Structural Time Series Model
t	Observed	Level	Slope	Seasonal	Stand. Residuals
1	112.8	112.8	0	0	0
2	116.7	116.517222998974	0.567834594714074	0.182777001025732	0.565409390838798
3	119.4	119.231765741215	1.38057117208508	0.168234258784778	0.449989653489851
4	129.8	129.667546927876	5.15398787451447	0.132453072124165	1.84545415201493
5	131.9	131.760649294732	3.83869893732185	0.139350705268115	-0.618222697451815
6	129.8	129.653066187873	1.25748740411035	0.146933812127264	-1.19798656557481
7	131.6	131.453456953824	1.49397222226914	0.14654304617585	0.109316176821515
8	134.3	134.15394662628	2.02017240916277	0.146053373719683	0.242927760095655
9	136.7	136.554033537925	2.18594291709768	0.145966462075126	0.076499245707281
10	134.7	134.55349378301	0.358876189159077	0.146506216989863	-0.84304027188398
11	138.1	137.953714756069	1.68629516154975	0.146285243931395	0.612469067079526
12	132.4	132.253412322041	-1.53777619742481	0.146587677959371	-1.48756222230761
13	125	127.652597566725	-2.8339663446751	-2.6525975667247	-0.702772644611231
14	117.7	117.613890868718	-5.69158112658533	0.0861091312824908	-1.18297478689257
15	112	111.913867470041	-5.69528611708848	0.0861325299592146	-0.0016901095667935
16	106.3	106.213860099523	-5.69734906362555	0.0861399004772734	-0.000948392573978235
17	100.5	100.413769713474	-5.74219276785388	0.0862302865255695	-0.0206667241431879
18	95.6	95.5141875044392	-5.37448289366277	0.0858124955608021	0.169595814827971
19	89.5	89.4139847060613	-5.69119430135892	0.086015293938747	-0.146110489626483
20	87.7	87.6145976039771	-3.99266015296568	0.0854023960228708	0.783657362076313
21	88.2	88.1149963563439	-2.03161725172513	0.0850036436560621	0.90479440060958
22	88.7	88.6151229739679	-0.926574488919616	0.0848770260320904	0.509853432100263
23	91.4	91.315225183108	0.65641069458144	0.0847748168920425	0.730372157136665
24	95.7	95.6152830486152	2.24682185803587	0.0847169513848283	0.733799011834588
25	96.8	97.7496190816659	2.19841923133305	-0.949619081665916	-0.0241977539428367
26	93.8	93.7984754432179	-0.328763823923405	0.00152455678206713	-1.09858470442761
27	91	90.9940296049081	-1.41318130843316	0.00597039509185428	-0.496667869640587
28	86.8	86.7912081126492	-2.63166593360104	0.00879188735079182	-0.560883601240605
29	91.5	91.4953892081869	0.570286314377252	0.0046107918131171	1.47625167274855
30	89.3	89.2944990806568	-0.639136912831987	0.00550091934317543	-0.557883902879592
31	97.9	97.8961718580003	3.39392331423661	0.00382814199971486	1.86067310039407
32	95.7	95.6956011489162	0.952158525736878	0.00439885108375714	-1.12657828705229
33	86.9	86.8950404954603	-3.30463900771774	0.00495950453969375	-1.96402760062763
34	82	81.9949888122546	-4.00100827952587	0.00501118774537626	-0.321296820368189
35	83.2	83.1950837579192	-1.73078975390916	0.00491624208079016	1.0474545847544
36	85.7	85.6951272796625	0.115931721353522	0.00487272033751208	0.852058010489893
37	77.8	78.5943953640105	-3.00499484997968	-0.794395364010496	-1.51898039264716
38	79.4	79.2902330938294	-1.45914586738184	0.109766906170631	0.684633115776445
39	83.4	83.2974928792266	0.933110167260973	0.10250712077337	1.09776792426153
40	102.8	102.711318026123	9.00387383886214	0.0886819738771911	3.71733539541066
41	108.7	108.610009012303	7.64851046343682	0.0899909876973572	-0.625007523513729
42	120.3	120.210947991664	9.37353498484777	0.0890520083360022	0.79576979935185
43	121.9	121.809907118883	5.98028573725389	0.0900928811172826	-1.56552351985895
44	112.7	112.608761732321	-0.645926274023385	0.0912382676792284	-3.05721206528552
45	113.1	113.008806202529	-0.18938221093449	0.0911937974712242	0.210643540288397
46	115.7	115.608873032764	1.02817243330608	0.091126967236084	0.56176614297116
47	113.5	113.40882944959	-0.380911233063526	0.0911705504100079	-0.650136285302349
48	103.1	103.008753226313	-4.75420005751946	0.0912467736867718	-2.01778993714595
49	95.9	96.9992469465751	-5.29838100961228	-1.0992469465751	-0.261339832045585
50	88.5	88.4263476600077	-6.67901970980446	0.0736523399923543	-0.617476020986335
51	86.2	86.1309664585227	-4.76164005330731	0.0690335414773148	0.880845675426067
52	83.8	83.7323690394473	-3.72977522181329	0.0676309605527155	0.475439289511135
53	76.4	76.3311410388602	-5.33231511908649	0.0688589611398459	-0.739073455874701
54	76	75.9320709051413	-3.1791666399046	0.0679290948586814	0.99330311824934
55	75.7	75.6323767654644	-1.92238326790762	0.0676232345355793	0.579841409454633
56	71.5	71.4322404230724	-2.91656296316384	0.0677595769276244	-0.458697848803749
57	69.7	69.6322780873561	-2.42918657640342	0.0677219126438736	0.224869435888582
58	72.1	72.0323698820214	-0.32126570084123	0.067630117978556	0.972571554861737
59	72.6	72.5323786788138	0.037213287422581	0.0676213211862349	0.165398429096026
60	70.2	70.1323639681774	-1.02661972144979	0.0676360318226069	-0.490841493784291
61	69.4	70.0847977217866	-0.601593858156112	-0.684797721786567	0.202486740569827
62	68	67.9479365865702	-1.2528556796831	0.0520634134297711	-0.293028349964671
63	63.1	63.0447491448565	-2.84892899189315	0.0552508551434875	-0.733780075446004
64	59.4	59.3443302729733	-3.22072216289711	0.0556697270266678	-0.17134667003916
65	59.3	59.2451956000565	-1.85818626793987	0.0548043999434662	0.628433158050689
66	61.2	61.1457827824268	-0.217618958147732	0.054217217573248	0.756854079295651
67	59.8	59.7456786848441	-0.733736628787317	0.0543213151558563	-0.238122698223196
68	61.3	61.2457895026774	0.241287723643142	0.054210497322579	0.449860968659552
69	60.2	60.145752005718	-0.344180027577637	0.0542479942819853	-0.270127782815867
70	59.7	59.6457495510416	-0.412194818580174	0.0542504489583853	-0.0313812855734852
71	60.7	60.6457620871562	0.204222184327295	0.0542379128438227	0.284408333765613
72	59.8	59.7457565635579	-0.277765992221112	0.0542434364420591	-0.22238434071184