Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 851 | 0 | 86 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 88.1 | 84.6849892723555 | -8.68577817985886 | 100.200788907503 | -3.41501072764449 |
2 | 101.7 | 102.943312193498 | 0.270580515569409 | 100.186107290933 | 1.24331219349769 |
3 | 114.8 | 115.548793768194 | 13.8797805574438 | 100.171425674362 | 0.74879376819375 |
4 | 103.4 | 110.82639697762 | -4.23823423933358 | 100.211837261714 | 7.42639697761973 |
5 | 96.4 | 96.7468639861875 | -4.19911283525267 | 100.252248849065 | 0.346863986187472 |
6 | 110 | 111.225718825713 | 8.41807728203632 | 100.356203892251 | 1.22571882571272 |
7 | 71.1 | 67.0331562122072 | -25.293315147644 | 100.460158935437 | -4.06684378779275 |
8 | 79.4 | 74.1899914143786 | -15.9341315835746 | 100.544140169196 | -5.21000858562145 |
9 | 119.2 | 119.846823531929 | 17.9250550651155 | 100.628121402955 | 0.646823531929215 |
10 | 99.1 | 87.5642967048969 | 9.99238627295999 | 100.643317022143 | -11.5357032951031 |
11 | 113.2 | 120.624643585172 | 5.11684377349725 | 100.658512641331 | 7.42464358517182 |
12 | 103.6 | 103.559728391798 | 2.74784813016758 | 100.892423478035 | -0.0402716082022181 |
13 | 97.5 | 102.559443865121 | -8.68577817985886 | 101.126334314738 | 5.05944386512054 |
14 | 102.4 | 103.129169576842 | 0.270580515569409 | 101.400249907588 | 0.729169576842338 |
15 | 120.8 | 126.046053942118 | 13.8797805574438 | 101.674165500438 | 5.24605394211802 |
16 | 89.5 | 81.4261010455757 | -4.23823423933358 | 101.812133193758 | -8.07389895442425 |
17 | 101.7 | 105.649011948175 | -4.19911283525267 | 101.950100887077 | 3.94901194817525 |
18 | 112.5 | 114.669026359346 | 8.41807728203632 | 101.912896358618 | 2.16902635934584 |
19 | 72.4 | 68.2176233174857 | -25.293315147644 | 101.875691830158 | -4.18237668251427 |
20 | 84.7 | 83.4881468047704 | -15.9341315835746 | 101.845984778804 | -1.21185319522962 |
21 | 117.2 | 114.658667207434 | 17.9250550651155 | 101.81627772745 | -2.5413327925656 |
22 | 112.8 | 113.72372691225 | 9.99238627295999 | 101.88388681479 | 0.923726912250245 |
23 | 111.3 | 115.531660324373 | 5.11684377349725 | 101.951495902129 | 4.23166032437337 |
24 | 102.3 | 99.7318324010447 | 2.74784813016758 | 102.120319468788 | -2.56816759895527 |
25 | 95.2 | 96.7966351444129 | -8.68577817985886 | 102.289143035446 | 1.59663514441289 |
26 | 103 | 103.159840934249 | 0.270580515569409 | 102.569578550182 | 0.159840934248535 |
27 | 116.4 | 116.070205377638 | 13.8797805574438 | 102.850014064918 | -0.329794622361874 |
28 | 95.1 | 91.2812278997608 | -4.23823423933358 | 103.157006339573 | -3.81877210023919 |
29 | 100.7 | 102.135114221025 | -4.19911283525267 | 103.463998614227 | 1.43511422102529 |
30 | 112.4 | 112.643985710297 | 8.41807728203632 | 103.737937007667 | 0.243985710296684 |
31 | 75.3 | 71.8814397465374 | -25.293315147644 | 104.011875401107 | -3.41856025346263 |
32 | 93.3 | 98.3112793589288 | -15.9341315835746 | 104.222852224646 | 5.01127935892877 |
33 | 118.6 | 114.8411158867 | 17.9250550651155 | 104.433829048185 | -3.75888411330045 |
34 | 118.7 | 122.822833413122 | 9.99238627295999 | 104.584780313918 | 4.12283341312227 |
35 | 110.7 | 111.547424646852 | 5.11684377349725 | 104.73573157965 | 0.847424646852261 |
36 | 113.3 | 119.10441556869 | 2.74784813016758 | 104.747736301143 | 5.80441556868971 |
37 | 89.5 | 82.9260371572239 | -8.68577817985886 | 104.759741022635 | -6.57396284277608 |
38 | 106.3 | 107.651386389665 | 0.270580515569409 | 104.678033094766 | 1.35138638966488 |
39 | 115.1 | 111.72389427566 | 13.8797805574438 | 104.596325166896 | -3.37610572434022 |
40 | 105.7 | 111.141129579404 | -4.23823423933358 | 104.497104659929 | 5.44112957940436 |
41 | 95.8 | 91.4012286822907 | -4.19911283525267 | 104.397884152962 | -4.39877131770929 |
42 | 114.7 | 116.868288883592 | 8.41807728203632 | 104.113633834372 | 2.16828888359152 |
43 | 79.6 | 80.6639316318616 | -25.293315147644 | 103.829383515782 | 1.06393163186159 |
44 | 80.6 | 73.8322012759086 | -15.9341315835746 | 103.301930307666 | -6.76779872409142 |
45 | 125 | 129.300467835335 | 17.9250550651155 | 102.77447709955 | 4.30046783533494 |
46 | 127.5 | 142.944852178531 | 9.99238627295999 | 102.062761548509 | 15.4448521785307 |
47 | 99.5 | 92.5321102290337 | 5.11684377349725 | 101.351045997469 | -6.96788977096631 |
48 | 104.3 | 105.152336765344 | 2.74784813016758 | 100.699815104488 | 0.852336765344177 |
49 | 90 | 88.6371939683514 | -8.68577817985886 | 100.048584211507 | -1.36280603164856 |
50 | 96 | 92.2432075734544 | 0.270580515569409 | 99.4862119109762 | -3.75679242654564 |
51 | 108.9 | 104.996379832111 | 13.8797805574438 | 98.9238396104451 | -3.90362016788882 |
52 | 95.8 | 97.323256875964 | -4.23823423933358 | 98.5149773633696 | 1.52325687596399 |
53 | 87.2 | 80.4929977189586 | -4.19911283525267 | 98.1061151162941 | -6.7070022810414 |
54 | 108.4 | 110.320816453567 | 8.41807728203632 | 98.0611062643967 | 1.92081645356696 |
55 | 74.9 | 77.0772177351446 | -25.293315147644 | 98.0160974124994 | 2.17721773514458 |
56 | 80.8 | 79.3747959794354 | -15.9341315835746 | 98.1593356041391 | -1.42520402056456 |
57 | 119.1 | 121.972371139106 | 17.9250550651155 | 98.3025737957789 | 2.87237113910567 |
58 | 107.9 | 107.302630884827 | 9.99238627295999 | 98.504982842213 | -0.597369115172981 |
59 | 106.9 | 109.975764337856 | 5.11684377349725 | 98.7073918886471 | 3.07576433785565 |
60 | 96.8 | 91.9340458788768 | 2.74784813016758 | 98.9181059909556 | -4.86595412112322 |
61 | 93.7 | 96.9569580865947 | -8.68577817985886 | 99.1288200932642 | 3.25695808659471 |
62 | 95.2 | 90.891716578244 | 0.270580515569409 | 99.2377029061866 | -4.30828342175597 |
63 | 112.7 | 112.173633723447 | 13.8797805574438 | 99.346585719109 | -0.526366276552707 |
64 | 98.5 | 101.782774325711 | -4.23823423933358 | 99.4554599136227 | 3.28277432571086 |
65 | 91.5 | 87.6347787271162 | -4.19911283525267 | 99.5643341081365 | -3.86522127288382 |
66 | 112 | 115.697260593666 | 8.41807728203632 | 99.8846621242973 | 3.6972605936664 |
67 | 76.7 | 78.4883250071859 | -25.293315147644 | 100.204990140458 | 1.78832500718589 |
68 | 84.7 | 84.6126645183366 | -15.9341315835746 | 100.721467065238 | -0.0873354816633878 |
69 | 114.9 | 110.637000944867 | 17.9250550651155 | 101.237943990018 | -4.26299905513328 |
70 | 108.4 | 105.06052905393 | 9.99238627295999 | 101.74708467311 | -3.33947094606954 |
71 | 104.6 | 101.826930870301 | 5.11684377349725 | 102.256225356201 | -2.77306912969854 |
72 | 111.3 | 117.05348470117 | 2.74784813016758 | 102.798667168662 | 5.75348470117009 |
73 | 90.8 | 86.9446691987355 | -8.68577817985886 | 103.341108981123 | -3.85533080126447 |
74 | 109.1 | 113.875973308619 | 0.270580515569409 | 104.053446175812 | 4.77597330861904 |
75 | 121 | 123.354436072057 | 13.8797805574438 | 104.7657833705 | 2.3544360720565 |
76 | 95.2 | 89.6146238239101 | -4.23823423933358 | 105.023610415424 | -5.58537617608995 |
77 | 110.5 | 119.917675374905 | -4.19911283525267 | 105.281437460347 | 9.41767537490536 |
78 | 102.4 | 91.0851145280366 | 8.41807728203632 | 105.296808189927 | -11.3148854719634 |
79 | 86.7 | 93.381136228137 | -25.293315147644 | 105.312178919507 | 6.68113622813701 |
80 | 99.1 | 108.765840433921 | -15.9341315835746 | 105.368291149654 | 9.66584043392093 |
81 | 126 | 128.650541555084 | 17.9250550651155 | 105.4244033798 | 2.65054155508425 |
82 | 110.3 | 105.165204961097 | 9.99238627295999 | 105.442408765943 | -5.13479503890267 |
83 | 104.6 | 98.6227420744177 | 5.11684377349725 | 105.460414152085 | -5.97725792558231 |
84 | 103.1 | 98.0422227037621 | 2.74784813016758 | 105.40992916607 | -5.05777729623792 |
85 | 102 | 107.326333999803 | -8.68577817985886 | 105.359444180056 | 5.32633399980324 |