| Structural Time Series Model | |||||
| t | Observed | Level | Slope | Seasonal | Stand. Residuals |
| 1 | 15579 | 15579 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16348 | 16306.1958626878 | 40.4536014489721 | 41.8041373122104 | 0.405587938190393 |
| 3 | 15928 | 15898.7989038223 | 35.8469153492551 | 29.2010961777378 | -0.415373869861746 |
| 4 | 16171 | 16127.5716472307 | 38.062989105522 | 43.4283527693446 | 0.178664845679122 |
| 5 | 15937 | 15904.7695040654 | 34.3619113146134 | 32.230495934637 | -0.2412588543354 |
| 6 | 15713 | 15679.4143941381 | 30.0454302761112 | 33.5856058619345 | -0.239881891802206 |
| 7 | 15594 | 15559.3106004219 | 27.1993654573184 | 34.6893995780642 | -0.138504501974318 |
| 8 | 15683 | 15645.4806313966 | 28.4493927176952 | 37.5193686033925 | 0.0543296862553791 |
| 9 | 16438 | 16389.0701984943 | 45.1414464693593 | 48.9298015056746 | 0.658068646435764 |
| 10 | 17032 | 16986.9389425975 | 59.1702002309872 | 45.0610574025226 | 0.508030501146461 |
| 11 | 17696 | 17647.3702127588 | 75.5933817629146 | 48.6297872412434 | 0.552029116938942 |
| 12 | 17745 | 17705.994917288 | 75.0989112838135 | 39.0050827119521 | -0.0155628435370805 |
| 13 | 19394 | 19196.5422199502 | 66.6500957619767 | 197.457780049755 | 1.55207641128412 |
| 14 | 20148 | 20124.2529174088 | 107.972793189977 | 23.7470825912331 | 0.674204866011312 |
| 15 | 20108 | 20128.2307881213 | 104.4494303227 | -20.2307881213015 | -0.0950076133536353 |
| 16 | 18584 | 18619.9570818503 | 49.5995078852376 | -35.9570818502849 | -1.47178623781982 |
| 17 | 18441 | 18433.32884786 | 41.2033704953188 | 7.67115213998753 | -0.21542390719346 |
| 18 | 18391 | 18389.9215973994 | 38.0855357037199 | 1.07840260063018 | -0.0771030386796983 |
| 19 | 19178 | 19153.0103818569 | 65.6623029422814 | 24.9896181430572 | 0.660217630477964 |
| 20 | 18079 | 18122.6572430944 | 22.7703197555062 | -43.6572430943596 | -0.997436582907646 |
| 21 | 18483 | 18458.0428538512 | 35.320808298545 | 24.9571461487875 | 0.284328426238659 |
| 22 | 19644 | 19616.7066722447 | 81.4692300466847 | 27.293327755274 | 1.02113959483234 |
| 23 | 19195 | 19203.7192482194 | 60.708475535016 | -8.71924821941574 | -0.44928268482641 |
| 24 | 19650 | 19656.6039683695 | 77.3532724240444 | -6.60396836953849 | 0.356000416618893 |
| 25 | 20830 | 20640.0813916719 | 107.149358667192 | 189.918608328087 | 0.896738307937841 |
| 26 | 23595 | 23499.3083282089 | 245.82214194331 | 95.6916717910576 | 2.29338579912395 |
| 27 | 22937 | 22953.8978594715 | 209.916035505561 | -16.8978594714905 | -0.71742523441183 |
| 28 | 21814 | 21866.2942059305 | 151.551099670352 | -52.2942059305488 | -1.17570444433602 |
| 29 | 21928 | 21881.6469381214 | 145.346333196731 | 46.3530618785535 | -0.123383773150933 |
| 30 | 21777 | 21792.0325966357 | 134.52680301648 | -15.0325966356775 | -0.212802332556952 |
| 31 | 21383 | 21325.7844285769 | 106.607886270881 | 57.2155714230673 | -0.543979182819426 |
| 32 | 21467 | 21481.0032702228 | 108.885536523065 | -14.0032702228157 | 0.0440050176440973 |
| 33 | 22052 | 22025.6416994848 | 129.454303120863 | 26.3583005151764 | 0.394379985689704 |
| 34 | 22680 | 22603.5132118529 | 150.765668248736 | 76.4867881471402 | 0.405770391002382 |
| 35 | 24320 | 24252.6697110019 | 222.466403772592 | 67.3302889980557 | 1.35582711734647 |
| 36 | 24977 | 24984.9608615425 | 246.824725721672 | -7.96086154253647 | 0.460873535244501 |
| 37 | 25204 | 25451.0679139085 | 256.581572524978 | -247.067913908497 | 0.209367453806386 |
| 38 | 25739 | 25632.5405406573 | 252.751839540031 | 106.459459342723 | -0.0643314811034533 |
| 39 | 26434 | 26381.0271554574 | 277.136484797454 | 52.9728445425643 | 0.448111469724433 |
| 40 | 27525 | 27541.9093520889 | 320.265832027167 | -16.9093520888975 | 0.798609307086338 |
| 41 | 30695 | 30532.9401354873 | 451.060324543482 | 162.059864512723 | 2.41329120677962 |
| 42 | 32436 | 32398.5728505906 | 520.569895277654 | 37.4271494093974 | 1.27818023925559 |
| 43 | 30160 | 30251.0439793205 | 389.109125180475 | -91.0439793205483 | -2.41066317079283 |
| 44 | 30236 | 30244.8213352482 | 369.584098758731 | -8.82133524816191 | -0.357159780325342 |
| 45 | 31293 | 31230.1210880892 | 400.059479149589 | 62.8789119108138 | 0.556226220026645 |
| 46 | 31077 | 31088.0570782432 | 373.170040367189 | -11.0570782431667 | -0.489734486557007 |
| 47 | 32226 | 32139.889049224 | 406.902858606536 | 86.1109507759689 | 0.613115457925133 |
| 48 | 33865 | 33829.8585417522 | 470.46756008362 | 35.14145824783 | 1.15810976158779 |
| 49 | 32810 | 33198.5072936285 | 417.228667007958 | -388.50729362854 | -1.03331504846916 |
| 50 | 32242 | 32196.5436338831 | 345.038307816261 | 45.4563661168712 | -1.23457280624209 |
| 51 | 32700 | 32629.6314339134 | 349.460291556386 | 70.3685660865902 | 0.0794785349157572 |
| 52 | 32819 | 32952.1741661019 | 348.114998555033 | -133.174166101921 | -0.0243014850300842 |
| 53 | 33947 | 33853.3017266093 | 375.773633175564 | 93.6982733906712 | 0.499199652414732 |
| 54 | 34148 | 34011.8077899086 | 364.895028194755 | 136.192210091416 | -0.196140112664762 |
| 55 | 35261 | 35279.7206583229 | 410.146644876369 | -18.7206583228576 | 0.815203234865504 |
| 56 | 39506 | 39363.9502329537 | 594.388312712379 | 142.049767046321 | 3.3167110803234 |
| 57 | 41591 | 41467.0084776979 | 670.091088254203 | 123.991522302084 | 1.3619033224019 |
| 58 | 39148 | 39360.2544413861 | 530.656058905741 | -212.254441386113 | -2.50682159942303 |
| 59 | 41216 | 41106.3351563174 | 591.721734439272 | 109.664843682574 | 1.09726714078851 |
| 60 | 40225 | 40238.7885289125 | 518.597897547144 | -13.7885289125073 | -1.3165147120102 |
| 61 | 41126 | 41301.7301741092 | 545.616824462463 | -175.730174109236 | 0.505082290473058 |
| 62 | 42362 | 42300.6983004094 | 568.590827572666 | 61.3016995905894 | 0.398258524959874 |
| 63 | 40740 | 40795.3864970677 | 463.969573778092 | -55.3864970676852 | -1.87042665860416 |
| 64 | 40256 | 40440.4141298902 | 422.759925378408 | -184.414129890174 | -0.73911543232672 |
| 65 | 39804 | 39726.4874903871 | 365.561508851192 | 77.5125096128667 | -1.02561931550166 |
| 66 | 41002 | 40810.1139999705 | 401.708286428696 | 191.886000029498 | 0.647969119858316 |
| 67 | 41702 | 41876.3145016617 | 435.167283325914 | -174.314501661735 | 0.599643136863894 |
| 68 | 42254 | 42236.8146766749 | 431.406818529213 | 17.1853233250541 | -0.0673798705066036 |
| 69 | 43605 | 43297.4599803507 | 463.103551239671 | 307.540019649297 | 0.567831853541199 |
| 70 | 43271 | 43583.2429006157 | 454.169097057867 | -312.242900615681 | -0.160027895096661 |
