| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | ||||
| Iteration | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | -0.9957 | -0.4804 | -0.3879 | -0.1714 |
| (p-val) | (0.3816 ) | (0.2684 ) | (0.1088 ) | (0.7308 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | -0.9748 | -0.6204 | -0.444 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (0.0029 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| -3.98983609339458 |
| 13.2817171415819 |
| -6.34780562487891 |
| -4.74211452072105 |
| 4.20242147892954 |
| 0.299206480794082 |
| 61.3636801675197 |
| -64.3953837515331 |
| -3.23730028234655 |
| 23.0998148705438 |
| -2.57945357734746 |
| -47.0842599801305 |
| -6.53182640160021 |
| -27.6946019905594 |
| 15.050302995197 |
| 30.1207233550415 |
| -80.2237378600204 |
| 53.645451643427 |
| -54.3825701257508 |
| 52.2544320899809 |
| 52.9086107517312 |
| 24.471318698534 |
| 32.2995136226125 |
| 47.529879897842 |
| 12.525915519747 |
| -12.2477269752044 |
| -29.7535321518396 |
| -22.503410834276 |
| -55.6403707738134 |
| -35.6402251767357 |
| -38.3849578032312 |
| 11.4446644631954 |
| 11.8339163414272 |
| -5.16626868100656 |
| -16.8965871388861 |
| -6.4601365816105 |
| -30.3529061697478 |
| 30.4489188506752 |
| 18.5688117382343 |
| -75.8621591012352 |
| 28.4616071711861 |
| -13.4259294779652 |
| -39.8338841140554 |
| 61.2141178518521 |
| 14.2244032308124 |
| 1.71574964327873 |
| 5.32330337753791 |
| 2.0374264089354 |
| 15.2685096120916 |
| -28.2155022887396 |
| -34.8626456084298 |
| -13.435678168019 |
| -22.0696779124865 |
| -21.5586514890212 |
| -21.6138506684203 |
| 25.8536857171999 |
| -12.0638245757919 |
| -6.26060947706082 |
| -16.7946387023609 |
| -12.199079258321 |
