Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[60])
53	51	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
54	53	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
55	37	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
56	22	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
57	55	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
58	70	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
59	62	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
60	58	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
61	39	63.1561	42.7189	83.5934	0.0103	0.6895	0.835	0.6895
62	49	40.818	20.3138	61.3223	0.2171	0.569	0.6424	0.0503
63	58	44.8925	23.6438	66.1413	0.1133	0.3524	0.9826	0.1133
64	47	44.5278	23.4765	65.579	0.409	0.1049	0.1648	0.1049
65	42	45.9754	24.5747	67.376	0.3579	0.4626	0.0139	0.1354
66	62	53.0729	31.2752	74.8706	0.2111	0.8403	0.2111	0.3289
67	39	48.075	26.2758	69.8743	0.2073	0.1053	0.1861	0.1861
68	40	55.6155	33.5224	77.7086	0.083	0.9298	0.9298	0.4162
69	72	64.8733	42.7651	86.9816	0.2638	0.9863	0.9203	0.7289
70	70	52.465	30.3516	74.5784	0.0601	0.0417	0.3119	0.3119
71	54	53.2957	31.3869	75.2046	0.4749	0.0675	0.7134	0.3369
72	65	57.6277	35.7186	79.5368	0.2548	0.6272	0.919	0.4867

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
61	0.1651	-0.3825	0	583.5193	0	0
62	0.2563	0.2004	0.2915	66.9445	325.2319	18.0342
63	0.2415	0.292	0.2916	171.8062	274.09	16.5557
64	0.2412	0.0555	0.2326	6.1118	207.0955	14.3908
65	0.2375	-0.0865	0.2034	15.8034	168.8371	12.9937
66	0.2095	0.1682	0.1975	79.6937	153.9798	12.4089
67	0.2313	-0.1888	0.1963	82.3561	143.7479	11.9895
68	0.2027	-0.2808	0.2068	243.8444	156.2599	12.5004
69	0.1739	0.1099	0.1961	50.7894	144.541	12.0225
70	0.215	0.3342	0.2099	307.477	160.8346	12.6821
71	0.2097	0.0132	0.192	0.496	146.2584	12.0937
72	0.194	0.1279	0.1867	54.3512	138.5994	11.7728