Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 721 | 0 | 73 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 59.8 | 61.6538084223577 | 1.9669040841456 | 55.9792874934967 | 1.85380842235768 |
2 | 60.7 | 61.4968823539063 | 2.94141775775716 | 56.9616998883365 | 0.796882353906305 |
3 | 59.7 | 60.7399549099757 | 0.715932806847928 | 57.9441122831764 | 1.03995490997572 |
4 | 60.2 | 61.1005252021391 | 0.328383462736385 | 58.9710913351245 | 0.900525202139121 |
5 | 61.3 | 61.577759652431 | 1.02416996049631 | 59.9980703870726 | 0.277759652431044 |
6 | 59.8 | 56.0096683934645 | 2.54768927939231 | 61.0426423271432 | -3.79033160653553 |
7 | 61.2 | 59.1415826680399 | 1.17120306474638 | 62.0872142672138 | -2.05841733196015 |
8 | 59.3 | 55.7314582716522 | -0.234781996314501 | 63.1033237246623 | -3.56854172834782 |
9 | 59.4 | 55.5713331321902 | -0.890766314301069 | 64.1194331821109 | -3.82866686780979 |
10 | 63.1 | 65.0909951477517 | -4.0676228315198 | 65.1766276837681 | 1.99099514775168 |
11 | 68 | 73.2106565625273 | -3.44447874795269 | 66.2338221854254 | 5.21065656252733 |
12 | 69.4 | 73.449039284519 | -2.05805237366806 | 67.4090130891491 | 4.04903928451901 |
13 | 70.2 | 69.8488919229817 | 1.9669040841456 | 68.5842039928727 | -0.351108077018338 |
14 | 72.6 | 72.3079254278309 | 2.94141775775716 | 69.9506568144119 | -0.292074572169085 |
15 | 72.1 | 72.1669575572009 | 0.715932806847928 | 71.3171096359511 | 0.0669575572009506 |
16 | 69.7 | 66.0495157259965 | 0.328383462736385 | 73.0221008112671 | -3.65048427400346 |
17 | 71.5 | 67.2487380529206 | 1.02416996049631 | 74.727091986583 | -4.25126194707936 |
18 | 75.7 | 71.7889321627512 | 2.54768927939231 | 77.0633785578565 | -3.91106783724877 |
19 | 76 | 71.4291318061238 | 1.17120306474638 | 79.3996651291298 | -4.57086819387622 |
20 | 76.4 | 70.3954127160667 | -0.234781996314501 | 82.6393692802478 | -6.00458728393326 |
21 | 83.8 | 82.6116928829354 | -0.890766314301069 | 85.8790734313657 | -1.18830711706462 |
22 | 86.2 | 86.8317534248259 | -4.0676228315198 | 89.6358694066939 | 0.631753424825888 |
23 | 88.5 | 87.0518133659306 | -3.44447874795269 | 93.3926653820221 | -1.44818663406943 |
24 | 95.9 | 96.7514853475843 | -2.05805237366806 | 97.1065670260838 | 0.851485347584287 |
25 | 103.1 | 103.412627245709 | 1.9669040841456 | 100.820468670145 | 0.312627245708953 |
26 | 113.5 | 120.598595385731 | 2.94141775775716 | 103.459986856511 | 7.09859538573144 |
27 | 115.7 | 124.584562150275 | 0.715932806847928 | 106.099505042877 | 8.8845621502747 |
28 | 113.1 | 119.202222574922 | 0.328383462736385 | 106.669393962341 | 6.10222257492228 |
29 | 112.7 | 117.136547157698 | 1.02416996049631 | 107.239282881805 | 4.4365471576984 |
30 | 121.9 | 135.421060057993 | 2.54768927939231 | 105.831250662615 | 13.5210600579929 |
31 | 120.3 | 135.005578491829 | 1.17120306474638 | 104.423218443424 | 14.7055784918293 |
32 | 108.7 | 115.806004017201 | -0.234781996314501 | 101.828777979113 | 7.1060040172013 |
33 | 102.8 | 107.256428799499 | -0.890766314301069 | 99.2343375148021 | 4.45642879949895 |
34 | 83.4 | 74.338739129329 | -4.0676228315198 | 96.5288837021908 | -9.06126087067102 |
35 | 79.4 | 68.4210488583732 | -3.44447874795269 | 93.8234298895795 | -10.9789511416268 |
36 | 77.8 | 65.9559727311261 | -2.05805237366806 | 91.7020796425419 | -11.8440272688739 |
37 | 85.7 | 79.8523665203501 | 1.9669040841456 | 89.5807293955043 | -5.84763347964987 |
38 | 83.2 | 74.9387484259075 | 2.94141775775716 | 88.5198338163353 | -8.26125157409247 |
39 | 82 | 75.8251289559857 | 0.715932806847928 | 87.4589382371664 | -6.1748710440143 |
40 | 86.9 | 85.6430974043875 | 0.328383462736385 | 87.8285191328761 | -1.25690259561247 |
41 | 95.7 | 102.177730010918 | 1.02416996049631 | 88.1981000285858 | 6.47773001091785 |
42 | 97.9 | 103.939073250935 | 2.54768927939231 | 89.3132374696727 | 6.039073250935 |
43 | 89.3 | 87.0004220244941 | 1.17120306474638 | 90.4283749107595 | -2.29957797550591 |
44 | 91.5 | 92.0530182424162 | -0.234781996314501 | 91.1817637538983 | 0.553018242416186 |
45 | 86.8 | 82.555613717264 | -0.890766314301069 | 91.9351525970371 | -4.24438628273602 |
46 | 91 | 94.0946193903278 | -4.0676228315198 | 91.973003441192 | 3.09461939032781 |
47 | 93.8 | 99.0336244626058 | -3.44447874795269 | 92.0108542853469 | 5.23362446260582 |
48 | 96.8 | 103.810757931464 | -2.05805237366806 | 91.8472944422041 | 7.01075793146393 |
49 | 95.7 | 97.749361316793 | 1.9669040841456 | 91.6837345990614 | 2.04936131679302 |
50 | 91.4 | 87.6798167959099 | 2.94141775775716 | 92.178765446333 | -3.72018320409013 |
51 | 88.7 | 84.0102708995475 | 0.715932806847928 | 92.6737962936046 | -4.68972910045252 |
52 | 88.2 | 81.9287097053816 | 0.328383462736385 | 94.142906831882 | -6.2712902946184 |
53 | 87.7 | 78.7638126693442 | 1.02416996049631 | 95.6120173701594 | -8.93618733065576 |
54 | 89.5 | 78.1758431902795 | 2.54768927939231 | 98.2764675303282 | -11.3241568097205 |
55 | 95.6 | 89.0878792447566 | 1.17120306474638 | 100.940917690497 | -6.51212075524342 |
56 | 100.5 | 96.4608339222109 | -0.234781996314501 | 104.773948074104 | -4.03916607778913 |
57 | 106.3 | 104.883787856591 | -0.890766314301069 | 108.60697845771 | -1.41621214340917 |
58 | 112 | 115.253233034644 | -4.0676228315198 | 112.814389796876 | 3.25323303464361 |
59 | 117.7 | 121.822677611911 | -3.44447874795269 | 117.021801136042 | 4.12267761191058 |
60 | 125 | 131.471164618444 | -2.05805237366806 | 120.586887755224 | 6.47116461844428 |
61 | 132.4 | 138.681121541449 | 1.9669040841456 | 124.151974374405 | 6.28112154144897 |
62 | 138.1 | 146.812034821301 | 2.94141775775716 | 126.446547420942 | 8.71203482130127 |
63 | 134.7 | 139.942946725674 | 0.715932806847928 | 128.741120467478 | 5.24294672567441 |
64 | 136.7 | 144.472287048544 | 0.328383462736385 | 128.599329488719 | 7.77228704854431 |
65 | 134.3 | 139.118291529543 | 1.02416996049631 | 128.457538509961 | 4.81829152954276 |
66 | 131.6 | 132.654887018411 | 2.54768927939231 | 127.997423702197 | 1.05488701841065 |
67 | 129.8 | 130.89148804082 | 1.17120306474638 | 127.537308894433 | 1.09148804082048 |
68 | 131.9 | 137.132128203286 | -0.234781996314501 | 126.902653793029 | 5.23212820328592 |
69 | 129.8 | 134.222767622677 | -0.890766314301069 | 126.267998691624 | 4.42276762267709 |
70 | 119.4 | 117.417675991107 | -4.0676228315198 | 125.449946840412 | -1.98232400889256 |
71 | 116.7 | 112.212583758752 | -3.44447874795269 | 124.631894989201 | -4.48741624124804 |
72 | 112.8 | 103.993399487164 | -2.05805237366806 | 123.664652886504 | -8.80660051283577 |