Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[141])
140	127	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
141	124	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
142	114	120.3563	102.4903	143.3362	0.2939	0.378	0.378	0.378
143	108	117.4388	93.1386	152.6558	0.2997	0.5759	0.5759	0.3575
144	106	115.3943	88.1987	157.4212	0.3306	0.6349	0.6349	0.3441
145	111	114.0443	85.505	159.6791	0.448	0.6351	0.6351	0.3345
146	110	113.1776	83.9649	160.7808	0.448	0.5357	0.5357	0.3279
147	104	112.626	83.0282	161.4108	0.3645	0.542	0.542	0.3238
148	100	112.272	82.4142	161.8676	0.3138	0.6281	0.6281	0.3215
149	96	112.0387	81.9765	162.269	0.2657	0.6807	0.6807	0.3203
150	98	111.8776	81.6362	162.6582	0.2961	0.73	0.73	0.3199
151	122	111.7592	81.3501	163.0502	0.3478	0.7005	0.7005	0.32
152	134	111.6656	81.0938	163.4498	0.199	0.3478	0.3478	0.3203
153	133	111.5863	80.8536	163.8587	0.211	0.2003	0.2003	0.3208

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
142	0.0974	-0.0528	0	40.4031	0	0
143	0.153	-0.0804	0.0666	89.0913	64.7472	8.0466
144	0.1858	-0.0814	0.0715	88.2531	72.5825	8.5195
145	0.2042	-0.0267	0.0603	9.2678	56.7538	7.5335
146	0.2146	-0.0281	0.0539	10.0971	47.4225	6.8864
147	0.221	-0.0766	0.0577	74.4077	51.92	7.2056
148	0.2254	-0.1093	0.065	150.6017	66.0174	8.1251
149	0.2287	-0.1432	0.0748	257.2387	89.9201	9.4826
150	0.2316	-0.124	0.0803	192.5878	101.3276	10.0662
151	0.2342	0.0916	0.0814	104.8747	101.6823	10.0838
152	0.2366	0.2	0.0922	498.8266	137.7863	11.7382
153	0.239	0.1919	0.1005	458.5456	164.5163	12.8264