \tabularnewline
9 & 42.438 & 40.6890558740851 & -1.06088995034634 & 1.74894412591486 & 0.411285369307562 \tabularnewline
10 & 38.064 & 39.6805686400089 & -1.0600209128725 & -1.6165686400089 & 0.0125138654320783 \tabularnewline
11 & 31.879 & 35.5297928061023 & -1.11312859782739 & -3.65079280610225 & -0.737559933638307 \tabularnewline
12 & 11.379 & 21.8463568370966 & -1.33563695365428 & -10.4673568370966 & -2.99769810422181 \tabularnewline
13 & 70.249 & 34.9951645994466 & -1.59207710080523 & 35.2538354005534 & 3.72270724638262 \tabularnewline
14 & 39.253 & 41.9283457264899 & -1.50877938863519 & -2.67534572648992 & 2.0364688505979 \tabularnewline
15 & 47.06 & 44.8764661608876 & -1.3792390052112 & 2.18353383911243 & 0.980296615423065 \tabularnewline
16 & 41.697 & 45.6027241224094 & -1.31304558483808 & -3.90572412240942 & 0.478074845687306 \tabularnewline
17 & 38.708 & 42.3218857571446 & -1.36544222935178 & -3.61388575714458 & -0.462230064066394 \tabularnewline
18 & 49.267 & 43.4250172621849 & -1.31117266004821 & 5.84198273781514 & 0.585561067359338 \tabularnewline
19 & 39.018 & 42.7678325859264 & -1.29823279301961 & -3.74983258592641 & 0.155231801672105 \tabularnewline
20 & 32.228 & 39.4870078890309 & -1.33691149905332 & -7.25900788903088 & -0.470190225338614 \tabularnewline
21 & 40.87 & 38.2382321100753 & -1.33514407763608 & 2.63176788992465 & 0.0208847739177475 \tabularnewline
22 & 39.383 & 37.5309758797025 & -1.32236359330312 & 1.85202412029749 & 0.148655016554578 \tabularnewline
23 & 34.571 & 35.2050224274815 & -1.34170801340043 & -0.634022427481485 & -0.237227889603804 \tabularnewline
24 & 12.066 & 31.8787146709147 & -1.37339341334371 & -19.8127146709147 & -0.469498775554197 \tabularnewline
25 & 70.938 & 35.3521820784923 & -1.31453921809346 & 35.5858179215077 & 1.16244979371429 \tabularnewline
26 & 34.077 & 37.50645836329 & -1.25283528182696 & -3.42945836328997 & 0.818405442004465 \tabularnewline
27 & 45.409 & 40.957510361586 & -1.13312710404558 & 4.45148963841402 & 1.075366258542 \tabularnewline
28 & 40.809 & 42.9019364931998 & -1.04425848235358 & -2.09293649319983 & 0.704099955068355 \tabularnewline
29 & 37.013 & 42.3974309152469 & -1.02895281530653 & -5.38443091524687 & 0.125559150660811 \tabularnewline
30 & 44.953 & 40.371540617248 & -1.05523913131902 & 4.58145938275197 & -0.234284834439211 \tabularnewline
31 & 37.848 & 39.8969124071168 & -1.04088693682971 & -2.04891240711682 & 0.136819013149442 \tabularnewline
32 & 32.745 & 39.5118698941462 & -1.02522206308515 & -6.76686989414622 & 0.154530911182693 \tabularnewline
33 & 43.412 & 39.6497662158735 & -0.997872206528255 & 3.76223378412646 & 0.273815386922061 \tabularnewline
34 & 34.931 & 35.4079226920151 & -1.07254849461703 & -0.476922692015077 & -0.762624663619105 \tabularnewline
35 & 33.008 & 33.2955478844395 & -1.09544592228105 & -0.287547884439539 & -0.244165014693213 \tabularnewline
36 & 8.62 & 31.5948236806889 & -1.10804091284488 & -22.9748236806889 & -0.142340793461268 \tabularnewline
37 & 68.906 & 33.1635942219666 & -1.05271125863236 & 35.7424057780334 & 0.631230768695341 \tabularnewline
38 & 39.556 & 39.6139168525303 & -0.880522025083604 & -0.0579168525302638 & 1.7560410439838 \tabularnewline
39 & 50.669 & 44.5877218283568 & -0.727412389638613 & 6.08127817164318 & 1.35191351030621 \tabularnewline
40 & 36.432 & 42.04536536563 & -0.778660356162142 & -5.61336536562996 & -0.418002733730371 \tabularnewline
41 & 40.891 & 43.5518199749046 & -0.71320034969455 & -2.66081997490464 & 0.530257806689978 \tabularnewline
42 & 48.428 & 43.9907752448685 & -0.680961019215969 & 4.43722475513147 & 0.269343242657596 \tabularnewline
43 & 36.222 & 41.0801418312417 & -0.741254539564211 & -4.8581418312417 & -0.522860918354252 \tabularnewline
44 & 33.425 & 39.8754194136543 & -0.753421302652078 & -6.4504194136543 & -0.108694977181382 \tabularnewline
45 & 39.401 & 36.2041430313636 & -0.82821492320558 & 3.19685696863642 & -0.683531949864236 \tabularnewline
46 & 37.967 & 36.12619154747 & -0.809426249138777 & 1.84080845252997 & 0.17551766391489 \tabularnewline
47 & 34.801 & 35.3909113374341 & -0.8076137126464 & -0.589911337434095 & 0.017338135141443 \tabularnewline
48 & 12.657 & 36.4676070251407 & -0.762232072608888 & -23.8106070251407 & 0.441161870059202 \tabularnewline
49 & 69.116 & 37.0978566402312 & -0.728263643053002 & 32.0181433597688 & 0.32620020696401 \tabularnewline
50 & 41.519 & 40.6552819020315 & -0.618740928805641 & 0.863718097968513 & 0.999719840709484 \tabularnewline
51 & 51.321 & 43.1513854606948 & -0.534429852308442 & 8.16961453930523 & 0.721708927291602 \tabularnewline
52 & 38.529 & 44.537559270348 & -0.480251122718532 & -6.008559270348 & 0.444015835890805 \tabularnewline
53 & 41.547 & 44.5353465664918 & -0.466562549216454 & -2.98834656649182 & 0.110914426482011 \tabularnewline
54 & 52.073 & 45.3446764863045 & -0.430265444861793 & 6.72832351369547 & 0.297475514382453 \tabularnewline
55 & 38.401 & 43.8618199877256 & -0.459685082282265 & -5.46081998772558 & -0.246049459920832 \tabularnewline
56 & 40.898 & 44.5700381967464 & -0.427702348572084 & -3.67203819674644 & 0.273028693066501 \tabularnewline
57 & 40.439 & 40.8888458435885 & -0.515089748453624 & -0.449845843588506 & -0.759705976260369 \tabularnewline
58 & 41.888 & 39.8878902428731 & -0.527917275011421 & 2.00010975712692 & -0.11332732711829 \tabularnewline
59 & 37.898 & 39.4732866035179 & -0.524964179887676 & -1.57528660351786 & 0.0264291637840085 \tabularnewline
60 & 8.771 & 36.4170650314286 & -0.590680747048667 & -27.6460650314286 & -0.590963445017022 \tabularnewline
61 & 68.184 & 37.0280234579998 & -0.559157285110118 & 31.1559765420002 & 0.280588067455379 \tabularnewline
62 & 50.53 & 44.4470514393682 & -0.344809672870114 & 6.08294856063181 & 1.85828684769119 \tabularnewline
63 & 47.221 & 43.129511438047 & -0.371697039347128 & 4.091488561953 & -0.225712437104122 \tabularnewline
64 & 41.756 & 45.4435484305097 & -0.29578747950765 & -3.68754843050967 & 0.622239961907691 \tabularnewline
65 & 45.633 & 47.606493071292 & -0.225571932536874 & -1.97349307129204 & 0.570708818971171 \tabularnewline
66 & 48.138 & 44.409580275057 & -0.310311481185558 & 3.72841972494302 & -0.691835236885049 \tabularnewline
67 & 39.486 & 44.1380560077056 & -0.309215487379419 & -4.65205600770557 & 0.00904818202658586 \tabularnewline
68 & 39.341 & 42.5368671230007 & -0.345257974811817 & -3.19586712300073 & -0.301399714451764 \tabularnewline
69 & 41.117 & 41.4801142421619 & -0.364847656032294 & -0.363114242161896 & -0.165816141537423 \tabularnewline
70 & 41.629 & 40.0555357279537 & -0.39369860858791 & 1.57346427204632 & -0.246768765344252 \tabularnewline
71 & 29.722 & 34.7812811042007 & -0.525609657535152 & -5.05928110420075 & -1.13661252422025 \tabularnewline
72 & 7.054 & 34.7928681367862 & -0.511104316923683 & -27.7388681367862 & 0.125201849614467 \tabularnewline
73 & 56.676 & 31.8304227327401 & -0.5777366760803 & 24.8455772672599 & -0.571390699277202 \tabularnewline
74 & 34.87 & 29.680825200638 & -0.621017337961417 & 5.18917479936199 & -0.365840102659492 \tabularnewline
75 & 35.117 & 30.7186685162706 & -0.574652275391043 & 4.39833148372938 & 0.385217344678916 \tabularnewline
76 & 30.169 & 32.6739530536605 & -0.503071168116453 & -2.50495305366049 & 0.586891469543071 \tabularnewline
77 & 30.936 & 32.1266852691748 & -0.504329661171814 & -1.19068526917478 & -0.01026311155781 \tabularnewline
78 & 35.699 & 31.6867548049068 & -0.50249585369067 & 4.01224519509324 & 0.0149838193278544 \tabularnewline
79 & 33.228 & 34.250681088834 & -0.41560616671526 & -1.02268108883405 & 0.714394123880358 \tabularnewline
80 & 27.733 & 32.3783591764898 & -0.456568596866715 & -4.64535917648984 & -0.33937656283544 \tabularnewline
81 & 33.666 & 32.1160385650586 & -0.451151197036127 & 1.54996143494143 & 0.0452195758936779 \tabularnewline
82 & 35.429 & 31.5858635651961 & -0.453339755818961 & 3.84313643480395 & -0.0183850982266695 \tabularnewline
83 & 27.438 & 31.7133140540133 & -0.43732217681036 & -4.27531405401335 & 0.135141055551097 \tabularnewline
84 & 8.17 & 33.0313141192536 & -0.388925136259712 & -24.8613141192536 & 0.408677935497557 \tabularnewline
85 & 63.41 & 35.7318060893868 & -0.303408283979742 & 27.6781939106132 & 0.719378076275009 \tabularnewline
86 & 38.04 & 35.1302572816846 & -0.31172002062785 & 2.9097427183154 & -0.0693600086692032 \tabularnewline
87 & 45.389 & 38.6042809400318 & -0.205314520430138 & 6.78471905996821 & 0.879498289303485 \tabularnewline
88 & 37.353 & 39.7162809739557 & -0.168036401241708 & -2.3632809739557 & 0.305826111927152 \tabularnewline
89 & 37.024 & 39.2610604262729 & -0.176194109281567 & -2.23706042627286 & -0.0667107279999698 \tabularnewline
90 & 50.957 & 43.7427432446779 & -0.0438450685643674 & 7.21425675532208 & 1.0833313597321 \tabularnewline
91 & 37.994 & 41.5274912691477 & -0.105379430968977 & -3.53349126914766 & -0.505462162414488 \tabularnewline
92 & 36.454 & 40.980120457085 & -0.117848928002164 & -4.52612045708502 & -0.102885740930675 \tabularnewline
93 & 46.08 & 42.7708404498308 & -0.0642705034512529 & 3.30915955016921 & 0.444020404811344 \tabularnewline
94 & 43.373 & 41.6672397209886 & -0.0933245452255919 & 1.7057602790114 & -0.24169217667827 \tabularnewline
95 & 37.395 & 42.1781647901969 & -0.0764746122490422 & -4.78316479019693 & 0.140532444461971 \tabularnewline
96 & 10.963 & 39.7714818088877 & -0.141446869351556 & -28.8084818088877 & -0.542181814062959 \tabularnewline
97 & 76.058 & 44.1257127689406 & -0.0158113892726256 & 31.9322872310594 & 1.04616883106766 \tabularnewline
98 & 50.179 & 47.4306435407792 & 0.0773596753244896 & 2.74835645922076 & 0.772335635563049 \tabularnewline
99 & 57.452 & 49.956306924633 & 0.146363963032328 & 7.49569307536696 & 0.568928397395251 \tabularnewline
100 & 47.568 & 50.5978267069845 & 0.160373029901341 & -3.0298267069845 & 0.115009798592489 \tabularnewline
101 & 50.05 & 52.577796725296 & 0.211967011505582 & -2.52779672529601 & 0.422778140111883 \tabularnewline
102 & 50.856 & 47.743797283195 & 0.0688530673701594 & 3.11220271680502 & -1.17333373861742 \tabularnewline
103 & 41.992 & 45.9840035430385 & 0.0170644078741877 & -3.99200354303855 & -0.425452639677629 \tabularnewline
104 & 39.284 & 45.0445043918311 & -0.00995653913661244 & -5.76050439183109 & -0.222549843675434 \tabularnewline
105 & 44.521 & 42.6885696804444 & -0.0760324478001051 & 1.83243031955559 & -0.545586934142547 \tabularnewline
106 & 43.832 & 42.1089039027117 & -0.0901822178637206 & 1.72309609728833 & -0.117091233890132 \tabularnewline
107 & 41.153 & 43.8798340500282 & -0.0379697524398259 & -2.72683405002816 & 0.432733409091734 \tabularnewline
108 & 17.1 & 46.6435233251485 & 0.0406231507445084 & -29.5435233251484 & 0.651628072991544 \tabularnewline
109 & 70.487 & 43.9115441817995 & -0.0372541461514065 & 26.5754558182005 & -0.644945081490038 \tabularnewline
110 & 43.982 & 42.8155594169344 & -0.0670584131385327 & 1.16644058306557 & -0.24619528817338 \tabularnewline
111 & 52.169 & 43.7943258421503 & -0.0375427541318789 & 8.37467415784968 & 0.243060214556347 \tabularnewline
112 & 40.661 & 43.8446672633711 & -0.035057108233329 & -3.18366726337108 & 0.0204189044856248 \tabularnewline
113 & 47.725 & 45.6841440092557 & 0.0180281881370498 & 2.04085599074431 & 0.435611272256973 \tabularnewline
114 & 76.489 & 59.6518837892464 & 0.413146775890121 & 16.8371162107536 & 3.24329114009959 \tabularnewline
115 & 30.251 & 48.0661169794812 & 0.0735562407186945 & -17.8151169794812 & -2.79074911093297 \tabularnewline
116 & 33.041 & 41.0528762691652 & -0.126717831281525 & -8.0118762691652 & -1.64824432781249 \tabularnewline
117 & 31.57 & 34.3734879212516 & -0.311583541830243 & -2.80348792125162 & -1.5235986385985 \tabularnewline
118 & 27 & 29.3718920955847 & -0.443705794198873 & -2.37189209558475 & -1.09027561824441 \tabularnewline
119 & 30.129 & 30.8396793354622 & -0.389903597893736 & -0.710679335462212 & 0.444386724161696 \tabularnewline
120 & 18.394 & 39.010933951387 & -0.148950432249076 & -20.6169339513871 & 1.99075098267615 \tabularnewline
121 & 48.081 & 30.8411256274771 & -0.374858140467684 & 17.2398743725229 & -1.86529374098286 \tabularnewline
122 & 32.295 & 30.0827158404397 & -0.385674447445388 & 2.21228415956031 & -0.0891797937527022 \tabularnewline
123 & 35.89 & 29.053825796225 & -0.403839280768044 & 6.83617420377503 & -0.149502045754657 \tabularnewline
124 & 30.538 & 32.6247048974178 & -0.29145362919353 & -2.08670489741782 & 0.923651103216494 \tabularnewline
125 & 30.089 & 32.9272381071718 & -0.274646281633256 & -2.83823810717183 & 0.138047162952687 \tabularnewline
126 & 35.285 & 21.5408244084989 & -0.589101530572262 & 13.7441755915011 & -2.58327014798169 \tabularnewline
127 & 30.666 & 31.2673332697565 & -0.297306445212171 & -0.601333269756498 & 2.3987432843356 \tabularnewline
128 & 28.623 & 33.3400410539477 & -0.230322507873707 & -4.71704105394767 & 0.551104643135672 \tabularnewline
129 & 31.504 & 33.1263204425043 & -0.229853745722163 & -1.62232044250427 & 0.00385975676162951 \tabularnewline
130 & 36.784 & 37.1567485779331 & -0.109665345794144 & -0.372748577933137 & 0.990327658848811 \tabularnewline
131 & 40.659 & 41.2742186204546 & 0.00952717285468918 & -0.615218620454603 & 0.982661123687155 \tabularnewline
132 & 39.163 & 49.3065450743373 & 0.235734832693346 & -10.1435450743373 & 1.86530501499952 \tabularnewline
133 & 44.568 & 38.9922894654472 & -0.0618464170426598 & 5.57571053455282 & -2.45306437650477 \tabularnewline
134 & 33.625 & 33.7467333585558 & -0.208165391329267 & -0.121733358555801 & -1.20516908543983 \tabularnewline
135 & 29.53 & 28.1507413345625 & -0.360368508863406 & 1.3792586654375 & -1.25234526223074 \tabularnewline
136 & 28.479 & 27.9799455140085 & -0.355009476677226 & 0.499054485991464 & 0.0440582045603485 \tabularnewline
137 & 31.092 & 29.1133517810387 & -0.312915741938101 & 1.97864821896132 & 0.345942460524501 \tabularnewline
138 & 32.95 & 26.8676065430181 & -0.367582141310221 & 6.08239345698189 & -0.44932374413338 \tabularnewline
139 & 29.867 & 29.0147038273242 & -0.296476680182894 & 0.852296172675753 & 0.584674876876468 \tabularnewline
140 & 25.722 & 30.4719554577721 & -0.246911498559712 & -4.74995545777213 & 0.407746274421153 \tabularnewline
141 & 30.214 & 32.8751439195802 & -0.172054435692563 & -2.66114391958015 & 0.616078005770883 \tabularnewline
142 & 35.424 & 36.1502528248264 & -0.0747310116301709 & -0.726252824826445 & 0.8012965651639 \tabularnewline
\hline
\end{tabular}
%Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=257023&T=1

[TABLE]
[ROW][C]Structural Time Series Model[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]t[/C][C]Observed[/C][C]Level[/C][C]Slope[/C][C]Seasonal[/C][C]Stand. Residuals[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]1[/C][C]68.897[/C][C]68.897[/C][C]0[/C][C]0[/C][C]0[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]2[/C][C]38.683[/C][C]47.31584795514[/C][C]-0.934542340286412[/C][C]-8.63284795513998[/C][C]-3.6627805276772[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]3[/C][C]44.72[/C][C]43.0282906223634[/C][C]-1.11485570782159[/C][C]1.69170937763665[/C][C]-0.648634585108667[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]4[/C][C]39.525[/C][C]40.7727325884187[/C][C]-1.15428439624787[/C][C]-1.24773258841866[/C][C]-0.264734588644925[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]5[/C][C]45.315[/C][C]43.1154638834473[/C][C]-1.08641585147989[/C][C]2.19953611655271[/C][C]0.838747947477594[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]6[/C][C]50.38[/C][C]47.8177487218374[/C][C]-1.00593298423226[/C][C]2.56225127816258[/C][C]1.3898310626084[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]7[/C][C]40.6[/C][C]45.0884800818675[/C][C]-1.02928578461736[/C][C]-4.48848008186753[/C][C]-0.413051692842317[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]8[/C][C]36.279[/C][C]40.0562848766388[/C][C]-1.08805340825061[/C][C]-3.77728487663878[/C][C]-0.957862109222168[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]9[/C][C]42.438[/C][C]40.6890558740851[/C][C]-1.06088995034634[/C][C]1.74894412591486[/C][C]0.411285369307562[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]10[/C][C]38.064[/C][C]39.6805686400089[/C][C]-1.0600209128725[/C][C]-1.6165686400089[/C][C]0.0125138654320783[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]11[/C][C]31.879[/C][C]35.5297928061023[/C][C]-1.11312859782739[/C][C]-3.65079280610225[/C][C]-0.737559933638307[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]12[/C][C]11.379[/C][C]21.8463568370966[/C][C]-1.33563695365428[/C][C]-10.4673568370966[/C][C]-2.99769810422181[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]13[/C][C]70.249[/C][C]34.9951645994466[/C][C]-1.59207710080523[/C][C]35.2538354005534[/C][C]3.72270724638262[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]14[/C][C]39.253[/C][C]41.9283457264899[/C][C]-1.50877938863519[/C][C]-2.67534572648992[/C][C]2.0364688505979[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]15[/C][C]47.06[/C][C]44.8764661608876[/C][C]-1.3792390052112[/C][C]2.18353383911243[/C][C]0.980296615423065[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]16[/C][C]41.697[/C][C]45.6027241224094[/C][C]-1.31304558483808[/C][C]-3.90572412240942[/C][C]0.478074845687306[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]17[/C][C]38.708[/C][C]42.3218857571446[/C][C]-1.36544222935178[/C][C]-3.61388575714458[/C][C]-0.462230064066394[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]18[/C][C]49.267[/C][C]43.4250172621849[/C][C]-1.31117266004821[/C][C]5.84198273781514[/C][C]0.585561067359338[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]19[/C][C]39.018[/C][C]42.7678325859264[/C][C]-1.29823279301961[/C][C]-3.74983258592641[/C][C]0.155231801672105[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]20[/C][C]32.228[/C][C]39.4870078890309[/C][C]-1.33691149905332[/C][C]-7.25900788903088[/C][C]-0.470190225338614[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]21[/C][C]40.87[/C][C]38.2382321100753[/C][C]-1.33514407763608[/C][C]2.63176788992465[/C][C]0.0208847739177475[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]22[/C][C]39.383[/C][C]37.5309758797025[/C][C]-1.32236359330312[/C][C]1.85202412029749[/C][C]0.148655016554578[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]23[/C][C]34.571[/C][C]35.2050224274815[/C][C]-1.34170801340043[/C][C]-0.634022427481485[/C][C]-0.237227889603804[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]24[/C][C]12.066[/C][C]31.8787146709147[/C][C]-1.37339341334371[/C][C]-19.8127146709147[/C][C]-0.469498775554197[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]25[/C][C]70.938[/C][C]35.3521820784923[/C][C]-1.31453921809346[/C][C]35.5858179215077[/C][C]1.16244979371429[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]26[/C][C]34.077[/C][C]37.50645836329[/C][C]-1.25283528182696[/C][C]-3.42945836328997[/C][C]0.818405442004465[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]27[/C][C]45.409[/C][C]40.957510361586[/C][C]-1.13312710404558[/C][C]4.45148963841402[/C][C]1.075366258542[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]28[/C][C]40.809[/C][C]42.9019364931998[/C][C]-1.04425848235358[/C][C]-2.09293649319983[/C][C]0.704099955068355[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]29[/C][C]37.013[/C][C]42.3974309152469[/C][C]-1.02895281530653[/C][C]-5.38443091524687[/C][C]0.125559150660811[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]30[/C][C]44.953[/C][C]40.371540617248[/C][C]-1.05523913131902[/C][C]4.58145938275197[/C][C]-0.234284834439211[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]31[/C][C]37.848[/C][C]39.8969124071168[/C][C]-1.04088693682971[/C][C]-2.04891240711682[/C][C]0.136819013149442[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]32[/C][C]32.745[/C][C]39.5118698941462[/C][C]-1.02522206308515[/C][C]-6.76686989414622[/C][C]0.154530911182693[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]33[/C][C]43.412[/C][C]39.6497662158735[/C][C]-0.997872206528255[/C][C]3.76223378412646[/C][C]0.273815386922061[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]34[/C][C]34.931[/C][C]35.4079226920151[/C][C]-1.07254849461703[/C][C]-0.476922692015077[/C][C]-0.762624663619105[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]35[/C][C]33.008[/C][C]33.2955478844395[/C][C]-1.09544592228105[/C][C]-0.287547884439539[/C][C]-0.244165014693213[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]36[/C][C]8.62[/C][C]31.5948236806889[/C][C]-1.10804091284488[/C][C]-22.9748236806889[/C][C]-0.142340793461268[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]37[/C][C]68.906[/C][C]33.1635942219666[/C][C]-1.05271125863236[/C][C]35.7424057780334[/C][C]0.631230768695341[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]38[/C][C]39.556[/C][C]39.6139168525303[/C][C]-0.880522025083604[/C][C]-0.0579168525302638[/C][C]1.7560410439838[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]39[/C][C]50.669[/C][C]44.5877218283568[/C][C]-0.727412389638613[/C][C]6.08127817164318[/C][C]1.35191351030621[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]40[/C][C]36.432[/C][C]42.04536536563[/C][C]-0.778660356162142[/C][C]-5.61336536562996[/C][C]-0.418002733730371[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]41[/C][C]40.891[/C][C]43.5518199749046[/C][C]-0.71320034969455[/C][C]-2.66081997490464[/C][C]0.530257806689978[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]42[/C][C]48.428[/C][C]43.9907752448685[/C][C]-0.680961019215969[/C][C]4.43722475513147[/C][C]0.269343242657596[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]43[/C][C]36.222[/C][C]41.0801418312417[/C][C]-0.741254539564211[/C][C]-4.8581418312417[/C][C]-0.522860918354252[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]44[/C][C]33.425[/C][C]39.8754194136543[/C][C]-0.753421302652078[/C][C]-6.4504194136543[/C][C]-0.108694977181382[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]45[/C][C]39.401[/C][C]36.2041430313636[/C][C]-0.82821492320558[/C][C]3.19685696863642[/C][C]-0.683531949864236[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]46[/C][C]37.967[/C][C]36.12619154747[/C][C]-0.809426249138777[/C][C]1.84080845252997[/C][C]0.17551766391489[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]47[/C][C]34.801[/C][C]35.3909113374341[/C][C]-0.8076137126464[/C][C]-0.589911337434095[/C][C]0.017338135141443[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]48[/C][C]12.657[/C][C]36.4676070251407[/C][C]-0.762232072608888[/C][C]-23.8106070251407[/C][C]0.441161870059202[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]49[/C][C]69.116[/C][C]37.0978566402312[/C][C]-0.728263643053002[/C][C]32.0181433597688[/C][C]0.32620020696401[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]50[/C][C]41.519[/C][C]40.6552819020315[/C][C]-0.618740928805641[/C][C]0.863718097968513[/C][C]0.999719840709484[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]51[/C][C]51.321[/C][C]43.1513854606948[/C][C]-0.534429852308442[/C][C]8.16961453930523[/C][C]0.721708927291602[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]52[/C][C]38.529[/C][C]44.537559270348[/C][C]-0.480251122718532[/C][C]-6.008559270348[/C][C]0.444015835890805[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]53[/C][C]41.547[/C][C]44.5353465664918[/C][C]-0.466562549216454[/C][C]-2.98834656649182[/C][C]0.110914426482011[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]54[/C][C]52.073[/C][C]45.3446764863045[/C][C]-0.430265444861793[/C][C]6.72832351369547[/C][C]0.297475514382453[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]55[/C][C]38.401[/C][C]43.8618199877256[/C][C]-0.459685082282265[/C][C]-5.46081998772558[/C][C]-0.246049459920832[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]56[/C][C]40.898[/C][C]44.5700381967464[/C][C]-0.427702348572084[/C][C]-3.67203819674644[/C][C]0.273028693066501[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]57[/C][C]40.439[/C][C]40.8888458435885[/C][C]-0.515089748453624[/C][C]-0.449845843588506[/C][C]-0.759705976260369[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]58[/C][C]41.888[/C][C]39.8878902428731[/C][C]-0.527917275011421[/C][C]2.00010975712692[/C][C]-0.11332732711829[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]59[/C][C]37.898[/C][C]39.4732866035179[/C][C]-0.524964179887676[/C][C]-1.57528660351786[/C][C]0.0264291637840085[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]60[/C][C]8.771[/C][C]36.4170650314286[/C][C]-0.590680747048667[/C][C]-27.6460650314286[/C][C]-0.590963445017022[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]61[/C][C]68.184[/C][C]37.0280234579998[/C][C]-0.559157285110118[/C][C]31.1559765420002[/C][C]0.280588067455379[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]62[/C][C]50.53[/C][C]44.4470514393682[/C][C]-0.344809672870114[/C][C]6.08294856063181[/C][C]1.85828684769119[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]63[/C][C]47.221[/C][C]43.129511438047[/C][C]-0.371697039347128[/C][C]4.091488561953[/C][C]-0.225712437104122[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]64[/C][C]41.756[/C][C]45.4435484305097[/C][C]-0.29578747950765[/C][C]-3.68754843050967[/C][C]0.622239961907691[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]65[/C][C]45.633[/C][C]47.606493071292[/C][C]-0.225571932536874[/C][C]-1.97349307129204[/C][C]0.570708818971171[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]66[/C][C]48.138[/C][C]44.409580275057[/C][C]-0.310311481185558[/C][C]3.72841972494302[/C][C]-0.691835236885049[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]67[/C][C]39.486[/C][C]44.1380560077056[/C][C]-0.309215487379419[/C][C]-4.65205600770557[/C][C]0.00904818202658586[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]68[/C][C]39.341[/C][C]42.5368671230007[/C][C]-0.345257974811817[/C][C]-3.19586712300073[/C][C]-0.301399714451764[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]69[/C][C]41.117[/C][C]41.4801142421619[/C][C]-0.364847656032294[/C][C]-0.363114242161896[/C][C]-0.165816141537423[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]70[/C][C]41.629[/C][C]40.0555357279537[/C][C]-0.39369860858791[/C][C]1.57346427204632[/C][C]-0.246768765344252[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]71[/C][C]29.722[/C][C]34.7812811042007[/C][C]-0.525609657535152[/C][C]-5.05928110420075[/C][C]-1.13661252422025[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]72[/C][C]7.054[/C][C]34.7928681367862[/C][C]-0.511104316923683[/C][C]-27.7388681367862[/C][C]0.125201849614467[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]73[/C][C]56.676[/C][C]31.8304227327401[/C][C]-0.5777366760803[/C][C]24.8455772672599[/C][C]-0.571390699277202[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]74[/C][C]34.87[/C][C]29.680825200638[/C][C]-0.621017337961417[/C][C]5.18917479936199[/C][C]-0.365840102659492[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]75[/C][C]35.117[/C][C]30.7186685162706[/C][C]-0.574652275391043[/C][C]4.39833148372938[/C][C]0.385217344678916[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]76[/C][C]30.169[/C][C]32.6739530536605[/C][C]-0.503071168116453[/C][C]-2.50495305366049[/C][C]0.586891469543071[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]77[/C][C]30.936[/C][C]32.1266852691748[/C][C]-0.504329661171814[/C][C]-1.19068526917478[/C][C]-0.01026311155781[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]78[/C][C]35.699[/C][C]31.6867548049068[/C][C]-0.50249585369067[/C][C]4.01224519509324[/C][C]0.0149838193278544[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]79[/C][C]33.228[/C][C]34.250681088834[/C][C]-0.41560616671526[/C][C]-1.02268108883405[/C][C]0.714394123880358[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]80[/C][C]27.733[/C][C]32.3783591764898[/C][C]-0.456568596866715[/C][C]-4.64535917648984[/C][C]-0.33937656283544[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]81[/C][C]33.666[/C][C]32.1160385650586[/C][C]-0.451151197036127[/C][C]1.54996143494143[/C][C]0.0452195758936779[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]82[/C][C]35.429[/C][C]31.5858635651961[/C][C]-0.453339755818961[/C][C]3.84313643480395[/C][C]-0.0183850982266695[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]83[/C][C]27.438[/C][C]31.7133140540133[/C][C]-0.43732217681036[/C][C]-4.27531405401335[/C][C]0.135141055551097[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]84[/C][C]8.17[/C][C]33.0313141192536[/C][C]-0.388925136259712[/C][C]-24.8613141192536[/C][C]0.408677935497557[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]85[/C][C]63.41[/C][C]35.7318060893868[/C][C]-0.303408283979742[/C][C]27.6781939106132[/C][C]0.719378076275009[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]86[/C][C]38.04[/C][C]35.1302572816846[/C][C]-0.31172002062785[/C][C]2.9097427183154[/C][C]-0.0693600086692032[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]87[/C][C]45.389[/C][C]38.6042809400318[/C][C]-0.205314520430138[/C][C]6.78471905996821[/C][C]0.879498289303485[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]88[/C][C]37.353[/C][C]39.7162809739557[/C][C]-0.168036401241708[/C][C]-2.3632809739557[/C][C]0.305826111927152[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]89[/C][C]37.024[/C][C]39.2610604262729[/C][C]-0.176194109281567[/C][C]-2.23706042627286[/C][C]-0.0667107279999698[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]90[/C][C]50.957[/C][C]43.7427432446779[/C][C]-0.0438450685643674[/C][C]7.21425675532208[/C][C]1.0833313597321[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]91[/C][C]37.994[/C][C]41.5274912691477[/C][C]-0.105379430968977[/C][C]-3.53349126914766[/C][C]-0.505462162414488[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]92[/C][C]36.454[/C][C]40.980120457085[/C][C]-0.117848928002164[/C][C]-4.52612045708502[/C][C]-0.102885740930675[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]93[/C][C]46.08[/C][C]42.7708404498308[/C][C]-0.0642705034512529[/C][C]3.30915955016921[/C][C]0.444020404811344[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]94[/C][C]43.373[/C][C]41.6672397209886[/C][C]-0.0933245452255919[/C][C]1.7057602790114[/C][C]-0.24169217667827[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]95[/C][C]37.395[/C][C]42.1781647901969[/C][C]-0.0764746122490422[/C][C]-4.78316479019693[/C][C]0.140532444461971[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]96[/C][C]10.963[/C][C]39.7714818088877[/C][C]-0.141446869351556[/C][C]-28.8084818088877[/C][C]-0.542181814062959[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]97[/C][C]76.058[/C][C]44.1257127689406[/C][C]-0.0158113892726256[/C][C]31.9322872310594[/C][C]1.04616883106766[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]98[/C][C]50.179[/C][C]47.4306435407792[/C][C]0.0773596753244896[/C][C]2.74835645922076[/C][C]0.772335635563049[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]99[/C][C]57.452[/C][C]49.956306924633[/C][C]0.146363963032328[/C][C]7.49569307536696[/C][C]0.568928397395251[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]100[/C][C]47.568[/C][C]50.5978267069845[/C][C]0.160373029901341[/C][C]-3.0298267069845[/C][C]0.115009798592489[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]101[/C][C]50.05[/C][C]52.577796725296[/C][C]0.211967011505582[/C][C]-2.52779672529601[/C][C]0.422778140111883[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]102[/C][C]50.856[/C][C]47.743797283195[/C][C]0.0688530673701594[/C][C]3.11220271680502[/C][C]-1.17333373861742[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]103[/C][C]41.992[/C][C]45.9840035430385[/C][C]0.0170644078741877[/C][C]-3.99200354303855[/C][C]-0.425452639677629[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]104[/C][C]39.284[/C][C]45.0445043918311[/C][C]-0.00995653913661244[/C][C]-5.76050439183109[/C][C]-0.222549843675434[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]105[/C][C]44.521[/C][C]42.6885696804444[/C][C]-0.0760324478001051[/C][C]1.83243031955559[/C][C]-0.545586934142547[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]106[/C][C]43.832[/C][C]42.1089039027117[/C][C]-0.0901822178637206[/C][C]1.72309609728833[/C][C]-0.117091233890132[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]107[/C][C]41.153[/C][C]43.8798340500282[/C][C]-0.0379697524398259[/C][C]-2.72683405002816[/C][C]0.432733409091734[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]108[/C][C]17.1[/C][C]46.6435233251485[/C][C]0.0406231507445084[/C][C]-29.5435233251484[/C][C]0.651628072991544[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]109[/C][C]70.487[/C][C]43.9115441817995[/C][C]-0.0372541461514065[/C][C]26.5754558182005[/C][C]-0.644945081490038[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]110[/C][C]43.982[/C][C]42.8155594169344[/C][C]-0.0670584131385327[/C][C]1.16644058306557[/C][C]-0.24619528817338[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]111[/C][C]52.169[/C][C]43.7943258421503[/C][C]-0.0375427541318789[/C][C]8.37467415784968[/C][C]0.243060214556347[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]112[/C][C]40.661[/C][C]43.8446672633711[/C][C]-0.035057108233329[/C][C]-3.18366726337108[/C][C]0.0204189044856248[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]113[/C][C]47.725[/C][C]45.6841440092557[/C][C]0.0180281881370498[/C][C]2.04085599074431[/C][C]0.435611272256973[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]114[/C][C]76.489[/C][C]59.6518837892464[/C][C]0.413146775890121[/C][C]16.8371162107536[/C][C]3.24329114009959[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]115[/C][C]30.251[/C][C]48.0661169794812[/C][C]0.0735562407186945[/C][C]-17.8151169794812[/C][C]-2.79074911093297[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]116[/C][C]33.041[/C][C]41.0528762691652[/C][C]-0.126717831281525[/C][C]-8.0118762691652[/C][C]-1.64824432781249[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]117[/C][C]31.57[/C][C]34.3734879212516[/C][C]-0.311583541830243[/C][C]-2.80348792125162[/C][C]-1.5235986385985[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]118[/C][C]27[/C][C]29.3718920955847[/C][C]-0.443705794198873[/C][C]-2.37189209558475[/C][C]-1.09027561824441[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]119[/C][C]30.129[/C][C]30.8396793354622[/C][C]-0.389903597893736[/C][C]-0.710679335462212[/C][C]0.444386724161696[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]120[/C][C]18.394[/C][C]39.010933951387[/C][C]-0.148950432249076[/C][C]-20.6169339513871[/C][C]1.99075098267615[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]121[/C][C]48.081[/C][C]30.8411256274771[/C][C]-0.374858140467684[/C][C]17.2398743725229[/C][C]-1.86529374098286[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]122[/C][C]32.295[/C][C]30.0827158404397[/C][C]-0.385674447445388[/C][C]2.21228415956031[/C][C]-0.0891797937527022[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]123[/C][C]35.89[/C][C]29.053825796225[/C][C]-0.403839280768044[/C][C]6.83617420377503[/C][C]-0.149502045754657[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]124[/C][C]30.538[/C][C]32.6247048974178[/C][C]-0.29145362919353[/C][C]-2.08670489741782[/C][C]0.923651103216494[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]125[/C][C]30.089[/C][C]32.9272381071718[/C][C]-0.274646281633256[/C][C]-2.83823810717183[/C][C]0.138047162952687[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]126[/C][C]35.285[/C][C]21.5408244084989[/C][C]-0.589101530572262[/C][C]13.7441755915011[/C][C]-2.58327014798169[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]127[/C][C]30.666[/C][C]31.2673332697565[/C][C]-0.297306445212171[/C][C]-0.601333269756498[/C][C]2.3987432843356[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]128[/C][C]28.623[/C][C]33.3400410539477[/C][C]-0.230322507873707[/C][C]-4.71704105394767[/C][C]0.551104643135672[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]129[/C][C]31.504[/C][C]33.1263204425043[/C][C]-0.229853745722163[/C][C]-1.62232044250427[/C][C]0.00385975676162951[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]130[/C][C]36.784[/C][C]37.1567485779331[/C][C]-0.109665345794144[/C][C]-0.372748577933137[/C][C]0.990327658848811[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]131[/C][C]40.659[/C][C]41.2742186204546[/C][C]0.00952717285468918[/C][C]-0.615218620454603[/C][C]0.982661123687155[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]132[/C][C]39.163[/C][C]49.3065450743373[/C][C]0.235734832693346[/C][C]-10.1435450743373[/C][C]1.86530501499952[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]133[/C][C]44.568[/C][C]38.9922894654472[/C][C]-0.0618464170426598[/C][C]5.57571053455282[/C][C]-2.45306437650477[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]134[/C][C]33.625[/C][C]33.7467333585558[/C][C]-0.208165391329267[/C][C]-0.121733358555801[/C][C]-1.20516908543983[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]135[/C][C]29.53[/C][C]28.1507413345625[/C][C]-0.360368508863406[/C][C]1.3792586654375[/C][C]-1.25234526223074[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]136[/C][C]28.479[/C][C]27.9799455140085[/C][C]-0.355009476677226[/C][C]0.499054485991464[/C][C]0.0440582045603485[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]137[/C][C]31.092[/C][C]29.1133517810387[/C][C]-0.312915741938101[/C][C]1.97864821896132[/C][C]0.345942460524501[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]138[/C][C]32.95[/C][C]26.8676065430181[/C][C]-0.367582141310221[/C][C]6.08239345698189[/C][C]-0.44932374413338[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]139[/C][C]29.867[/C][C]29.0147038273242[/C][C]-0.296476680182894[/C][C]0.852296172675753[/C][C]0.584674876876468[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]140[/C][C]25.722[/C][C]30.4719554577721[/C][C]-0.246911498559712[/C][C]-4.74995545777213[/C][C]0.407746274421153[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]141[/C][C]30.214[/C][C]32.8751439195802[/C][C]-0.172054435692563[/C][C]-2.66114391958015[/C][C]0.616078005770883[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]142[/C][C]35.424[/C][C]36.1502528248264[/C][C]-0.0747310116301709[/C][C]-0.726252824826445[/C][C]0.8012965651639[/C][/ROW]
[/TABLE]
Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=257023&T=1

Globally Unique Identifier (entire table): ba.freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=257023&T=1

As an alternative you can also use a QR Code:

The GUIDs for individual cells are displayed in the table below:

Structural Time Series Model
t	Observed	Level	Slope	Seasonal	Stand. Residuals
1	68.897	68.897	0	0	0
2	38.683	47.31584795514	-0.934542340286412	-8.63284795513998	-3.6627805276772
3	44.72	43.0282906223634	-1.11485570782159	1.69170937763665	-0.648634585108667
4	39.525	40.7727325884187	-1.15428439624787	-1.24773258841866	-0.264734588644925
5	45.315	43.1154638834473	-1.08641585147989	2.19953611655271	0.838747947477594
6	50.38	47.8177487218374	-1.00593298423226	2.56225127816258	1.3898310626084
7	40.6	45.0884800818675	-1.02928578461736	-4.48848008186753	-0.413051692842317
8	36.279	40.0562848766388	-1.08805340825061	-3.77728487663878	-0.957862109222168
9	42.438	40.6890558740851	-1.06088995034634	1.74894412591486	0.411285369307562
10	38.064	39.6805686400089	-1.0600209128725	-1.6165686400089	0.0125138654320783
11	31.879	35.5297928061023	-1.11312859782739	-3.65079280610225	-0.737559933638307
12	11.379	21.8463568370966	-1.33563695365428	-10.4673568370966	-2.99769810422181
13	70.249	34.9951645994466	-1.59207710080523	35.2538354005534	3.72270724638262
14	39.253	41.9283457264899	-1.50877938863519	-2.67534572648992	2.0364688505979
15	47.06	44.8764661608876	-1.3792390052112	2.18353383911243	0.980296615423065
16	41.697	45.6027241224094	-1.31304558483808	-3.90572412240942	0.478074845687306
17	38.708	42.3218857571446	-1.36544222935178	-3.61388575714458	-0.462230064066394
18	49.267	43.4250172621849	-1.31117266004821	5.84198273781514	0.585561067359338
19	39.018	42.7678325859264	-1.29823279301961	-3.74983258592641	0.155231801672105
20	32.228	39.4870078890309	-1.33691149905332	-7.25900788903088	-0.470190225338614
21	40.87	38.2382321100753	-1.33514407763608	2.63176788992465	0.0208847739177475
22	39.383	37.5309758797025	-1.32236359330312	1.85202412029749	0.148655016554578
23	34.571	35.2050224274815	-1.34170801340043	-0.634022427481485	-0.237227889603804
24	12.066	31.8787146709147	-1.37339341334371	-19.8127146709147	-0.469498775554197
25	70.938	35.3521820784923	-1.31453921809346	35.5858179215077	1.16244979371429
26	34.077	37.50645836329	-1.25283528182696	-3.42945836328997	0.818405442004465
27	45.409	40.957510361586	-1.13312710404558	4.45148963841402	1.075366258542
28	40.809	42.9019364931998	-1.04425848235358	-2.09293649319983	0.704099955068355
29	37.013	42.3974309152469	-1.02895281530653	-5.38443091524687	0.125559150660811
30	44.953	40.371540617248	-1.05523913131902	4.58145938275197	-0.234284834439211
31	37.848	39.8969124071168	-1.04088693682971	-2.04891240711682	0.136819013149442
32	32.745	39.5118698941462	-1.02522206308515	-6.76686989414622	0.154530911182693
33	43.412	39.6497662158735	-0.997872206528255	3.76223378412646	0.273815386922061
34	34.931	35.4079226920151	-1.07254849461703	-0.476922692015077	-0.762624663619105
35	33.008	33.2955478844395	-1.09544592228105	-0.287547884439539	-0.244165014693213
36	8.62	31.5948236806889	-1.10804091284488	-22.9748236806889	-0.142340793461268
37	68.906	33.1635942219666	-1.05271125863236	35.7424057780334	0.631230768695341
38	39.556	39.6139168525303	-0.880522025083604	-0.0579168525302638	1.7560410439838
39	50.669	44.5877218283568	-0.727412389638613	6.08127817164318	1.35191351030621
40	36.432	42.04536536563	-0.778660356162142	-5.61336536562996	-0.418002733730371
41	40.891	43.5518199749046	-0.71320034969455	-2.66081997490464	0.530257806689978
42	48.428	43.9907752448685	-0.680961019215969	4.43722475513147	0.269343242657596
43	36.222	41.0801418312417	-0.741254539564211	-4.8581418312417	-0.522860918354252
44	33.425	39.8754194136543	-0.753421302652078	-6.4504194136543	-0.108694977181382
45	39.401	36.2041430313636	-0.82821492320558	3.19685696863642	-0.683531949864236
46	37.967	36.12619154747	-0.809426249138777	1.84080845252997	0.17551766391489
47	34.801	35.3909113374341	-0.8076137126464	-0.589911337434095	0.017338135141443
48	12.657	36.4676070251407	-0.762232072608888	-23.8106070251407	0.441161870059202
49	69.116	37.0978566402312	-0.728263643053002	32.0181433597688	0.32620020696401
50	41.519	40.6552819020315	-0.618740928805641	0.863718097968513	0.999719840709484
51	51.321	43.1513854606948	-0.534429852308442	8.16961453930523	0.721708927291602
52	38.529	44.537559270348	-0.480251122718532	-6.008559270348	0.444015835890805
53	41.547	44.5353465664918	-0.466562549216454	-2.98834656649182	0.110914426482011
54	52.073	45.3446764863045	-0.430265444861793	6.72832351369547	0.297475514382453
55	38.401	43.8618199877256	-0.459685082282265	-5.46081998772558	-0.246049459920832
56	40.898	44.5700381967464	-0.427702348572084	-3.67203819674644	0.273028693066501
57	40.439	40.8888458435885	-0.515089748453624	-0.449845843588506	-0.759705976260369
58	41.888	39.8878902428731	-0.527917275011421	2.00010975712692	-0.11332732711829
59	37.898	39.4732866035179	-0.524964179887676	-1.57528660351786	0.0264291637840085
60	8.771	36.4170650314286	-0.590680747048667	-27.6460650314286	-0.590963445017022
61	68.184	37.0280234579998	-0.559157285110118	31.1559765420002	0.280588067455379
62	50.53	44.4470514393682	-0.344809672870114	6.08294856063181	1.85828684769119
63	47.221	43.129511438047	-0.371697039347128	4.091488561953	-0.225712437104122
64	41.756	45.4435484305097	-0.29578747950765	-3.68754843050967	0.622239961907691
65	45.633	47.606493071292	-0.225571932536874	-1.97349307129204	0.570708818971171
66	48.138	44.409580275057	-0.310311481185558	3.72841972494302	-0.691835236885049
67	39.486	44.1380560077056	-0.309215487379419	-4.65205600770557	0.00904818202658586
68	39.341	42.5368671230007	-0.345257974811817	-3.19586712300073	-0.301399714451764
69	41.117	41.4801142421619	-0.364847656032294	-0.363114242161896	-0.165816141537423
70	41.629	40.0555357279537	-0.39369860858791	1.57346427204632	-0.246768765344252
71	29.722	34.7812811042007	-0.525609657535152	-5.05928110420075	-1.13661252422025
72	7.054	34.7928681367862	-0.511104316923683	-27.7388681367862	0.125201849614467
73	56.676	31.8304227327401	-0.5777366760803	24.8455772672599	-0.571390699277202
74	34.87	29.680825200638	-0.621017337961417	5.18917479936199	-0.365840102659492
75	35.117	30.7186685162706	-0.574652275391043	4.39833148372938	0.385217344678916
76	30.169	32.6739530536605	-0.503071168116453	-2.50495305366049	0.586891469543071
77	30.936	32.1266852691748	-0.504329661171814	-1.19068526917478	-0.01026311155781
78	35.699	31.6867548049068	-0.50249585369067	4.01224519509324	0.0149838193278544
79	33.228	34.250681088834	-0.41560616671526	-1.02268108883405	0.714394123880358
80	27.733	32.3783591764898	-0.456568596866715	-4.64535917648984	-0.33937656283544
81	33.666	32.1160385650586	-0.451151197036127	1.54996143494143	0.0452195758936779
82	35.429	31.5858635651961	-0.453339755818961	3.84313643480395	-0.0183850982266695
83	27.438	31.7133140540133	-0.43732217681036	-4.27531405401335	0.135141055551097
84	8.17	33.0313141192536	-0.388925136259712	-24.8613141192536	0.408677935497557
85	63.41	35.7318060893868	-0.303408283979742	27.6781939106132	0.719378076275009
86	38.04	35.1302572816846	-0.31172002062785	2.9097427183154	-0.0693600086692032
87	45.389	38.6042809400318	-0.205314520430138	6.78471905996821	0.879498289303485
88	37.353	39.7162809739557	-0.168036401241708	-2.3632809739557	0.305826111927152
89	37.024	39.2610604262729	-0.176194109281567	-2.23706042627286	-0.0667107279999698
90	50.957	43.7427432446779	-0.0438450685643674	7.21425675532208	1.0833313597321
91	37.994	41.5274912691477	-0.105379430968977	-3.53349126914766	-0.505462162414488
92	36.454	40.980120457085	-0.117848928002164	-4.52612045708502	-0.102885740930675
93	46.08	42.7708404498308	-0.0642705034512529	3.30915955016921	0.444020404811344
94	43.373	41.6672397209886	-0.0933245452255919	1.7057602790114	-0.24169217667827
95	37.395	42.1781647901969	-0.0764746122490422	-4.78316479019693	0.140532444461971
96	10.963	39.7714818088877	-0.141446869351556	-28.8084818088877	-0.542181814062959
97	76.058	44.1257127689406	-0.0158113892726256	31.9322872310594	1.04616883106766
98	50.179	47.4306435407792	0.0773596753244896	2.74835645922076	0.772335635563049
99	57.452	49.956306924633	0.146363963032328	7.49569307536696	0.568928397395251
100	47.568	50.5978267069845	0.160373029901341	-3.0298267069845	0.115009798592489
101	50.05	52.577796725296	0.211967011505582	-2.52779672529601	0.422778140111883
102	50.856	47.743797283195	0.0688530673701594	3.11220271680502	-1.17333373861742
103	41.992	45.9840035430385	0.0170644078741877	-3.99200354303855	-0.425452639677629
104	39.284	45.0445043918311	-0.00995653913661244	-5.76050439183109	-0.222549843675434
105	44.521	42.6885696804444	-0.0760324478001051	1.83243031955559	-0.545586934142547
106	43.832	42.1089039027117	-0.0901822178637206	1.72309609728833	-0.117091233890132
107	41.153	43.8798340500282	-0.0379697524398259	-2.72683405002816	0.432733409091734
108	17.1	46.6435233251485	0.0406231507445084	-29.5435233251484	0.651628072991544
109	70.487	43.9115441817995	-0.0372541461514065	26.5754558182005	-0.644945081490038
110	43.982	42.8155594169344	-0.0670584131385327	1.16644058306557	-0.24619528817338
111	52.169	43.7943258421503	-0.0375427541318789	8.37467415784968	0.243060214556347
112	40.661	43.8446672633711	-0.035057108233329	-3.18366726337108	0.0204189044856248
113	47.725	45.6841440092557	0.0180281881370498	2.04085599074431	0.435611272256973
114	76.489	59.6518837892464	0.413146775890121	16.8371162107536	3.24329114009959
115	30.251	48.0661169794812	0.0735562407186945	-17.8151169794812	-2.79074911093297
116	33.041	41.0528762691652	-0.126717831281525	-8.0118762691652	-1.64824432781249
117	31.57	34.3734879212516	-0.311583541830243	-2.80348792125162	-1.5235986385985
118	27	29.3718920955847	-0.443705794198873	-2.37189209558475	-1.09027561824441
119	30.129	30.8396793354622	-0.389903597893736	-0.710679335462212	0.444386724161696
120	18.394	39.010933951387	-0.148950432249076	-20.6169339513871	1.99075098267615
121	48.081	30.8411256274771	-0.374858140467684	17.2398743725229	-1.86529374098286
122	32.295	30.0827158404397	-0.385674447445388	2.21228415956031	-0.0891797937527022
123	35.89	29.053825796225	-0.403839280768044	6.83617420377503	-0.149502045754657
124	30.538	32.6247048974178	-0.29145362919353	-2.08670489741782	0.923651103216494
125	30.089	32.9272381071718	-0.274646281633256	-2.83823810717183	0.138047162952687
126	35.285	21.5408244084989	-0.589101530572262	13.7441755915011	-2.58327014798169
127	30.666	31.2673332697565	-0.297306445212171	-0.601333269756498	2.3987432843356
128	28.623	33.3400410539477	-0.230322507873707	-4.71704105394767	0.551104643135672
129	31.504	33.1263204425043	-0.229853745722163	-1.62232044250427	0.00385975676162951
130	36.784	37.1567485779331	-0.109665345794144	-0.372748577933137	0.990327658848811
131	40.659	41.2742186204546	0.00952717285468918	-0.615218620454603	0.982661123687155
132	39.163	49.3065450743373	0.235734832693346	-10.1435450743373	1.86530501499952
133	44.568	38.9922894654472	-0.0618464170426598	5.57571053455282	-2.45306437650477
134	33.625	33.7467333585558	-0.208165391329267	-0.121733358555801	-1.20516908543983
135	29.53	28.1507413345625	-0.360368508863406	1.3792586654375	-1.25234526223074
136	28.479	27.9799455140085	-0.355009476677226	0.499054485991464	0.0440582045603485
137	31.092	29.1133517810387	-0.312915741938101	1.97864821896132	0.345942460524501
138	32.95	26.8676065430181	-0.367582141310221	6.08239345698189	-0.44932374413338
139	29.867	29.0147038273242	-0.296476680182894	0.852296172675753	0.584674876876468
140	25.722	30.4719554577721	-0.246911498559712	-4.74995545777213	0.407746274421153
141	30.214	32.8751439195802	-0.172054435692563	-2.66114391958015	0.616078005770883
142	35.424	36.1502528248264	-0.0747310116301709	-0.726252824826445	0.8012965651639

Figure 1

PNG link

Postscript link

PDF link

Figure 2

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PDF link

Figure 3

PNG link

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PDF link

Figure 4

PNG link

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Figure 5

PNG link

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Parameters (Session):

par1 = 12 ; par2 = periodic ; par3 = 0 ; par5 = 1 ; par7 = 1 ; par8 = FALSE ;

Parameters (R input):

par1 = 12 ;

R code (references can be found in the software module):

par1 <- as.numeric(par1)
nx <- length(x)
x <- ts(x,frequency=par1)
m <- StructTS(x,type='BSM')
m$coef
m$fitted
m$resid
mylevel <- as.numeric(m$fitted[,'level'])
myslope <- as.numeric(m$fitted[,'slope'])
myseas <- as.numeric(m$fitted[,'sea'])
myresid <- as.numeric(m$resid)
myfit <- mylevel+myseas
mylagmax <- nx/2
bitmap(file='test2.png')
op <- par(mfrow = c(2,2))
acf(as.numeric(x),lag.max = mylagmax,main='Observed')
acf(mylevel,na.action=na.pass,lag.max = mylagmax,main='Level')
acf(myseas,na.action=na.pass,lag.max = mylagmax,main='Seasonal')
acf(myresid,na.action=na.pass,lag.max = mylagmax,main='Standardized Residals')
par(op)
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test3.png')
op <- par(mfrow = c(2,2))
spectrum(as.numeric(x),main='Observed')
spectrum(mylevel,main='Level')
spectrum(myseas,main='Seasonal')
spectrum(myresid,main='Standardized Residals')
par(op)
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test4.png')
op <- par(mfrow = c(2,2))
cpgram(as.numeric(x),main='Observed')
cpgram(mylevel,main='Level')
cpgram(myseas,main='Seasonal')
cpgram(myresid,main='Standardized Residals')
par(op)
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test1.png')
plot(as.numeric(m$resid),main='Standardized Residuals',ylab='Residuals',xlab='time',type='b')
grid()
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test5.png')
op <- par(mfrow = c(2,2))
hist(m$resid,main='Residual Histogram')
plot(density(m$resid),main='Residual Kernel Density')
qqnorm(m$resid,main='Residual Normal QQ Plot')
qqline(m$resid)
plot(m$resid^2, myfit^2,main='Sq.Resid vs. Sq.Fit',xlab='Squared residuals',ylab='Squared Fit')
par(op)
dev.off()
load(file='createtable')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Structural Time Series Model',6,TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'t',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Observed',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Level',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Slope',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Seasonal',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Stand. Residuals',header=TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
for (i in 1:nx) {
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,i,header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,x[i])
a<-table.element(a,mylevel[i])
a<-table.element(a,myslope[i])
a<-table.element(a,myseas[i])
a<-table.element(a,myresid[i])
a<-table.row.end(a)
}
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable.tab')

Free Statistics

Description of Statistical Computation

Tree of Dependent Computations

Dataset

Tables (Output of Computation)

Figures (Output of Computation)

Input Parameters & R Code