Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
timeY[t]F[t]95% LB95% UBp-value
(H0: Y[t] = F[t])
P(F[t]>Y[t-1])P(F[t]>Y[t-s])P(F[t]>Y[60])
4869-------
4960-------
5056-------
5158-------
5250-------
5351-------
5453-------
5537-------
5622-------
5755-------
5870-------
5962-------
6058-------
613955.525937.814773.23710.03370.39210.31030.3921
624949.044531.291366.79770.4980.86630.22130.1614
635862.829844.751380.90820.30030.93310.69970.6997
644750.06831.953168.1830.370.19540.50290.1954
654250.823532.709168.93780.16990.66050.49240.2187
666261.033942.920279.14760.45840.98030.80770.6287
673940.167621.979858.35530.44990.00930.63360.0273
684030.651212.330648.97180.15860.18590.82270.0017
697256.159637.636674.68270.04690.95640.54880.4228
707064.302145.587783.01640.27530.21010.27530.7454
715449.74830.843968.6520.32970.01790.1020.1961
726558.281139.225977.33630.24480.67020.51150.5115


Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time% S.E.PEMAPESq.EMSERMSE
610.1627-0.29760273.105200
620.1847-9e-040.14930.002136.553611.6856
630.1468-0.07690.125123.326698.81139.9404
640.1846-0.06130.10929.412776.46168.7442
650.1818-0.17360.122177.853376.748.7601
660.15140.01580.10440.933464.10558.0066
670.231-0.02910.09361.363255.14237.4258
680.3050.3050.1287.400759.17467.6925
690.16830.28210.138250.916880.47938.971
700.14850.08860.133132.466575.6788.6993
710.19390.08550.128818.079670.44188.393
720.16680.11530.127645.143468.33368.2664