Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
timeY[t]F[t]95% LB95% UBp-value
(H0: Y[t] = F[t])
P(F[t]>Y[t-1])P(F[t]>Y[t-s])P(F[t]>Y[60])
5962-------
6058-------
613947.586424.761570.41130.23050.18560.18560.1856
624946.299623.412569.18680.40860.73410.73410.1582
635848.270724.741771.79970.20880.47580.47580.2088
644749.820225.996473.64390.40830.25050.25050.2505
654250.511226.654174.36830.24220.61350.61350.2692
666250.735226.878174.59230.17740.76350.76350.2753
673950.789126.926974.65120.16640.17860.17860.2768
684050.79726.92774.66690.18770.83360.83360.2771
697250.796426.918174.67470.04090.81220.81220.2772
707050.795526.908874.68220.05750.04090.04090.2772
715450.795126.974.69020.39630.05760.05760.2773
726550.79526.891674.69840.12210.39640.39640.2773


Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time% S.E.PEMAPESq.EMSERMSE
610.2447-0.1804073.726300
620.25220.05830.11947.29240.50926.3647
630.24870.20160.146894.660258.55957.6524
640.244-0.05660.12427.953445.9086.7755
650.241-0.16850.133172.4451.21447.1564
660.23990.2220.1479126.895663.82797.9892
670.2397-0.23210.1599138.981774.56428.6351
680.2397-0.21260.1665116.574479.81558.9339
690.23980.41740.1944449.5921120.901710.9955
700.23990.37810.2128368.8124145.692812.0703
710.240.06310.199210.2713133.381811.5491
720.24010.27970.2059201.7819139.081811.7933