| Structural Time Series Model | |||||
| t | Observed | Level | Slope | Seasonal | Stand. Residuals |
| 1 | 0.0589999409995141 | 0.0589999409995141 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | -1.41417450501306 | -0.123292393267956 | -0.0607976827267554 | -0.0607473258748129 | -0.172088340977774 |
| 3 | -18.3846475755861 | -3.15995243686666 | -0.805735466995839 | -0.804035884916379 | -2.0675543561456 |
| 4 | 4.24266776527226 | -2.25220637774522 | -0.462248374843591 | -0.461991227944477 | 1.01221981551347 |
| 5 | -9.89940750475467 | -4.08133813389685 | -0.690896346855677 | -0.689051736057166 | -0.750663705895213 |
| 6 | -1.41416601970523 | -3.93347766972767 | -0.5704147144669 | -0.569855171452698 | 0.452003441822474 |
| 7 | -4.94968147844429 | -4.47841370250034 | -0.567204451108804 | -0.566695097585179 | 0.0139094802486613 |
| 8 | 8.48527118362683 | -2.22363436962555 | -0.250113109766888 | -0.256624806193405 | 1.58940722366622 |
| 9 | 5.65684722004823 | -0.8524232115634 | -0.085453540682702 | -0.0969880539674551 | 0.951556971387952 |
| 10 | 2.12135156036077 | -0.351591494169545 | -0.0310300679592416 | -0.0447982076133589 | 0.360360301800313 |
| 11 | -12.7278137906086 | -2.57324058534105 | -0.218702518994061 | -0.222323682620485 | -1.41296476503506 |
| 12 | -1.41417238368611 | -2.51889230311181 | -0.196928668260704 | -0.202071208303448 | 0.184851892491586 |
| 13 | -5.65678640867546 | -2.95596694742039 | -0.219894537956556 | 2.32118560360435 | -0.650982229265393 |
| 14 | 5.71546709301464 | -1.52010068644777 | -0.103559755784587 | -0.106233643316943 | 1.0450233231137 |
| 15 | 11.430917448217 | 0.618753534662468 | 0.045933795113121 | 0.0251075384076909 | 1.52314349028581 |
| 16 | 4.0824915417843 | 1.21003237506517 | 0.080649499094752 | 0.0547095541945761 | 0.395249860521186 |
| 17 | -5.71542749248443 | 0.213517826107568 | 0.0147810102612305 | 0.00049341033422249 | -0.827146315015427 |
| 18 | -4.89893277693375 | -0.517985414053097 | -0.0293036033429731 | -0.0343294704563694 | -0.603512271373997 |
| 19 | 5.30722585896545 | 0.274109403527778 | 0.0178185001098453 | 0.00117220129001869 | 0.695874556787073 |
| 20 | -8.98140023237252 | -0.95302403652541 | -0.0518866321535556 | -0.0485924235416044 | -1.09973698737252 |
| 21 | -0.816480018948223 | -0.974175834461055 | -0.0501993690977774 | -0.0474586206361124 | 0.0281892666750719 |
| 22 | -3.67419274460486 | -1.35149062473331 | -0.067881207342902 | -0.0585642320801728 | -0.310300905539172 |
| 23 | 2.44950292718234 | -0.939254072575877 | -0.0422297962833297 | -0.0436139097523582 | 0.46935326083715 |
| 24 | -7.34841447478369 | -1.73554663430565 | -0.0821867184781329 | -0.0650636737793032 | -0.757148449697881 |
| 25 | -12.2473676641251 | -2.78282910226174 | -0.148693168388258 | 0.670661561814619 | -1.35865981873875 |
| 26 | 13.5676795115537 | -0.932319046073655 | -0.0458488177739959 | -0.0101837785197974 | 1.98160392178823 |
| 27 | -7.50550178552387 | -1.74513945565619 | -0.0852622647454024 | -0.0278552885773578 | -0.781356395141073 |
| 28 | -10.1035605510469 | -2.77959072462355 | -0.134102158944576 | -0.0475660288690052 | -0.990169921521089 |
| 29 | 4.61879420118808 | -2.05743285484998 | -0.089904057960544 | -0.0316561758097096 | 0.911542413377938 |
| 30 | -12.9903024874634 | -3.34915916333673 | -0.152227138700917 | -0.0514718277950706 | -1.30163441485607 |
| 31 | 3.7527758629083 | -2.70012303669956 | -0.110438262961532 | -0.039860212369743 | 0.880423467316854 |
| 32 | -14.1450008210891 | -4.03563124964201 | -0.17474232181563 | -0.055290279630515 | -1.3622417679734 |
| 33 | -2.30938107887528 | -4.00008778376254 | -0.163628501037079 | -0.0530187076896708 | 0.236103743560088 |
| 34 | -11.2582591729112 | -4.91524638899912 | -0.203627429017137 | -0.0598694110636522 | -0.850295404504883 |
| 35 | -4.33008822361948 | -5.02879339091513 | -0.198799491107647 | -0.0591904349893116 | 0.102522288412941 |
| 36 | 1.29908651985677e-05 | -4.66868763042572 | -0.168641227519981 | -0.0557985546901585 | 0.638884257958652 |
| 37 | 16.454417696876 | -2.76825836360653 | -0.0343022211778635 | 1.1617219368121 | 2.47042813910132 |
| 38 | 7.82621147962468 | -1.66317077962391 | 0.0267588098209733 | -0.098359132939544 | 1.29686482667607 |
| 39 | 4.02491438422167 | -1.02749674487556 | 0.0596248729555029 | -0.0952552229961895 | 0.696069475438296 |
| 40 | -8.72060773063855 | -1.7751967522591 | 0.0157560754139357 | -0.098424388396389 | -0.92563699069902 |
| 41 | -0.894411455568734 | -1.65803640576938 | 0.0213005645976422 | -0.0981355555019615 | 0.116481433541863 |
| 42 | -0.223594253653449 | -1.47780265710449 | 0.0300398559460746 | -0.0978392392692634 | 0.182732612853399 |
| 43 | -6.93176357788012 | -2.01414142239468 | -0.00126210044968311 | -0.0983894738050703 | -0.651293350692112 |
| 44 | -2.01244265593132 | -2.00474103864638 | -0.000670170899289278 | -0.0983876965225126 | 0.0122554970262099 |
| 45 | -7.1553761680782 | -2.53734570795984 | -0.0303161203717765 | -0.0980932798939452 | -0.610840338008991 |
| 46 | 0.223617958497356 | -2.26302996260372 | -0.0132813257675618 | -0.0984566763400646 | 0.349372630351554 |
| 47 | 8.27342503551901 | -1.15199718390476 | 0.0497674503479265 | -0.100430740888403 | 1.2874723278395 |
| 48 | 15.2051986751483 | 0.633037488525229 | 0.147305256970561 | -0.104329182255073 | 1.98374148713693 |
| 49 | 2.90688653528183 | 0.885827968814085 | 0.153707297040991 | 1.18030651902448 | 0.1159728140442 |
| 50 | -12.7801213366766 | -0.405914505539012 | 0.0728595204386704 | -0.107279899128901 | -1.65795194595929 |
| 51 | -3.10373653589491 | -0.614135213604137 | 0.0570986122704938 | -0.107144000397955 | -0.32201707926698 |
| 52 | -7.1203466912372 | -1.23927483364298 | 0.0187626174677725 | -0.106530627234875 | -0.780538087533443 |
| 53 | -3.46888342810694 | -1.44716187669746 | 0.00600436323176131 | -0.106244128560311 | -0.258928645810242 |
| 54 | -8.3983624583384 | -2.16716793816627 | -0.0349220400140501 | -0.105095874201936 | -0.828162848674775 |
| 55 | 2.55603701106735 | -1.68598531351767 | -0.00579501211398939 | -0.106053141251186 | 0.587839319849929 |
| 56 | 0.182580385499283 | -1.48131717051928 | 0.00609328306360357 | -0.106492327786218 | 0.239364889095731 |
| 57 | 10.5892565952768 | -0.180059598226255 | 0.0793007021498396 | -0.109446033630601 | 1.47095842458886 |
| 58 | 15.7013138196074 | 1.59457438717462 | 0.175171723332635 | -0.113581267462368 | 1.92290807119331 |
| 59 | 6.75522353446613 | 2.31366701572767 | 0.205939655148419 | -0.114976706906194 | 0.616183813433953 |
| 60 | 5.11206123957597 | 2.8087145694834 | 0.22229625861212 | -0.115746411739963 | 0.327154591581637 |
| 61 | 8.76352852127385 | 3.51611391935093 | 0.25018222288303 | 1.41690905914753 | 0.528335449368755 |
