| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | ||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | -0.2367 | 0.1546 | 0.1763 | -1 | -0.0477 | -0.5106 |
| (p-val) | (0.0736 ) | (0.2476 ) | (0.174 ) | (0 ) | (0.8893 ) | (0.1604 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | -0.2354 | 0.1558 | 0.1743 | -1 | 0 | -0.5573 |
| (p-val) | (0.0745 ) | (0.2433 ) | (0.1767 ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (3e-04 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | -0.2726 | 0 | 0.1353 | -1 | 0 | -0.5626 |
| (p-val) | (0.0356 ) | (NA ) | (0.2781 ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (2e-04 ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | -0.2497 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | -0.5816 |
| (p-val) | (0.0525 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (2e-04 ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | -0.6305 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (2e-04 ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| -4777.3027739648 |
| 23003.3443407881 |
| -8749.61893544889 |
| -13755.9458620053 |
| 11120.0196318553 |
| 5062.70615931937 |
| 236760.896343437 |
| -160217.182031545 |
| -67531.6356920577 |
| 48980.483154377 |
| -221.963026853203 |
| -100348.781030448 |
| -45839.7124513896 |
| -69331.3103323785 |
| 11248.7096528237 |
| 82772.9067626623 |
| -201733.172840223 |
| 85283.2489373298 |
| -169106.603852196 |
| 126782.934094455 |
| 175329.174459437 |
| 92000.0932789833 |
| 77588.2910225306 |
| 105581.877622815 |
| 37610.4110357365 |
| -22240.7757006774 |
| -68675.0008004222 |
| -71312.3096725757 |
| -134560.615355871 |
| -130659.589501889 |
| -186189.22522477 |
| 24941.5143048821 |
| 31906.8394415249 |
| -27019.730057136 |
| -48568.3325724392 |
| -15432.4340218228 |
| -55354.9809689655 |
| 56515.9910979852 |
| 54303.7541226125 |
| -184276.464816844 |
| 67264.9672087081 |
| -16146.3990931533 |
| -63858.275439893 |
| 122323.937902919 |
| 43742.4003892859 |
| 8371.44821179414 |
| 2333.88348255916 |
| -27851.4473633998 |
| 12391.3787405353 |
| -64048.4304969941 |
| -81805.3285159646 |
| -14496.3403331571 |
| -89927.37453121 |
| -33168.9371331987 |
| -82823.9750970687 |
| 74792.6211304263 |
| 18367.3892066285 |
| 2820.44603924684 |
| -11888.1950586389 |
| -6097.22240534478 |
