Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
timeY[t]F[t]95% LB95% UBp-value
(H0: Y[t] = F[t])
P(F[t]>Y[t-1])P(F[t]>Y[t-s])P(F[t]>Y[60])
4869-------
4960-------
5056-------
5158-------
5250-------
5351-------
5453-------
5537-------
5622-------
5755-------
5870-------
5962-------
6058-------
613954.306836.410772.20290.04680.34290.26650.3429
624951.727833.80769.64860.38270.9180.32020.2464
635864.659246.511882.80650.2360.95460.7640.764
644749.65431.501167.8070.38720.18380.48510.1838
654249.874531.705968.04310.19780.62180.45170.1904
666257.94939.779476.11860.33110.95730.70330.4978
673937.396619.22555.56820.43130.0040.51710.0131
684027.06558.893645.23740.08150.0990.70764e-04
697253.456635.282471.63080.02280.92660.43390.3121
707061.502143.327179.67720.17970.12880.17970.6472
715447.241429.051265.43160.23320.00710.05590.1232
726554.50636.312472.69950.12910.52170.35330.3533


Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time% S.E.PEMAPESq.EMSERMSE
610.1681-0.28190234.298300
620.1768-0.05270.16737.4411120.869710.9941
630.1432-0.1030.145944.344695.36139.7653
640.1865-0.05350.12287.043973.2828.5605
650.1859-0.15790.129862.007771.02718.4278
660.160.06990.119816.410861.92447.8692
670.24790.04290.10882.570953.44537.3106
680.34260.47790.1549167.301867.67748.2266
690.17350.34690.1763343.858798.36429.9179
700.15080.13820.172572.213595.74919.7851
710.19650.14310.169845.679291.19739.5497
720.17030.19250.1717110.124792.77469.632