| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||
| Iteration | ar1 | sar1 | sar2 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.0216 | 0.9343 | -0.0197 |
| (p-val) | (0.9132 ) | (0 ) | (0.9131 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0 | 0.9515 | -0.0348 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (0.7666 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0 | 0.919 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 257512.287528249 |
| 270379.954145705 |
| 299952.738128869 |
| 532222.950012877 |
| 229265.569873434 |
| -42590.6034762035 |
| 1595129.70090817 |
| -123597.463914668 |
| -1102008.20563733 |
| 130051.138578804 |
| -251005.473833444 |
| 35302.7075685696 |
| -141093.334502334 |
| 323126.490294741 |
| 261774.075830102 |
| 532887.545477915 |
| 257542.449303715 |
| -53204.7745860806 |
| 1891921.51290298 |
| -632790.51219003 |
| -880832.480697584 |
| 200920.851839595 |
| -319085.204422244 |
| -66550.6725634817 |
| -53737.3509760821 |
| 250627.980414687 |
| 367157.33919471 |
| 590834.64958316 |
| -66582.2131919176 |
| 315493.995008127 |
| 1400830.82638284 |
| -20191.3289042208 |
| -1010959.03367958 |
| 116301.02078747 |
| -271855.18747005 |
| 15856.2296563569 |
| -146725.163353417 |
| 243384.174836854 |
| 282005.778528724 |
| 560737.086428002 |
| 26416.7216380166 |
| 127837.327203423 |
| 1517928.33904322 |
| -13811.1312643718 |
| -1042374.7182305 |
| 101321.268591185 |
| -293377.781427091 |
| 28104.7401323087 |
| -169590.569254589 |
| 386424.599483919 |
| 274817.373478184 |
| 329742.411415129 |
| 369253.512854569 |
| -36780.4570822248 |
| 1553843.7177061 |
| 50576.7322775894 |
| -1132348.7579625 |
| 128084.540598471 |
| -290201.037987548 |
| -19168.8306484895 |
| -92866.8619782767 |
| 226875.745251611 |
| 290924.292345003 |
| 522643.269161309 |
| 100252.155633735 |
| 129665.080460988 |
| 1483497.31157067 |
| 113970.375927826 |
| -1161474.00522473 |
| 139378.374657845 |
| -305333.666557383 |
| 6819.54990400327 |
