Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 1541 | 0 | 155 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 4.69 | 4.56214160182233 | -0.135135931820242 | 4.95299432999791 | -0.127858398177667 |
2 | 4.88 | 4.88179471387744 | -0.0968537865840523 | 4.97505907270661 | 0.00179471387744456 |
3 | 4.84 | 4.72760158346069 | -0.0447253988759947 | 4.99712381541531 | -0.112398416539312 |
4 | 4.81 | 4.57005014892722 | 0.0367811890245477 | 5.01316866204823 | -0.23994985107278 |
5 | 5.22 | 5.3455757318743 | 0.0652107594445442 | 5.02921350868116 | 0.125575731874298 |
6 | 5.16 | 5.18496512109198 | 0.0959441322734303 | 5.03909074663459 | 0.0249651210919755 |
7 | 5.27 | 5.38896995119395 | 0.102062064218015 | 5.04896798458803 | 0.118969951193954 |
8 | 5.35 | 5.60311160591655 | 0.0416653119161519 | 5.05522308216729 | 0.253111605916553 |
9 | 5.33 | 5.58417637018569 | 0.0143454500677471 | 5.06147817974656 | 0.254176370185694 |
10 | 5.29 | 5.52879751689301 | 0.00743468709812412 | 5.04376779600886 | 0.238797516893015 |
11 | 5.28 | 5.56612850716762 | -0.0321859194387824 | 5.02605741227116 | 0.286128507167618 |
12 | 4.94 | 4.96898413936087 | -0.0545425724138558 | 4.96555843305299 | 0.0289841393608681 |
13 | 4.7 | 4.63007647798543 | -0.135135931820242 | 4.90505945383481 | -0.0699235220145695 |
14 | 4.73 | 4.74172120675708 | -0.0968537865840523 | 4.81513257982697 | 0.0117212067570787 |
15 | 4.57 | 4.45951969305686 | -0.0447253988759947 | 4.72520570581914 | -0.110480306943142 |
16 | 4.61 | 4.56942663399138 | 0.0367811890245477 | 4.61379217698407 | -0.0405733660086174 |
17 | 4.69 | 4.81241059240645 | 0.0652107594445442 | 4.502378648149 | 0.122410592406452 |
18 | 4.53 | 4.55900660087879 | 0.0959441322734303 | 4.40504926684778 | 0.0290066008787919 |
19 | 4.55 | 4.69021805023543 | 0.102062064218015 | 4.30771988554655 | 0.140218050235434 |
20 | 4.31 | 4.32360530858607 | 0.0416653119161519 | 4.25472937949777 | 0.0136053085860741 |
21 | 4.03 | 3.84391567648326 | 0.0143454500677471 | 4.201738873449 | -0.186084323516744 |
22 | 3.72 | 3.24692202787947 | 0.00743468709812412 | 4.18564328502241 | -0.47307797212053 |
23 | 3.64 | 3.14263822284297 | -0.0321859194387824 | 4.16954769659581 | -0.497361777157032 |
24 | 3.81 | 3.50740437322414 | -0.0545425724138558 | 4.16713819918972 | -0.302595626775861 |
25 | 3.95 | 3.87040723003662 | -0.135135931820242 | 4.16472870178362 | -0.0795927699633774 |
26 | 4.26 | 4.45502337785563 | -0.0968537865840523 | 4.16183040872842 | 0.195023377855635 |
27 | 4.55 | 4.98579328320278 | -0.0447253988759947 | 4.15893211567322 | 0.435793283202779 |
28 | 4.54 | 4.90053228745422 | 0.0367811890245477 | 4.14268652352123 | 0.360532287454221 |
29 | 4.55 | 4.90834830918621 | 0.0652107594445442 | 4.12644093136925 | 0.358348309186208 |
30 | 4.39 | 4.61497445300303 | 0.0959441322734303 | 4.06908141472354 | 0.224974453003029 |
31 | 4.21 | 4.30621603770415 | 0.102062064218015 | 4.01172189807783 | 0.0962160377041537 |
32 | 4 | 4.05562341678778 | 0.0416653119161519 | 3.90271127129607 | 0.0556234167877774 |
33 | 3.67 | 3.53195390541794 | 0.0143454500677471 | 3.79370064451431 | -0.138046094582057 |
34 | 3.6 | 3.53677892891898 | 0.00743468709812412 | 3.6557863839829 | -0.0632210710810237 |
35 | 3.53 | 3.57431379598729 | -0.0321859194387824 | 3.51787212345149 | 0.0443137959872923 |
36 | 3.35 | 3.37424478180717 | -0.0545425724138558 | 3.38029779060669 | 0.0242447818071696 |
37 | 3.1 | 3.09241247405836 | -0.135135931820242 | 3.24272345776188 | -0.00758752594164136 |
38 | 2.89 | 2.74101795758538 | -0.0968537865840523 | 3.13583582899867 | -0.14898204241462 |
39 | 2.97 | 2.95577719864053 | -0.0447253988759947 | 3.02894820023546 | -0.0142228013594683 |
40 | 3.03 | 3.06056967376706 | 0.0367811890245477 | 2.96264913720839 | 0.030569673767058 |
41 | 2.71 | 2.45843916637413 | 0.0652107594445442 | 2.89635007418133 | -0.25156083362587 |
42 | 2.44 | 1.92364317016111 | 0.0959441322734303 | 2.86041269756546 | -0.516356829838887 |
43 | 2.6 | 2.2734626148324 | 0.102062064218015 | 2.82447532094959 | -0.326537385167604 |
44 | 2.93 | 3.00739008872058 | 0.0416653119161519 | 2.81094459936326 | 0.0773900887205836 |
45 | 2.86 | 2.90824067215531 | 0.0143454500677471 | 2.79741387777694 | 0.0482406721553121 |
46 | 2.88 | 2.94595888421259 | 0.00743468709812412 | 2.80660642868928 | 0.0659588842125935 |
47 | 3 | 3.21638693983716 | -0.0321859194387824 | 2.81579897960162 | 0.216386939837159 |
48 | 2.9 | 3.01478312397192 | -0.0545425724138558 | 2.83975944844194 | 0.114783123971918 |
49 | 2.64 | 2.55141601453799 | -0.135135931820242 | 2.86371991728225 | -0.088583985462011 |
50 | 2.75 | 2.71875125439199 | -0.0968537865840523 | 2.87810253219206 | -0.0312487456080088 |
51 | 2.7 | 2.55224025177412 | -0.0447253988759947 | 2.89248514710187 | -0.147759748225876 |
52 | 2.87 | 2.80872540262602 | 0.0367811890245477 | 2.89449340834943 | -0.0612745973739823 |
53 | 3.03 | 3.09828757095846 | 0.0652107594445442 | 2.896501669597 | 0.0682875709584567 |
54 | 3.14 | 3.28834781593526 | 0.0959441322734303 | 2.89570805179131 | 0.148347815935263 |
55 | 3.02 | 3.04302350179637 | 0.102062064218015 | 2.89491443398561 | 0.02302350179637 |
56 | 2.86 | 2.78687666059712 | 0.0416653119161519 | 2.89145802748673 | -0.0731233394028834 |
57 | 3.07 | 3.2376529289444 | 0.0143454500677471 | 2.88800162098785 | 0.167652928944405 |
58 | 2.93 | 2.98781869093234 | 0.00743468709812412 | 2.86474662196953 | 0.0578186909323422 |
59 | 2.83 | 2.85069429648756 | -0.0321859194387824 | 2.84149162295122 | 0.0206942964875627 |
60 | 2.72 | 2.70111805883093 | -0.0545425724138558 | 2.79342451358293 | -0.0188819411690697 |
61 | 2.73 | 2.84977852760561 | -0.135135931820242 | 2.74535740421463 | 0.11977852760561 |
62 | 2.72 | 2.8440563112179 | -0.0968537865840523 | 2.69279747536615 | 0.124056311217899 |
63 | 2.77 | 2.94448785235832 | -0.0447253988759947 | 2.64023754651767 | 0.17448785235832 |
64 | 2.61 | 2.57669128511321 | 0.0367811890245477 | 2.60652752586225 | -0.0333087148867941 |
65 | 2.47 | 2.30197173534864 | 0.0652107594445442 | 2.57281750520682 | -0.168028264651362 |
66 | 2.3 | 1.93186768122201 | 0.0959441322734303 | 2.57218818650456 | -0.368132318777992 |
67 | 2.38 | 2.08637906797968 | 0.102062064218015 | 2.5715588678023 | -0.29362093202032 |
68 | 2.43 | 2.2090970168883 | 0.0416653119161519 | 2.60923767119555 | -0.220902983111702 |
69 | 2.39 | 2.11873807534346 | 0.0143454500677471 | 2.6469164745888 | -0.271261924656543 |
70 | 2.6 | 2.4656201555242 | 0.00743468709812412 | 2.72694515737767 | -0.134379844475797 |
71 | 2.84 | 2.90521207927223 | -0.0321859194387824 | 2.80697384016655 | 0.065212079272233 |
72 | 2.87 | 2.87756773487066 | -0.0545425724138558 | 2.9169748375432 | 0.00756773487065976 |
73 | 2.92 | 2.9481600969004 | -0.135135931820242 | 3.02697583491984 | 0.0281600969003977 |
74 | 3.08 | 3.11749093477905 | -0.0968537865840523 | 3.13936285180501 | 0.0374909347790462 |
75 | 3.33 | 3.45297553018583 | -0.0447253988759947 | 3.25174986869017 | 0.122975530185826 |
76 | 3.48 | 3.57324818255961 | 0.0367811890245477 | 3.34997062841584 | 0.0932481825596128 |
77 | 3.57 | 3.62659785241395 | 0.0652107594445442 | 3.44819138814151 | 0.0565978524139452 |
78 | 3.66 | 3.69071821255468 | 0.0959441322734303 | 3.53333765517189 | 0.030718212554683 |
79 | 3.77 | 3.81945401357972 | 0.102062064218015 | 3.61848392220226 | 0.0494540135797212 |
80 | 3.75 | 3.76323910834736 | 0.0416653119161519 | 3.69509557973649 | 0.0132391083473578 |
81 | 3.75 | 3.71394731266154 | 0.0143454500677471 | 3.77170723727072 | -0.0360526873384637 |
82 | 3.81 | 3.77048275107172 | 0.00743468709812412 | 3.84208256183015 | -0.0395172489282785 |
83 | 3.82 | 3.75972803304919 | -0.0321859194387824 | 3.91245788638959 | -0.0602719669508098 |
84 | 3.89 | 3.85122589580731 | -0.0545425724138558 | 3.98331667660655 | -0.0387741041926937 |
85 | 4.05 | 4.18096046499673 | -0.135135931820242 | 4.05417546682351 | 0.130960464996734 |
86 | 4.1 | 4.17580176328393 | -0.0968537865840523 | 4.12105202330012 | 0.0758017632839287 |
87 | 4.07 | 3.99679681909926 | -0.0447253988759947 | 4.18792857977674 | -0.0732031809007427 |
88 | 4.26 | 4.24108676272799 | 0.0367811890245477 | 4.24213204824746 | -0.0189132372720087 |
89 | 4.4 | 4.43845372383727 | 0.0652107594445442 | 4.29633551671818 | 0.0384537238372715 |
90 | 4.61 | 4.79316576758335 | 0.0959441322734303 | 4.33089010014322 | 0.183165767583353 |
91 | 4.63 | 4.79249325221374 | 0.102062064218015 | 4.36544468356825 | 0.162493252213737 |
92 | 4.48 | 4.54140131353824 | 0.0416653119161519 | 4.37693337454561 | 0.0614013135382372 |
93 | 4.46 | 4.51723248440928 | 0.0143454500677471 | 4.38842206552297 | 0.057232484409278 |
94 | 4.45 | 4.49435987574593 | 0.00743468709812412 | 4.39820543715595 | 0.04435987574593 |
95 | 4.32 | 4.26419711064986 | -0.0321859194387824 | 4.40798880878892 | -0.0558028893501357 |
96 | 4.52 | 4.65737898461373 | -0.0545425724138558 | 4.43716358780013 | 0.137378984613728 |
97 | 4.21 | 4.08879756500891 | -0.135135931820242 | 4.46633836681133 | -0.121202434991093 |
98 | 3.97 | 3.5291301705882 | -0.0968537865840523 | 4.50772361599586 | -0.440869829411804 |
99 | 4.12 | 3.73561653369562 | -0.0447253988759947 | 4.54910886518038 | -0.384383466304383 |
100 | 4.5 | 4.39990213357614 | 0.0367811890245477 | 4.56331667739931 | -0.10009786642386 |
101 | 4.73 | 4.81726475093721 | 0.0652107594445442 | 4.57752448961825 | 0.0872647509372104 |
102 | 5.26 | 5.89441204876456 | 0.0959441322734303 | 4.52964381896201 | 0.634412048764556 |
103 | 5.2 | 5.8161747874762 | 0.102062064218015 | 4.48176314830578 | 0.616174787476204 |
104 | 4.94 | 5.47643795524337 | 0.0416653119161519 | 4.36189673284048 | 0.536437955243373 |
105 | 4.95 | 5.64362423255708 | 0.0143454500677471 | 4.24203031737517 | 0.693624232557083 |
106 | 4.52 | 4.98829319853588 | 0.00743468709812412 | 4.044272114366 | 0.468293198535878 |
107 | 3.85 | 3.88567200808196 | -0.0321859194387824 | 3.84651391135683 | 0.0356720080819573 |
108 | 3.41 | 3.28099347912725 | -0.0545425724138558 | 3.59354909328661 | -0.129006520872752 |
109 | 2.95 | 2.69455165660385 | -0.135135931820242 | 3.34058427521639 | -0.255448343396149 |
110 | 2.68 | 2.3623788245151 | -0.0968537865840523 | 3.09447496206896 | -0.317621175484903 |
111 | 2.53 | 2.25635974995447 | -0.0447253988759947 | 2.84836564892152 | -0.273640250045526 |
112 | 2.44 | 2.18627733979356 | 0.0367811890245477 | 2.6569414711819 | -0.253722660206444 |
113 | 2.16 | 1.78927194711318 | 0.0652107594445442 | 2.46551729344227 | -0.370728052886817 |
114 | 2.2 | 1.95977690002557 | 0.0959441322734303 | 2.344278967701 | -0.240223099974433 |
115 | 2.1 | 1.87489729382225 | 0.102062064218015 | 2.22304064195973 | -0.225102706177748 |
116 | 2.29 | 2.38501101610965 | 0.0416653119161519 | 2.1533236719742 | 0.0950110161096491 |
117 | 2.03 | 1.96204784794359 | 0.0143454500677471 | 2.08360670198867 | -0.0679521520564124 |
118 | 2.05 | 2.05620224420779 | 0.00743468709812412 | 2.03636306869408 | 0.00620224420779181 |
119 | 1.94 | 1.92306648403928 | -0.0321859194387824 | 1.9891194353995 | -0.0169335159607205 |
120 | 1.87 | 1.84590617403063 | -0.0545425724138558 | 1.94863639838323 | -0.024093825969373 |
121 | 1.89 | 2.00698257045329 | -0.135135931820242 | 1.90815336136696 | 0.116982570453287 |
122 | 1.94 | 2.10656992084744 | -0.0968537865840523 | 1.87028386573662 | 0.166569920847436 |
123 | 1.79 | 1.79231102876972 | -0.0447253988759947 | 1.83241437010628 | 0.00231102876971634 |
124 | 1.71 | 1.57541002014238 | 0.0367811890245477 | 1.80780879083307 | -0.134589979857621 |
125 | 1.66 | 1.47158602899559 | 0.0652107594445442 | 1.78320321155987 | -0.188413971004412 |
126 | 1.74 | 1.60122606173284 | 0.0959441322734303 | 1.78282980599373 | -0.138773938267164 |
127 | 1.83 | 1.77548153535439 | 0.102062064218015 | 1.7824564004276 | -0.0545184646456149 |
128 | 1.64 | 1.42329184021383 | 0.0416653119161519 | 1.81504284787001 | -0.216708159786166 |
129 | 1.69 | 1.51802525461983 | 0.0143454500677471 | 1.84762929531243 | -0.171974745380175 |
130 | 1.78 | 1.64655421622562 | 0.00743468709812412 | 1.90601109667626 | -0.133445783774384 |
131 | 1.89 | 1.84779302139869 | -0.0321859194387824 | 1.96439289804009 | -0.0422069786013097 |
132 | 1.95 | 1.93798833895597 | -0.0545425724138558 | 2.01655423345789 | -0.0120116610440331 |
133 | 2.05 | 2.16642036294456 | -0.135135931820242 | 2.06871556887569 | 0.116420362944556 |
134 | 2.24 | 2.48559372814956 | -0.0968537865840523 | 2.09126005843449 | 0.245593728149562 |
135 | 2.38 | 2.6909208508827 | -0.0447253988759947 | 2.1138045479933 | 0.310920850882699 |
136 | 2.53 | 2.9175419030751 | 0.0367811890245477 | 2.10567690790035 | 0.3875419030751 |
137 | 2.36 | 2.55723997274805 | 0.0652107594445442 | 2.09754926780741 | 0.197239972748048 |
138 | 2.22 | 2.28734549126235 | 0.0959441322734303 | 2.05671037646422 | 0.067345491262353 |
139 | 2.12 | 2.12206645066096 | 0.102062064218015 | 2.01587148512103 | 0.00206645066095845 |
140 | 1.75 | 1.52009051243759 | 0.0416653119161519 | 1.93824417564626 | -0.229909487562407 |
141 | 1.76 | 1.64503768376077 | 0.0143454500677471 | 1.86061686617148 | -0.114962316239231 |
142 | 1.81 | 1.85401105579502 | 0.00743468709812412 | 1.75855425710686 | 0.0440110557950171 |
143 | 1.71 | 1.79569427139655 | -0.0321859194387824 | 1.65649164804223 | 0.0856942713965487 |
144 | 1.74 | 1.98807507894286 | -0.0545425724138558 | 1.54646749347099 | 0.248075078942861 |
145 | 1.48 | 1.65869259292049 | -0.135135931820242 | 1.43644333889976 | 0.178692592920485 |
146 | 1.24 | 1.26789188600746 | -0.0968537865840523 | 1.30896190057659 | 0.0278918860074608 |
147 | 1.16 | 1.18324493662257 | -0.0447253988759947 | 1.18148046225343 | 0.023244936622568 |
148 | 1.11 | 1.12822718689852 | 0.0367811890245477 | 1.05499162407693 | 0.0182271868985193 |
149 | 0.98 | 0.966286454655016 | 0.0652107594445442 | 0.928502785900439 | -0.0137135453449836 |
150 | 0.94 | 0.984586621306694 | 0.0959441322734303 | 0.799469246419876 | 0.0445866213066938 |
151 | 0.65 | 0.527502228842672 | 0.102062064218015 | 0.670435706939312 | -0.122497771157328 |
152 | 0.42 | 0.25952271084555 | 0.0416653119161519 | 0.538811977238298 | -0.16047728915445 |
153 | 0.41 | 0.398466302394969 | 0.0143454500677471 | 0.407188247537284 | -0.0115336976050312 |
154 | 0.4 | 0.518189126770792 | 0.00743468709812412 | 0.274376186131084 | 0.118189126770792 |