Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
timeY[t]F[t]95% LB95% UBp-value
(H0: Y[t] = F[t])
P(F[t]>Y[t-1])P(F[t]>Y[t-s])P(F[t]>Y[63])
629266-------
639820-------
64100979896.27129044.026610748.51590.32220.56960.56960.5696
6591159884.86319024.168410745.55780.03980.31450.31450.5587
66104119872.88879008.76110737.01640.11110.95720.95720.5477
6796789867.18418996.318310738.04980.33510.11050.11050.5423
68104089864.95728984.668510745.24590.11330.66140.66140.5399
69101539864.16528973.239910755.09060.26260.11580.11580.5387
70103689863.89848961.954210765.84270.13670.26490.26490.538
71105819863.81178950.804510776.81890.06180.13950.13950.5375
72105979863.78428939.788110787.78030.05990.06410.06410.537
73106809863.77568928.901110798.65010.04350.06210.06210.5366
7497389863.7738918.139510809.40650.39720.04530.04530.5361
7595569863.77228907.49910820.04540.26410.60170.60170.5357


Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time% S.E.PEMAPESq.EMSERMSE
640.04390.0203040292.034900
650.0444-0.07790.0491592689.2668316490.6508562.575
660.04470.05450.0509289563.7688307515.0235554.5404
670.045-0.01920.04335790.6205239583.9227489.4731
680.04550.0550.0454294895.4737250646.2329500.6458
690.04610.02930.042783425.5279222776.1154471.9916
700.04670.05110.0439254118.4023227253.585476.7112
710.04720.07270.0475514359.0911263141.7732512.9735
720.04780.07430.0505537605.4491293637.7372541.8835
730.04840.08270.0537666222.2489330896.1884575.2358
740.0489-0.01280.0515818.8445302252.7935549.7752
750.0495-0.03120.048494723.7221284958.7042533.8152