Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 701 | 0 | 71 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 15579 | 15736.4435188942 | 160.451947972161 | 15261.1045331336 | 157.44351889423 |
2 | 16348 | 16529.850911421 | 701.335025117998 | 15464.814063461 | 181.850911420996 |
3 | 15928 | 16124.924545582 | 62.5518606296125 | 15668.5235937884 | 196.924545581982 |
4 | 16171 | 17014.3485499872 | -561.98895915676 | 15889.6404091695 | 843.348549987229 |
5 | 15937 | 16072.9381962225 | -309.695420773114 | 16110.7572245507 | 135.938196222463 |
6 | 15713 | 15259.1145745715 | -181.886169082478 | 16348.771594511 | -453.885425428536 |
7 | 15594 | 15139.2917167767 | -538.077681248094 | 16586.7859644714 | -454.708283223285 |
8 | 15683 | 14763.9703246263 | -227.125932450283 | 16829.155607824 | -919.029675373691 |
9 | 16438 | 15338.9823835457 | 465.492365277779 | 17071.5252511766 | -1099.01761645434 |
10 | 17032 | 16753.7795315315 | -25.4912234872146 | 17335.7116919557 | -278.220468468462 |
11 | 17696 | 17507.4950405615 | 284.606826703671 | 17599.8981327348 | -188.504959438458 |
12 | 17745 | 17441.2698381771 | 169.828519020955 | 17878.9016428019 | -303.730161822881 |
13 | 19394 | 20469.6428991588 | 160.451947972161 | 18157.9051528691 | 1075.64289915878 |
14 | 20148 | 21209.1740333737 | 701.335025117998 | 18385.4909415083 | 1061.17403337366 |
15 | 20108 | 21540.3714092228 | 62.5518606296125 | 18613.0767301476 | 1432.37140922277 |
16 | 18584 | 18965.7783751768 | -561.98895915676 | 18764.21058398 | 381.778375176793 |
17 | 18441 | 18276.3509829608 | -309.695420773114 | 18915.3444378123 | -164.649017039199 |
18 | 18391 | 17935.216124755 | -181.886169082478 | 19028.6700443275 | -455.783875244997 |
19 | 19178 | 19752.0820304055 | -538.077681248094 | 19141.9956508426 | 574.082030405461 |
20 | 18079 | 17055.0832827078 | -227.125932450283 | 19330.0426497425 | -1023.91671729221 |
21 | 18483 | 16982.4179860799 | 465.492365277779 | 19518.0896486423 | -1500.58201392012 |
22 | 19644 | 19509.7454192785 | -25.4912234872146 | 19803.7458042087 | -134.254580721452 |
23 | 19195 | 18015.9912135213 | 284.606826703671 | 20089.401959775 | -1179.00878647866 |
24 | 19650 | 18722.9892247419 | 169.828519020955 | 20407.1822562371 | -927.010775258088 |
25 | 20830 | 20774.5854993286 | 160.451947972161 | 20724.9625526993 | -55.4145006714352 |
26 | 23595 | 25466.6484811529 | 701.335025117998 | 21022.0164937291 | 1871.64848115292 |
27 | 22937 | 24492.3777046115 | 62.5518606296125 | 21319.0704347589 | 1555.37770461149 |
28 | 21814 | 22569.4069579895 | -561.98895915676 | 21620.5820011672 | 755.406957989537 |
29 | 21928 | 22243.6018531976 | -309.695420773114 | 21922.0935675755 | 315.601853197568 |
30 | 21777 | 21515.9552093427 | -181.886169082478 | 22219.9309597398 | -261.04479065731 |
31 | 21383 | 20786.3093293441 | -538.077681248094 | 22517.768351904 | -596.690670655935 |
32 | 21467 | 20333.5237207372 | -227.125932450283 | 22827.6022117131 | -1133.47627926283 |
33 | 22052 | 20501.0715632 | 465.492365277779 | 23137.4360715222 | -1550.92843679998 |
34 | 22680 | 21745.2415245855 | -25.4912234872146 | 23640.2496989017 | -934.75847541451 |
35 | 24320 | 24212.3298470151 | 284.606826703671 | 24143.0633262813 | -107.670152984927 |
36 | 24977 | 24887.9694807234 | 169.828519020955 | 24896.2020002557 | -89.0305192766173 |
37 | 25204 | 24598.2073777978 | 160.451947972161 | 25649.3406742301 | -605.792622202225 |
38 | 25739 | 24313.3161207941 | 701.335025117998 | 26463.3488540879 | -1425.68387920587 |
39 | 26434 | 25528.0911054247 | 62.5518606296125 | 27277.3570339457 | -905.908894575292 |
40 | 27525 | 27582.7721489378 | -561.98895915676 | 28029.216810219 | 57.7721489377618 |
41 | 30695 | 32918.6188342808 | -309.695420773114 | 28781.0765864923 | 2223.61883428079 |
42 | 32436 | 35597.0951901085 | -181.886169082478 | 29456.790978974 | 3161.0951901085 |
43 | 30160 | 30725.5723097925 | -538.077681248094 | 30132.5053714556 | 565.572309792457 |
44 | 30236 | 30030.8005933074 | -227.125932450283 | 30668.3253391429 | -205.19940669262 |
45 | 31293 | 30916.362327892 | 465.492365277779 | 31204.1453068302 | -376.63767210795 |
46 | 31077 | 30614.090824449 | -25.4912234872146 | 31565.4003990382 | -462.909175550973 |
47 | 32226 | 32240.7376820501 | 284.606826703671 | 31926.6554912462 | 14.7376820501268 |
48 | 33865 | 35286.2104513906 | 169.828519020955 | 32273.9610295884 | 1421.21045139059 |
49 | 32810 | 32838.2814840971 | 160.451947972161 | 32621.2665679307 | 28.2814840971441 |
50 | 32242 | 30583.9888029932 | 701.335025117998 | 33198.6761718888 | -1658.01119700678 |
51 | 32700 | 31561.3623635235 | 62.5518606296125 | 33776.0857758469 | -1138.63763647648 |
52 | 32819 | 31700.6047868545 | -561.98895915676 | 34499.3841723022 | -1118.39521314547 |
53 | 33947 | 32981.0128520155 | -309.695420773114 | 35222.6825687576 | -965.987147984481 |
54 | 34148 | 32498.8423339007 | -181.886169082478 | 35979.0438351818 | -1649.15766609929 |
55 | 35261 | 34324.6725796421 | -538.077681248094 | 36735.405101606 | -936.327420357862 |
56 | 39506 | 41747.1897153603 | -227.125932450283 | 37491.93621709 | 2241.18971536031 |
57 | 41591 | 44468.0403021482 | 465.492365277779 | 38248.467332574 | 2877.04030214823 |
58 | 39148 | 39432.8444421949 | -25.4912234872146 | 38888.6467812923 | 284.844442194932 |
59 | 41216 | 42618.5669432857 | 284.606826703671 | 39528.8262300106 | 1402.56694328575 |
60 | 40225 | 40301.6403092591 | 169.828519020955 | 39978.5311717199 | 76.6403092591354 |
61 | 41126 | 41663.3119385986 | 160.451947972161 | 40428.2361134292 | 537.311938598614 |
62 | 42362 | 43314.8453267074 | 701.335025117998 | 40707.8196481746 | 952.845326707364 |
63 | 40740 | 40430.0449564503 | 62.5518606296125 | 40987.40318292 | -309.955043549657 |
64 | 40256 | 39807.6519522055 | -561.98895915676 | 41266.3370069512 | -448.348047794483 |
65 | 39804 | 38372.4245897907 | -309.695420773114 | 41545.2708309824 | -1431.57541020932 |
66 | 41002 | 40373.0700514142 | -181.886169082478 | 41812.8161176682 | -628.929948585755 |
67 | 41702 | 41861.7162768941 | -538.077681248094 | 42080.361404354 | 159.716276894062 |
68 | 42254 | 42386.8266495189 | -227.125932450283 | 42348.2992829314 | 132.826649518924 |
69 | 43605 | 44128.2704732135 | 465.492365277779 | 42616.2371615087 | 523.270473213524 |
70 | 43271 | 43677.5051191623 | -25.4912234872146 | 42889.9861043249 | 406.505119162328 |