Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[63])
51	9946	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
52	9701	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
53	9049	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
54	10190	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
55	9706	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
56	9765	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
57	9893	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
58	9994	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
59	10433	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
60	10073	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
61	10112	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
62	9266	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
63	9820	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
64	10097	9833.3718	9280.4587	10386.2849	0.175	0.5189	0.6806	0.5189
65	9115	8921.9658	8345.642	9498.2896	0.2558	0	0.3329	0.0011
66	10411	10085.4836	9493.8872	10677.0801	0.1404	0.9993	0.3646	0.8105
67	9678	9614.3294	8995.2439	10233.4149	0.4201	0.0058	0.3858	0.2575
68	10408	9731.9765	9112.5332	10351.4198	0.0162	0.5678	0.4584	0.3903
69	10153	9720.7248	9093.2795	10348.1701	0.0885	0.0159	0.2952	0.3782
70	10368	10014.0254	9386.5424	10641.5085	0.1344	0.3321	0.5249	0.7278
71	10581	10232.718	9604.6007	10860.8353	0.1386	0.3365	0.266	0.9011
72	10597	9847.5608	9219.197	10475.9246	0.0097	0.0111	0.241	0.5343
73	10680	9955.7323	9331.5781	10579.8866	0.0115	0.022	0.3118	0.665
74	9738	9151.711	8527.3271	9776.0949	0.0329	0	0.3599	0.018
75	9556	9623.7131	8999.3141	10248.112	0.4158	0.3599	0.2689	0.2689

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
64	0.0287	0.0268	0	69499.8244	0	0
65	0.033	0.0216	0.0242	37262.1962	53381.0103	231.0433
66	0.0299	0.0323	0.0269	105960.9029	70907.6412	266.2849
67	0.0329	0.0066	0.0218	4053.9496	54194.2183	232.7965
68	0.0325	0.0695	0.0314	457007.7825	134756.9311	367.0925
69	0.0329	0.0445	0.0335	186861.8728	143441.0881	378.7362
70	0.032	0.0353	0.0338	125297.9955	140849.2177	375.2988
71	0.0313	0.034	0.0338	121300.3578	138405.6102	372.029
72	0.0326	0.0761	0.0385	561659.1757	185433.7842	430.6202
73	0.032	0.0727	0.042	524563.6456	219346.7703	468.3447
74	0.0348	0.0641	0.044	343734.77	230654.7703	480.2653
75	0.0331	-0.007	0.0409	4585.0575	211815.6276	460.2343