| Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
| t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
| 1 | 178421 | NA | NA | -916.30412046371 | NA |
| 2 | 139871 | NA | NA | 539.82087953629 | NA |
| 3 | 118159 | 125236.972089214 | 126427.75 | -1190.77791078629 | -7077.97208921371 |
| 4 | 109763 | 115284.136151714 | 113716.875 | 1567.26115171371 | -5521.13615171371 |
| 5 | 97415 | 107683.445879536 | 108599.75 | -916.30412046371 | -10268.4458795363 |
| 6 | 119190 | 105006.320879536 | 104466.5 | 539.82087953629 | 14183.6791204637 |
| 7 | 97903 | 100483.597089214 | 101674.375 | -1190.77791078629 | -2580.59708921371 |
| 8 | 96953 | 97731.6361517137 | 96164.375 | 1567.26115171371 | -778.636151713712 |
| 9 | 87888 | 90009.6958795363 | 90926 | -916.30412046371 | -2121.69587953629 |
| 10 | 84637 | 90387.4458795363 | 89847.625 | 539.82087953629 | -5750.44587953629 |
| 11 | 90549 | 89933.0970892137 | 91123.875 | -1190.77791078629 | 615.902910786288 |
| 12 | 95680 | 93544.8861517137 | 91977.625 | 1567.26115171371 | 2135.11384828629 |
| 13 | 99371 | 90005.0708795363 | 90921.375 | -916.30412046371 | 9365.92912046371 |
| 14 | 79984 | 89743.1958795363 | 89203.375 | 539.82087953629 | -9759.19587953629 |
| 15 | 86752 | 84961.0970892137 | 86151.875 | -1190.77791078629 | 1790.90291078629 |
| 16 | 85733 | 85707.5111517137 | 84140.25 | 1567.26115171371 | 25.488848286288 |
| 17 | 84906 | 85788.3208795363 | 86704.625 | -916.30412046371 | -882.320879536288 |
| 18 | 78356 | 92016.6958795363 | 91476.875 | 539.82087953629 | -13660.6958795363 |
| 19 | 108895 | 90837.8470892137 | 92028.625 | -1190.77791078629 | 18057.1529107863 |
| 20 | 101768 | 90564.2611517137 | 88997 | 1567.26115171371 | 11203.7388482863 |
| 21 | 73285 | 81321.9458795363 | 82238.25 | -916.30412046371 | -8036.94587953629 |
| 22 | 65724 | 73277.6958795363 | 72737.875 | 539.82087953629 | -7553.69587953629 |
| 23 | 67457 | 66724.9720892137 | 67915.75 | -1190.77791078629 | 732.027910786288 |
| 24 | 67203 | 70866.8861517137 | 69299.625 | 1567.26115171371 | -3663.88615171371 |
| 25 | 69273 | 71227.6958795363 | 72144 | -916.30412046371 | -1954.69587953629 |
| 26 | 80807 | 74616.3208795363 | 74076.5 | 539.82087953629 | 6190.67912046371 |
| 27 | 75129 | 73719.7220892137 | 74910.5 | -1190.77791078629 | 1409.27791078629 |
| 28 | 74991 | 75469.6361517137 | 73902.375 | 1567.26115171371 | -478.636151713712 |
| 29 | 68157 | 71644.9458795363 | 72561.25 | -916.30412046371 | -3487.94587953629 |
| 30 | 73858 | 73958.9458795363 | 73419.125 | 539.82087953629 | -100.945879536288 |
| 31 | 71349 | 76492.0970892137 | 77682.875 | -1190.77791078629 | -5143.09708921371 |
| 32 | 85634 | 87453.0111517137 | 85885.75 | 1567.26115171371 | -1819.01115171371 |
| 33 | 91624 | 96324.4458795363 | 97240.75 | -916.30412046371 | -4700.44587953629 |
| 34 | 116014 | 106743.195879536 | 106203.375 | 539.82087953629 | 9270.80412046371 |
| 35 | 120033 | 109608.972089214 | 110799.75 | -1190.77791078629 | 10424.0279107863 |
| 36 | 108651 | 116951.886151714 | 115384.625 | 1567.26115171371 | -8300.88615171371 |
| 37 | 105378 | 118951.570879536 | 119867.875 | -916.30412046371 | -13573.5708795363 |
| 38 | 138939 | 125353.570879536 | 124813.75 | 539.82087953629 | 13585.4291204637 |
| 39 | 132974 | 132871.597089214 | 134062.375 | -1190.77791078629 | 102.402910786303 |
| 40 | 135277 | 143984.761151714 | 142417.5 | 1567.26115171371 | -8707.7611517137 |
| 41 | 152741 | 146996.695879536 | 147913 | -916.30412046371 | 5744.3041204637 |
| 42 | 158417 | 158853.570879536 | 158313.75 | 539.82087953629 | -436.570879536303 |
| 43 | 157460 | 164631.472089214 | 165822.25 | -1190.77791078629 | -7171.4720892137 |
| 44 | 193997 | 166202.136151714 | 164634.875 | 1567.26115171371 | 27794.8638482863 |
| 45 | 154089 | 163045.695879536 | 163962 | -916.30412046371 | -8956.6958795363 |
| 46 | 147570 | 160138.820879536 | 159599 | 539.82087953629 | -12568.8208795363 |
| 47 | 162924 | 153589.472089214 | 154780.25 | -1190.77791078629 | 9334.5279107863 |
| 48 | 153629 | 162837.886151714 | 161270.625 | 1567.26115171371 | -9208.8861517137 |
| 49 | 155907 | 177590.445879536 | 178506.75 | -916.30412046371 | -21683.4458795363 |
| 50 | 197675 | 204147.445879536 | 203607.625 | 539.82087953629 | -6472.4458795363 |
| 51 | 250708 | 223286.597089214 | 224477.375 | -1190.77791078629 | 27421.4029107863 |
| 52 | 266652 | 228805.386151714 | 227238.125 | 1567.26115171371 | 37846.6138482863 |
| 53 | 209842 | 208146.195879536 | 209062.5 | -916.30412046371 | 1695.8041204637 |
| 54 | 165826 | 180898.945879536 | 180359.125 | 539.82087953629 | -15072.9458795363 |
| 55 | 137152 | 156675.847089214 | 157866.625 | -1190.77791078629 | -19523.8470892137 |
| 56 | 150581 | 146538.511151714 | 144971.25 | 1567.26115171371 | 4042.4888482863 |
| 57 | 145973 | 136428.820879536 | 137345.125 | -916.30412046371 | 9544.1791204637 |
| 58 | 126532 | 131288.695879536 | 130748.875 | 539.82087953629 | -4756.69587953629 |
| 59 | 115437 | 121286.597089214 | 122477.375 | -1190.77791078629 | -5849.59708921371 |
| 60 | 119526 | 115993.886151714 | 114426.625 | 1567.26115171371 | 3532.11384828629 |
| 61 | 110856 | 108404.070879536 | 109320.375 | -916.30412046371 | 2451.92912046371 |
| 62 | 97243 | 108020.570879536 | 107480.75 | 539.82087953629 | -10777.5708795363 |
| 63 | 103876 | 105740.472089214 | 106931.25 | -1190.77791078629 | -1864.47208921371 |
| 64 | 116370 | 108483.761151714 | 106916.5 | 1567.26115171371 | 7886.23884828629 |
| 65 | 109616 | 104460.945879536 | 105377.25 | -916.30412046371 | 5155.05412046371 |
| 66 | 98365 | 100803.695879536 | 100263.875 | 539.82087953629 | -2438.69587953629 |
| 67 | 90440 | 93481.9720892137 | 94672.75 | -1190.77791078629 | -3041.97208921371 |
| 68 | 88899 | 92836.3861517137 | 91269.125 | 1567.26115171371 | -3937.38615171371 |
| 69 | 92358 | 90078.8208795363 | 90995.125 | -916.30412046371 | 2279.17912046371 |
| 70 | 88394 | 95588.1958795363 | 95048.375 | 539.82087953629 | -7194.19587953629 |
| 71 | 98219 | 98789.7220892137 | 99980.5 | -1190.77791078629 | -570.722089213712 |
| 72 | 113546 | 102042.261151714 | 100475 | 1567.26115171371 | 11503.7388482863 |
| 73 | 107168 | 95292.5708795363 | 96208.875 | -916.30412046371 | 11875.4291204637 |
| 74 | 77540 | 89101.1958795363 | 88561.375 | 539.82087953629 | -11561.1958795363 |
| 75 | 74944 | 78725.2220892137 | 79916 | -1190.77791078629 | -3781.22208921371 |
| 76 | 75641 | 78806.5111517137 | 77239.25 | 1567.26115171371 | -3165.51115171371 |
| 77 | 75910 | 78762.3208795363 | 79678.625 | -916.30412046371 | -2852.32087953629 |
| 78 | 87384 | 82024.6958795363 | 81484.875 | 539.82087953629 | 5359.30412046371 |
| 79 | 84615 | 81500.7220892137 | 82691.5 | -1190.77791078629 | 3114.27791078629 |
| 80 | 80420 | 83936.6361517137 | 82369.375 | 1567.26115171371 | -3516.63615171371 |
| 81 | 80784 | 80209.5708795363 | 81125.875 | -916.30412046371 | 574.429120463712 |
| 82 | 79933 | 82728.5708795363 | 82188.75 | 539.82087953629 | -2795.57087953629 |
| 83 | 82118 | 86328.2220892137 | 87519 | -1190.77791078629 | -4210.22208921371 |
| 84 | 91420 | 97365.8861517137 | 95798.625 | 1567.26115171371 | -5945.88615171371 |
| 85 | 112426 | 105320.070879536 | 106236.375 | -916.30412046371 | 7105.92912046371 |
| 86 | 114528 | 116019.570879536 | 115479.75 | 539.82087953629 | -1491.57087953629 |
| 87 | 131025 | 117272.972089214 | 118463.75 | -1190.77791078629 | 13752.0279107863 |
| 88 | 116460 | 124983.761151714 | 123416.5 | 1567.26115171371 | -8523.76115171371 |
| 89 | 111258 | 130605.570879536 | 131521.875 | -916.30412046371 | -19347.5708795363 |
| 90 | 155318 | 137360.070879536 | 136820.25 | 539.82087953629 | 17957.9291204637 |
| 91 | 155078 | 141512.097089214 | 142702.875 | -1190.77791078629 | 13565.9029107863 |
| 92 | 134794 | 153293.511151714 | 151726.25 | 1567.26115171371 | -18499.5111517137 |
| 93 | 139985 | 158412.195879536 | 159328.5 | -916.30412046371 | -18427.1958795363 |
| 94 | 198778 | 166386.945879536 | 165847.125 | 539.82087953629 | 32391.0541204637 |
| 95 | 172436 | 176969.847089214 | 178160.625 | -1190.77791078629 | -4533.8470892137 |
| 96 | 169585 | 198144.261151714 | 196577 | 1567.26115171371 | -28559.2611517137 |
| 97 | 203702 | 212140.195879536 | 213056.5 | -916.30412046371 | -8438.1958795363 |
| 98 | 282392 | 222734.945879536 | 222195.125 | 539.82087953629 | 59657.0541204637 |
| 99 | 220658 | 232308.222089214 | 233499 | -1190.77791078629 | -11650.2220892137 |
| 100 | 194472 | 234877.761151714 | 233310.5 | 1567.26115171371 | -40405.7611517137 |
| 101 | 269246 | 223720.320879536 | 224636.625 | -916.30412046371 | 45525.6791204637 |
| 102 | 215340 | 225040.570879536 | 224500.75 | 539.82087953629 | -9700.5708795363 |
| 103 | 218319 | 211637.472089214 | 212828.25 | -1190.77791078629 | 6681.5279107863 |
| 104 | 195724 | 197159.636151714 | 195592.375 | 1567.26115171371 | -1435.6361517137 |
| 105 | 174614 | 181022.695879536 | 181939 | -916.30412046371 | -6408.6958795363 |
| 106 | 172085 | 173468.695879536 | 172928.875 | 539.82087953629 | -1383.6958795363 |
| 107 | 152347 | 170873.222089214 | 172064 | -1190.77791078629 | -18526.2220892137 |
| 108 | 189615 | 170229.761151714 | 168662.5 | 1567.26115171371 | 19385.2388482863 |
| 109 | 173804 | 162096.320879536 | 163012.625 | -916.30412046371 | 11707.6791204637 |
| 110 | 145683 | 152645.445879536 | 152105.625 | 539.82087953629 | -6962.4458795363 |
| 111 | 133550 | 134636.972089214 | 135827.75 | -1190.77791078629 | -1086.9720892137 |
| 112 | 121156 | 126560.011151714 | 124992.75 | 1567.26115171371 | -5404.01115171371 |
| 113 | 112040 | 120145.570879536 | 121061.875 | -916.30412046371 | -8105.57087953629 |
| 114 | 120767 | 122677.695879536 | 122137.875 | 539.82087953629 | -1910.69587953629 |
| 115 | 127019 | 123012.597089214 | 124203.375 | -1190.77791078629 | 4006.40291078629 |
| 116 | 136295 | 124324.761151714 | 122757.5 | 1567.26115171371 | 11970.2388482863 |
| 117 | 113425 | 116882.070879536 | 117798.375 | -916.30412046371 | -3457.07087953629 |
| 118 | 107815 | 110092.195879536 | 109552.375 | 539.82087953629 | -2277.19587953629 |
| 119 | 100298 | 101621.347089214 | 102812.125 | -1190.77791078629 | -1323.34708921371 |
| 120 | 97048 | 101347.511151714 | 99780.25 | 1567.26115171371 | -4299.51115171371 |
| 121 | 98750 | 97785.9458795363 | 98702.25 | -916.30412046371 | 964.054120463712 |
| 122 | 98235 | 104679.195879536 | 104139.375 | 539.82087953629 | -6444.19587953629 |
| 123 | 101254 | 112787.597089214 | 113978.375 | -1190.77791078629 | -11533.5970892137 |
| 124 | 139589 | 117832.011151714 | 116264.75 | 1567.26115171371 | 21756.9888482863 |
| 125 | 134921 | 110506.195879536 | 111422.5 | -916.30412046371 | 24414.8041204637 |
| 126 | 80355 | 102179.320879536 | 101639.5 | 539.82087953629 | -21824.3208795363 |
| 127 | 80396 | 86371.4720892137 | 87562.25 | -1190.77791078629 | -5975.47208921371 |
| 128 | 82183 | 83531.2611517137 | 81964 | 1567.26115171371 | -1348.26115171371 |
| 129 | 79709 | NA | NA | -916.30412046371 | NA |
| 130 | 90781 | NA | NA | 539.82087953629 | NA |
