Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[60])
59	964526	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
60	850851	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
61	683118	1289323.0767	351310.0286	2227336.1249	0.1026	0.8202	0.8202	0.8202
62	847224	1361636.5646	132559.8466	2590713.2826	0.206	0.8604	0.8604	0.7923
63	1073256	1529015.8372	280694.0401	2777337.6343	0.2371	0.8578	0.8578	0.8565
64	1514326	1679458.2022	404276.6492	2954639.7552	0.3998	0.8243	0.8243	0.8986
65	1503734	1637442.771	358330.2558	2916555.2862	0.4188	0.5748	0.5748	0.886
66	1507712	1559736.5405	249049.0441	2870424.0368	0.469	0.5334	0.5334	0.8554
67	2865698	1519425.8609	195991.7934	2842859.9285	0.0231	0.5069	0.5069	0.839
68	2788128	1425929.5253	96550.3139	2755308.7367	0.0223	0.0169	0.0169	0.8017
69	1391596	1396353.0373	65842.902	2726863.1726	0.4972	0.0202	0.0202	0.7892
70	1366378	1402888.4407	69505.9378	2736270.9437	0.4786	0.5066	0.5066	0.7915
71	946295	1417624.0229	79878.0447	2755370.0011	0.2449	0.5299	0.5299	0.7968
72	859626	1445196.5517	103169.8605	2787223.243	0.1962	0.7669	0.7669	0.8073

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
61	0.3712	-0.4702	0	367484595046.607	0	0
62	0.4605	-0.3778	0.424	264620286598.952	316052440822.779	562185.415
63	0.4165	-0.2981	0.382	207717029184.871	279940636943.477	529094.1664
64	0.3874	-0.0983	0.3111	27268644205.761	216772638759.048	465588.4865
65	0.3986	-0.0817	0.2652	17878035442.2656	176993718095.691	420706.2135
66	0.4287	-0.0334	0.2266	2706552812.5309	147945857215.165	384637.3061
67	0.4444	0.886	0.3208	1812448672447.39	385731973676.912	621073.2434
68	0.4757	0.9553	0.4001	1855584684407	569463562518.173	754628.0955
69	0.4861	-0.0034	0.356	22629403.5093	506192347727.655	711471.9585
70	0.4849	-0.026	0.323	1333012280.636	455706414182.953	675060.3041
71	0.4815	-0.3325	0.3239	222151047801.858	434474108148.308	659146.4998
72	0.4738	-0.4052	0.3307	342892871047.593	426842338389.915	653331.7216