| Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
| t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
| 1 | 7977 | NA | NA | 129.89474269943 | NA |
| 2 | 8241 | NA | NA | 454.196024750712 | NA |
| 3 | 8444 | NA | NA | 75.8017939814818 | NA |
| 4 | 8490 | NA | NA | -182.105257300569 | NA |
| 5 | 8388 | NA | NA | 141.004518340456 | NA |
| 6 | 8099 | NA | NA | -53.2211761039883 | NA |
| 7 | 7984 | 8109.84346064815 | 8455.875 | -346.031539351853 | -125.843460648148 |
| 8 | 7786 | 8274.12871705841 | 8564 | -289.871282941595 | -488.128717058405 |
| 9 | 8086 | 8664.47807603276 | 8673.91666666667 | -9.43859063390306 | -578.478076032763 |
| 10 | 9315 | 8633.85628116097 | 8761.08333333333 | -127.227052172365 | 681.143718839034 |
| 11 | 9113 | 8995.49089654558 | 8858.91666666667 | 136.574229878917 | 117.509103454417 |
| 12 | 9023 | 9051.96525551994 | 8981.54166666667 | 70.4235888532769 | -28.9652555199445 |
| 13 | 9026 | 9247.1864093661 | 9117.29166666667 | 129.89474269943 | -221.186409366097 |
| 14 | 9787 | 9722.73769141738 | 9268.54166666667 | 454.196024750712 | 64.2623085826217 |
| 15 | 9536 | 9508.96846064815 | 9433.16666666667 | 75.8017939814818 | 27.0315393518522 |
| 16 | 9490 | 9367.97807603276 | 9550.08333333333 | -182.105257300569 | 122.021923967237 |
| 17 | 9736 | 9761.62951834045 | 9620.625 | 141.004518340456 | -25.6295183404545 |
| 18 | 9694 | 9633.23715722934 | 9686.45833333333 | -53.2211761039883 | 60.7628427706568 |
| 19 | 9647 | 9373.17679398148 | 9719.20833333333 | -346.031539351853 | 273.823206018518 |
| 20 | 9753 | 9406.21205039174 | 9696.08333333333 | -289.871282941595 | 346.787949608262 |
| 21 | 10070 | 9650.8114093661 | 9660.25 | -9.43859063390306 | 419.188590633901 |
| 22 | 10137 | 9519.52294782763 | 9646.75 | -127.227052172365 | 617.477052172366 |
| 23 | 9984 | 9788.15756321225 | 9651.58333333333 | 136.574229878917 | 195.842436787749 |
| 24 | 9732 | 9750.96525551994 | 9680.54166666666 | 70.4235888532769 | -18.9652555199409 |
| 25 | 9103 | 9845.35307603276 | 9715.45833333333 | 129.89474269943 | -742.353076032765 |
| 26 | 9155 | 10183.404358084 | 9729.20833333333 | 454.196024750712 | -1028.40435808404 |
| 27 | 9308 | 9801.13512731482 | 9725.33333333333 | 75.8017939814818 | -493.135127314816 |
| 28 | 9394 | 9537.3114093661 | 9719.41666666667 | -182.105257300569 | -143.311409366097 |
| 29 | 9948 | 9858.75451834046 | 9717.75 | 141.004518340456 | 89.2454816595437 |
| 30 | 10177 | 9675.44549056268 | 9728.66666666667 | -53.2211761039883 | 501.554509437323 |
| 31 | 10002 | 9439.34346064815 | 9785.375 | -346.031539351853 | 562.656539351854 |
| 32 | 9728 | 9615.12871705841 | 9905 | -289.871282941595 | 112.871282941594 |
| 33 | 10002 | 10028.3114093661 | 10037.75 | -9.43859063390306 | -26.311409366097 |
| 34 | 10063 | 10035.2729478276 | 10162.5 | -127.227052172365 | 27.7270521723658 |
| 35 | 10018 | 10407.1992298789 | 10270.625 | 136.574229878917 | -389.199229878917 |
| 36 | 9960 | 10411.8402555199 | 10341.4166666667 | 70.4235888532769 | -451.840255519941 |
| 37 | 10236 | 10505.2280760328 | 10375.3333333333 | 129.89474269943 | -269.228076032763 |
| 38 | 10893 | 10855.4460247507 | 10401.25 | 454.196024750712 | 37.5539752492878 |
| 39 | 10756 | 10515.0934606481 | 10439.2916666667 | 75.8017939814818 | 240.906539351852 |
| 40 | 10940 | 10288.8530760328 | 10470.9583333333 | -182.105257300569 | 651.146923967237 |
| 41 | 10997 | 10634.0878516738 | 10493.0833333333 | 141.004518340456 | 362.912148326212 |
| 42 | 10827 | 10472.2371572293 | 10525.4583333333 | -53.2211761039883 | 354.762842770655 |
| 43 | 10166 | 10226.3851273148 | 10572.4166666667 | -346.031539351853 | -60.3851273148157 |
| 44 | 10186 | 10300.0870503917 | 10589.9583333333 | -289.871282941595 | -114.087050391738 |
| 45 | 10457 | 10549.6864093661 | 10559.125 | -9.43859063390306 | -92.6864093660952 |
| 46 | 10368 | 10356.731281161 | 10483.9583333333 | -127.227052172365 | 11.2687188390319 |
| 47 | 10244 | 10523.9075632123 | 10387.3333333333 | 136.574229878917 | -279.907563212251 |
| 48 | 10511 | 10370.2985888533 | 10299.875 | 70.4235888532769 | 140.701411146723 |
| 49 | 10812 | 10378.0614093661 | 10248.1666666667 | 129.89474269943 | 433.938590633901 |
| 50 | 10738 | 10699.9876914174 | 10245.7916666667 | 454.196024750712 | 38.0123085826217 |
| 51 | 10171 | 10345.5101273148 | 10269.7083333333 | 75.8017939814818 | -174.510127314816 |
| 52 | 9721 | 10105.6864093661 | 10287.7916666667 | -182.105257300569 | -384.686409366095 |
| 53 | 9897 | 10450.0461850071 | 10309.0416666667 | 141.004518340456 | -553.046185007121 |
| 54 | 9828 | 10281.4871572293 | 10334.7083333333 | -53.2211761039883 | -453.487157229345 |
| 55 | 9924 | 9984.88512731481 | 10330.9166666667 | -346.031539351853 | -60.8851273148139 |
| 56 | 10371 | 10012.5870503917 | 10302.4583333333 | -289.871282941595 | 358.412949608261 |
| 57 | 10846 | 10293.9780760328 | 10303.4166666667 | -9.43859063390306 | 552.021923967237 |
| 58 | 10413 | 10243.481281161 | 10370.7083333333 | -127.227052172365 | 169.518718839034 |
| 59 | 10709 | 10571.8658965456 | 10435.2916666667 | 136.574229878917 | 137.134103454417 |
| 60 | 10662 | 10545.4652555199 | 10475.0416666667 | 70.4235888532769 | 116.534744480055 |
| 61 | 10570 | 10649.1864093661 | 10519.2916666667 | 129.89474269943 | -79.186409366097 |
| 62 | 10297 | 11003.0710247507 | 10548.875 | 454.196024750712 | -706.071024750712 |
| 63 | 10635 | 10625.0934606481 | 10549.2916666667 | 75.8017939814818 | 9.90653935185401 |
| 64 | 10872 | 10375.4780760328 | 10557.5833333333 | -182.105257300569 | 496.521923967237 |
| 65 | 10296 | 10721.7128516738 | 10580.7083333333 | 141.004518340456 | -425.71285167379 |
| 66 | 10383 | 10532.7371572293 | 10585.9583333333 | -53.2211761039883 | -149.737157229345 |
| 67 | 10431 | 10231.5934606481 | 10577.625 | -346.031539351853 | 199.406539351852 |
| 68 | 10574 | 10287.8787170584 | 10577.75 | -289.871282941595 | 286.121282941596 |
| 69 | 10653 | 10571.9364093661 | 10581.375 | -9.43859063390306 | 81.063590633903 |
| 70 | 10805 | 10441.4396144943 | 10568.6666666667 | -127.227052172365 | 363.5603855057 |
| 71 | 10872 | 10712.7408965456 | 10576.1666666667 | 136.574229878917 | 159.259103454417 |
| 72 | 10625 | 10703.9235888533 | 10633.5 | 70.4235888532769 | -78.9235888532749 |
| 73 | 10407 | 10841.9364093661 | 10712.0416666667 | 129.89474269943 | -434.936409366097 |
| 74 | 10463 | 11240.904358084 | 10786.7083333333 | 454.196024750712 | -777.904358084046 |
| 75 | 10556 | 10953.6767939815 | 10877.875 | 75.8017939814818 | -397.676793981482 |
| 76 | 10646 | 10824.1030760328 | 11006.2083333333 | -182.105257300569 | -178.103076032765 |
| 77 | 10702 | 11310.8795183405 | 11169.875 | 141.004518340456 | -608.879518340455 |
| 78 | 11353 | 11339.403823896 | 11392.625 | -53.2211761039883 | 13.5961761039907 |
| 79 | 11346 | 11351.7601273148 | 11697.7916666667 | -346.031539351853 | -5.76012731481205 |
| 80 | 11451 | 11766.4620503917 | 12056.3333333333 | -289.871282941595 | -315.462050391739 |
| 81 | 11964 | 12413.4780760328 | 12422.9166666667 | -9.43859063390306 | -449.478076032765 |
| 82 | 12574 | 12699.3979478276 | 12826.625 | -127.227052172365 | -125.397947827636 |
| 83 | 13031 | 13451.5742298789 | 13315 | 136.574229878917 | -420.574229878917 |
| 84 | 13812 | 13809.4652555199 | 13739.0416666667 | 70.4235888532769 | 2.53474448005727 |
| 85 | 14544 | 14223.8947426994 | 14094 | 129.89474269943 | 320.105257300569 |
| 86 | 14931 | 14927.029358084 | 14472.8333333333 | 454.196024750712 | 3.97064191595564 |
| 87 | 14886 | 14863.6767939815 | 14787.875 | 75.8017939814818 | 22.3232060185201 |
| 88 | 16005 | 14837.1447426994 | 15019.25 | -182.105257300569 | 1167.85525730057 |
| 89 | 17064 | 15368.4628516738 | 15227.4583333333 | 141.004518340456 | 1695.53714832621 |
| 90 | 15168 | 15345.4871572293 | 15398.7083333333 | -53.2211761039883 | -177.487157229345 |
| 91 | 16050 | 15158.0101273148 | 15504.0416666667 | -346.031539351853 | 891.989872685188 |
| 92 | 15839 | 15316.3370503917 | 15606.2083333333 | -289.871282941595 | 522.662949608261 |
| 93 | 15137 | 15699.2280760328 | 15708.6666666667 | -9.43859063390306 | -562.228076032763 |
| 94 | 14954 | 15631.7729478276 | 15759 | -127.227052172365 | -677.772947827632 |
| 95 | 15648 | 15855.5325632122 | 15718.9583333333 | 136.574229878917 | -207.532563212249 |
| 96 | 15305 | 15765.1319221866 | 15694.7083333333 | 70.4235888532769 | -460.131922186607 |
| 97 | 15579 | 15828.3114093661 | 15698.4166666667 | 129.89474269943 | -249.311409366093 |
| 98 | 16348 | 16127.1126914174 | 15672.9166666667 | 454.196024750712 | 220.887308582624 |
| 99 | 15928 | 15796.4267939815 | 15720.625 | 75.8017939814818 | 131.573206018518 |
| 100 | 16171 | 15679.3114093661 | 15861.4166666667 | -182.105257300569 | 491.688590633901 |
| 101 | 15937 | 16174.3378516738 | 16033.3333333333 | 141.004518340456 | -237.33785167379 |
| 102 | 15713 | 16167.1121572293 | 16220.3333333333 | -53.2211761039883 | -454.112157229347 |
| 103 | 15594 | 16134.9267939815 | 16480.9583333333 | -346.031539351853 | -540.92679398148 |
| 104 | 15683 | 16508.3787170584 | 16798.25 | -289.871282941595 | -825.378717058406 |
| 105 | 16438 | 17121.3114093661 | 17130.75 | -9.43859063390306 | -683.311409366095 |
| 106 | 17032 | 17278.231281161 | 17405.4583333333 | -127.227052172365 | -246.23128116097 |
| 107 | 17696 | 17746.9075632123 | 17610.3333333333 | 136.574229878917 | -50.9075632122513 |
| 108 | 17745 | 17896.6735888533 | 17826.25 | 70.4235888532769 | -151.673588853275 |
| 109 | 19394 | 18217.0614093661 | 18087.1666666667 | 129.89474269943 | 1176.9385906339 |
| 110 | 20148 | 18790.529358084 | 18336.3333333333 | 454.196024750712 | 1357.47064191596 |
| 111 | 20108 | 18597.1767939815 | 18521.375 | 75.8017939814818 | 1510.82320601852 |
| 112 | 18584 | 18533.3114093661 | 18715.4166666667 | -182.105257300569 | 50.6885906339048 |
| 113 | 18441 | 19027.7128516738 | 18886.7083333333 | 141.004518340456 | -586.712851673787 |
| 114 | 18391 | 18975.3204905627 | 19028.5416666667 | -53.2211761039883 | -584.320490562677 |
| 115 | 19178 | 18821.7184606481 | 19167.75 | -346.031539351853 | 356.281539351854 |
| 116 | 18079 | 19081.3370503917 | 19371.2083333333 | -289.871282941595 | -1002.33705039174 |
| 117 | 18483 | 19623.2697426994 | 19632.7083333333 | -9.43859063390306 | -1140.26974269943 |
| 118 | 19644 | 19757.9396144943 | 19885.1666666667 | -127.227052172365 | -113.939614494298 |
| 119 | 19195 | 20301.6158965456 | 20165.0416666667 | 136.574229878917 | -1106.61589654558 |
| 120 | 19650 | 20521.8402555199 | 20451.4166666667 | 70.4235888532769 | -871.840255519946 |
| 121 | 20830 | 20814.2697426994 | 20684.375 | 129.89474269943 | 15.7302573005727 |
| 122 | 23595 | 21371.6126914174 | 20917.4166666667 | 454.196024750712 | 2223.38730858262 |
| 123 | 22937 | 21283.0934606481 | 21207.2916666667 | 75.8017939814818 | 1653.90653935185 |
| 124 | 21814 | 21300.3947426994 | 21482.5 | -182.105257300569 | 513.605257300569 |
| 125 | 21928 | 21963.5461850071 | 21822.5416666667 | 141.004518340456 | -35.5461850071224 |
| 126 | 21777 | 22204.8204905627 | 22258.0416666667 | -53.2211761039883 | -427.820490562681 |
| 127 | 21383 | 22316.2184606481 | 22662.25 | -346.031539351853 | -933.218460648146 |
| 128 | 21467 | 22643.9620503917 | 22933.8333333333 | -289.871282941595 | -1176.96205039173 |
| 129 | 22052 | 23159.4364093661 | 23168.875 | -9.43859063390306 | -1107.43640936609 |
| 130 | 22680 | 23425.3146144943 | 23552.5416666667 | -127.227052172365 | -745.314614494302 |
| 131 | 24320 | 24292.3658965456 | 24155.7916666667 | 136.574229878917 | 27.6341034544166 |
| 132 | 24977 | 25035.6319221866 | 24965.2083333333 | 70.4235888532769 | -58.6319221866142 |
| 133 | 25204 | 25904.9364093661 | 25775.0416666667 | 129.89474269943 | -700.936409366099 |
| 134 | 25739 | 26960.3210247507 | 26506.125 | 454.196024750712 | -1221.32102475071 |
| 135 | 26434 | 27332.3434606481 | 27256.5416666667 | 75.8017939814818 | -898.34346064815 |
| 136 | 27525 | 27809.3530760328 | 27991.4583333333 | -182.105257300569 | -284.353076032763 |
| 137 | 30695 | 28811.7545183405 | 28670.75 | 141.004518340456 | 1883.24548165955 |
| 138 | 32436 | 29317.278823896 | 29370.5 | -53.2211761039883 | 3118.72117610399 |
| 139 | 30160 | 29711.7184606481 | 30057.75 | -346.031539351853 | 448.281539351854 |
| 140 | 30236 | 30355.7537170584 | 30645.625 | -289.871282941595 | -119.7537170584 |
| 141 | 31293 | 31168.2280760328 | 31177.6666666667 | -9.43859063390306 | 124.771923967237 |
| 142 | 31077 | 31532.106281161 | 31659.3333333333 | -127.227052172365 | -455.106281160966 |
| 143 | 32226 | 32151.9908965456 | 32015.4166666667 | 136.574229878917 | 74.0091034544203 |
| 144 | 33865 | 32292.6735888533 | 32222.25 | 70.4235888532769 | 1572.32641114672 |
| 145 | 32810 | 32636.0197426994 | 32506.125 | 129.89474269943 | 173.980257300569 |
| 146 | 32242 | 33559.1126914174 | 33104.9166666667 | 454.196024750712 | -1317.11269141738 |
| 147 | 32700 | 33996.0517939815 | 33920.25 | 75.8017939814818 | -1296.05179398147 |
| 148 | 32819 | 34503.5197426994 | 34685.625 | -182.105257300569 | -1684.51974269943 |
| 149 | 33947 | 35537.5045183405 | 35396.5 | 141.004518340456 | -1590.50451834046 |
| 150 | 34148 | 35982.8621572293 | 36036.0833333333 | -53.2211761039883 | -1834.86215722934 |
| 151 | 35261 | 36301.5517939815 | 36647.5833333333 | -346.031539351853 | -1040.55179398149 |
| 152 | 39506 | 37125.8787170584 | 37415.75 | -289.871282941595 | 2380.1212829416 |
| 153 | 41591 | 38162.9780760328 | 38172.4166666667 | -9.43859063390306 | 3428.02192396724 |
| 154 | 39148 | 38690.0646144943 | 38817.2916666667 | -127.227052172365 | 457.935385505691 |
| 155 | 41216 | 39507.7825632123 | 39371.2083333333 | 136.574229878917 | 1708.21743678775 |
| 156 | 40225 | 39971.2569221866 | 39900.8333333333 | 70.4235888532769 | 253.743077813393 |
| 157 | 41126 | 40584.6864093661 | 40454.7916666667 | 129.89474269943 | 541.313590633908 |
| 158 | 42362 | 41291.8626914174 | 40837.6666666667 | 454.196024750712 | 1070.13730858262 |
| 159 | 40740 | 41111.8851273148 | 41036.0833333333 | 75.8017939814818 | -371.885127314818 |
| 160 | 40256 | 41109.6864093661 | 41291.7916666667 | -182.105257300569 | -853.686409366092 |
| 161 | 39804 | NA | NA | 141.004518340456 | NA |
| 162 | 41002 | NA | NA | -53.2211761039883 | NA |
| 163 | 41702 | NA | NA | -346.031539351853 | NA |
| 164 | 42254 | NA | NA | -289.871282941595 | NA |
| 165 | 43605 | NA | NA | -9.43859063390306 | NA |
| 166 | 43271 | NA | NA | -127.227052172365 | NA |
