| Structural Time Series Model | |||||
| t | Observed | Level | Slope | Seasonal | Stand. Residuals |
| 1 | 867.887509505211 | 867.887509505211 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | -2250.28069676838 | 482.135137691015 | -128.584123938065 | -128.584124082563 | -0.0336588434170022 |
| 3 | 33618.3570412959 | 5827.8728013825 | 1239.99632296932 | 1239.99632296932 | 0.351730048858743 |
| 4 | 9954.34468238836 | 7380.49156696043 | 1302.52081149104 | 1302.52081149105 | 0.0170903372715027 |
| 5 | 354.191730842355 | 6728.8280946165 | 976.823430851881 | 976.823430851879 | -0.0993969702204615 |
| 6 | 18882.406400463 | 9813.3856622159 | 1277.9283075301 | 1277.9283075301 | 0.105303005820063 |
| 7 | 20229.4310915672 | 12699.0794089071 | 1478.89898742523 | 1478.89898742523 | 0.0814684163085219 |
| 8 | 268402.416151187 | 64503.4064482069 | 7070.6132154113 | 7070.61321541132 | 2.63468433830274 |
| 9 | -113346.926055862 | 34717.0077719534 | 3384.91202624482 | 3384.91202624481 | -2.01426689415987 |
| 10 | -45016.394227939 | 22176.6418991186 | 1937.15948996485 | 1937.15948996485 | -0.913467306676191 |
| 11 | 35069.861367254 | 25701.7791747331 | 2069.49097210232 | 2069.49097210232 | 0.0958383396219359 |
| 12 | 58531.0957290091 | 32597.1855060217 | 2440.71523050126 | 2440.71523050126 | 0.306677427551755 |
| 13 | -77256.3771198791 | 31748.4883560801 | 2205.75720332678 | -24263.3292415882 | -1.00516658066521 |
| 14 | -31473.594568955 | 21903.7168589536 | 1402.38862329656 | 1402.38862401665 | -0.719008512428302 |
| 15 | -52391.0075132882 | 10487.607215225 | 601.232481607484 | 601.232481607483 | -0.826393105169983 |
| 16 | 32854.9847569661 | 14393.1575132824 | 795.604117869243 | 795.604117869245 | 0.228414178405465 |
| 17 | 101107.732845397 | 27731.7130740247 | 1492.43475358441 | 1492.43475358442 | 0.924021815061962 |
| 18 | -176275.960398033 | 316.700765591786 | -29.0098286270242 | -29.0098286270187 | -2.25824451512009 |
| 19 | 79531.884415102 | 10817.3381036684 | 497.47252970816 | 497.472529708158 | 0.868665773764188 |
| 20 | -176414.251561376 | -12536.1648656564 | -638.288208341031 | -638.288208341026 | -2.07060096354289 |
| 21 | 151290.579462589 | 6835.67346633311 | 271.26299803763 | 271.262998037632 | 1.82254753694878 |
| 22 | 167731.594163443 | 25737.7661888837 | 1081.29907301645 | 1081.29907301646 | 1.77564787964596 |
| 23 | 143237.122434691 | 39691.4710615711 | 1617.64931466941 | 1617.64931466942 | 1.28077720379748 |
| 24 | 80251.9665265577 | 45317.9401951903 | 1778.0021074274 | 1778.0021074274 | 0.415551869814646 |
| 25 | 118735.726273623 | 52762.2071150277 | 1995.93536944317 | -21955.2890554256 | 1.05779316057466 |
| 26 | 75035.8259037494 | 56715.5141507759 | 2068.43061634336 | 2068.43060928413 | 0.203612127549494 |
| 27 | 19198.3085437346 | 54503.6230956098 | 1915.56198521802 | 1915.56198521802 | -0.465119948473153 |
| 28 | -36364.5639276314 | 47058.9942567177 | 1592.79678438664 | 1592.79678438663 | -1.05990664119725 |
| 29 | -36170.5787440905 | 40420.0893007341 | 1318.4067263743 | 1318.4067263743 | -0.969241436163834 |
| 30 | -109567.395064155 | 27702.7769171124 | 865.641593793778 | 865.64159379379 | -1.71517306419433 |
| 31 | -100783.336097857 | 16989.6403668657 | 503.804776792514 | 503.804776792519 | -1.46597719861144 |
| 32 | -149267.403931369 | 3092.66704437377 | 67.417561662683 | 67.4175616626907 | -1.88615204328821 |
| 33 | 38947.3510583149 | 6141.54072467201 | 155.107447504905 | 155.107447504901 | 0.403407564198154 |
| 34 | 58613.0600994635 | 10522.4080400068 | 275.843443728617 | 275.843443728619 | 0.589927166576592 |
| 35 | 16074.4602044407 | 11191.8507338121 | 286.776756230746 | 286.776756230748 | 0.0566273104233811 |
| 36 | -41563.0049150659 | 7396.0976591097 | 176.438112151472 | 176.438112151475 | -0.604672401901499 |
| 37 | -15970.5964777959 | 6411.81448088498 | 145.892815036309 | -1604.8209666728 | -0.250259560008362 |
| 38 | -47563.9548420802 | 2466.99044098925 | 41.0026392688208 | 41.0026361663814 | -0.615758384449737 |
| 39 | 59595.3577179922 | 6689.08144556856 | 145.529848401583 | 145.529848401584 | 0.648055805604832 |
| 40 | 65897.8405390448 | 11037.4397091987 | 248.037858529108 | 248.037858529104 | 0.670056365754829 |
| 41 | -166489.283203891 | -1085.49373156325 | -46.5090771682974 | -46.5090771683089 | -2.02671385233897 |
| 42 | 46312.3269884632 | 2085.63969192005 | 28.319818195693 | 28.319818195703 | 0.541191538800866 |
| 43 | -15952.8722863516 | 917.68571785496 | 1.13177746249352 | 1.13177746250445 | -0.206396993693554 |
| 44 | -87780.6523566012 | -4807.19275866092 | -126.112894848137 | -126.112894848127 | -1.01261777883752 |
| 45 | 134744.172737777 | 3885.23157434513 | 65.5944361921715 | 65.594436192171 | 1.59733112229586 |
| 46 | 75232.8122408289 | 8343.07783402122 | 159.046602649276 | 159.046602649279 | 0.814321210688312 |
| 47 | 24408.7558471514 | 9452.3122092113 | 178.842181243876 | 178.842181243879 | 0.180198808957868 |
| 48 | -15406.1403381955 | 8141.77311559246 | 148.446645022188 | 148.44664502219 | -0.288750709949241 |
| 49 | -3766.75348767364 | 7817.51174780277 | 138.992484765951 | -1528.91732977798 | -0.120937216469998 |
| 50 | 27197.2239951006 | 9064.86832035272 | 160.725113938186 | 160.725112874488 | 0.218863341042955 |
| 51 | -46777.2890031503 | 6035.0319036994 | 99.3681614268108 | 99.368161426814 | -0.643941291192813 |
| 52 | -82472.8212609495 | 1198.01549146159 | 6.22882984823297 | 6.22882984822569 | -1.01771019548593 |
| 53 | -35154.7184801844 | -779.129454254367 | -30.5003141436965 | -30.5003141437091 | -0.417463225964831 |
| 54 | -46946.870011609 | -3275.44489119386 | -75.3333163763473 | -75.333316376336 | -0.529601187669513 |
| 55 | -43641.5364941684 | -5460.69990868224 | -113.010489610491 | -113.010489610475 | -0.462187646004049 |
| 56 | -54920.7084991732 | -8108.87273695363 | -157.4870218677 | -157.487021867688 | -0.566136994558455 |
| 57 | 54905.4038222157 | -5064.57656837232 | -102.283863411682 | -102.283863411682 | 0.728588209068161 |
| 58 | -10509.5840707596 | -5427.09970764403 | -106.69469859575 | -106.694698595748 | -0.0603195145012887 |
| 59 | -13706.8046976985 | -5927.39911827395 | -113.254777129653 | -113.254777129653 | -0.0928900608170904 |
| 60 | -42347.6087628011 | -7776.66624250811 | -141.713995934645 | -141.713995934641 | -0.416987561775341 |
| 61 | -28990.4687708701 | -8796.93347975583 | -155.884209504211 | 1714.72630184939 | -0.263025734938178 |
