| Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
| t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
| 1 | 13328 | NA | NA | 0.997446154479086 | NA |
| 2 | 12873 | NA | NA | 0.952612175250179 | NA |
| 3 | 14000 | NA | NA | 1.03439377187718 | NA |
| 4 | 13477 | NA | NA | 0.990786621874973 | NA |
| 5 | 14237 | NA | NA | 1.02155910700688 | NA |
| 6 | 13674 | NA | NA | 0.981559624901186 | NA |
| 7 | 13529 | 13938.9369024288 | 13937.9583333333 | 0.978569095450089 | 0.991916327070772 |
| 8 | 14058 | 14034.4952714517 | 14033.5 | 0.995271451725292 | 1.00650513059493 |
| 9 | 12975 | 14125.9107947601 | 14124.9583333333 | 0.952461426798343 | 0.964434626586157 |
| 10 | 14326 | 14228.6196634146 | 14227.625 | 0.994663414615391 | 1.01231667993762 |
| 11 | 14008 | 14336.2670351651 | 14335.2916666667 | 0.975368498391713 | 1.00184578306806 |
| 12 | 16193 | 14417.3753086576 | 14416.25 | 1.1253086576297 | 0.998167328566799 |
| 13 | 14483 | 14506.2891128211 | 14505.2916666667 | 0.997446154479086 | 1.00101965408011 |
| 14 | 14011 | 14605.7026121752 | 14604.75 | 0.952612175250179 | 1.00706818930871 |
| 15 | 15057 | 14709.2427271052 | 14708.2083333333 | 1.03439377187718 | 0.989675412196409 |
| 16 | 14884 | 14811.1991199552 | 14810.2083333333 | 0.990786621874973 | 1.01432787297848 |
| 17 | 15414 | 14890.8548924403 | 14889.8333333333 | 1.02155910700688 | 1.01335594167248 |
| 18 | 14440 | 14971.2315596249 | 14970.25 | 0.981559624901186 | 0.982701127233388 |
| 19 | 14900 | 15056.4369024288 | 15055.4583333333 | 0.978569095450089 | 1.01134839856085 |
| 20 | 15074 | 15131.4119381184 | 15130.4166666667 | 0.995271451725292 | 1.00100460640068 |
| 21 | 14442 | 15195.3274614268 | 15194.375 | 0.952461426798343 | 0.997923163673607 |
| 22 | 15307 | 15262.8696634146 | 15261.875 | 0.994663414615391 | 1.00833779477249 |
| 23 | 14938 | 15328.4753684984 | 15327.5 | 0.975368498391713 | 0.999199953807792 |
| 24 | 17193 | 15402.8753086576 | 15401.75 | 1.1253086576297 | 0.991996028282445 |
| 25 | 15528 | 15491.5807794878 | 15490.5833333333 | 0.997446154479086 | 1.00498201475996 |
| 26 | 14765 | 15574.6609455086 | 15573.7083333333 | 0.952612175250179 | 0.995234188326474 |
| 27 | 15838 | 15664.7010604385 | 15663.6666666667 | 1.03439377187718 | 0.977509550329222 |
| 28 | 15723 | 15766.0324532885 | 15765.0416666667 | 0.990786621874973 | 1.00660749009184 |
| 29 | 16150 | 15846.521559107 | 15845.5 | 1.02155910700688 | 0.997707137407307 |
| 30 | 15486 | 15948.6482262916 | 15947.6666666667 | 0.981559624901186 | 0.989294100759252 |
| 31 | 15986 | 16052.4785690955 | 16051.5 | 0.978569095450089 | 1.01773026464026 |
| 32 | 15983 | 16121.6202714517 | 16120.625 | 0.995271451725292 | 0.996173253302707 |
| 33 | 15692 | 16213.0774614268 | 16212.125 | 0.952461426798343 | 1.01622753806839 |
| 34 | 16490 | 16302.1196634146 | 16301.125 | 0.994663414615391 | 1.01701400570137 |
| 35 | 15686 | 16351.2253684984 | 16350.25 | 0.975368498391713 | 0.983601286553775 |
| 36 | 18897 | 16403.7503086576 | 16402.625 | 1.1253086576297 | 1.02378284218309 |
| 37 | 16316 | 16453.3307794878 | 16452.3333333333 | 0.997446154479086 | 0.994252602326266 |
| 38 | 15636 | 16481.3276121752 | 16480.375 | 0.952612175250179 | 0.995961256229526 |
| 39 | 17163 | 16507.2427271052 | 16506.2083333333 | 1.03439377187718 | 1.00521736703713 |
| 40 | 16534 | 16512.3241199552 | 16511.3333333333 | 0.990786621874973 | 1.01068461395776 |
| 41 | 16518 | 16536.4798924403 | 16535.4583333333 | 1.02155910700688 | 0.977862349098764 |
| 42 | 16375 | 16572.3148929582 | 16571.3333333333 | 0.981559624901186 | 1.00671645989863 |
| 43 | 16290 | 16596.6869024288 | 16595.7083333333 | 0.978569095450089 | 1.00307589670141 |
| 44 | 16352 | 16643.1619381184 | 16642.1666666667 | 0.995271451725292 | 0.987232546377255 |
| 45 | 15943 | 16702.7441280935 | 16701.7916666667 | 0.952461426798343 | 1.00221197474349 |
| 46 | 16362 | 16751.7029967479 | 16750.7083333333 | 0.994663414615391 | 0.982035228512496 |
| 47 | 16393 | 16809.5587018317 | 16808.5833333333 | 0.975368498391713 | 0.999904682671003 |
| 48 | 19051 | 16877.8753086576 | 16876.75 | 1.1253086576297 | 1.0031301870205 |
| 49 | 16747 | 16930.3724461545 | 16929.375 | 0.997446154479086 | 0.99176010671743 |
| 50 | 16320 | 17001.5776121753 | 17000.625 | 0.952612175250179 | 1.00771828465007 |
| 51 | 17910 | 17092.3260604385 | 17091.2916666667 | 1.03439377187718 | 1.01305914959772 |
| 52 | 16961 | 17175.6157866219 | 17174.625 | 0.990786621874973 | 0.996744979987091 |
| 53 | 17480 | 17257.7298924403 | 17256.7083333333 | 1.02155910700688 | 0.991562216520764 |
| 54 | 17049 | 17346.9815596249 | 17346 | 0.981559624901186 | 1.00134303814751 |
| 55 | 16879 | 17440.3952357621 | 17439.4166666667 | 0.978569095450089 | 0.989061422914232 |
| 56 | 17473 | 17524.9952714517 | 17524 | 0.995271451725292 | 1.00182689237015 |
| 57 | 16998 | 17610.7024614268 | 17609.75 | 0.952461426798343 | 1.01343812451058 |
| 58 | 17307 | 17693.8696634146 | 17692.875 | 0.994663414615391 | 0.983438577181112 |
| 59 | 17418 | 17796.4753684984 | 17795.5 | 0.975368498391713 | 1.00350459703245 |
| 60 | 20169 | 17925.5003086576 | 17924.375 | 1.1253086576297 | 0.999927896016888 |
| 61 | 17871 | 18035.9557794878 | 18034.9583333333 | 0.997446154479086 | 0.993445967410447 |
| 62 | 17226 | 18143.2859455086 | 18142.3333333333 | 0.952612175250179 | 0.99672459029201 |
| 63 | 19062 | 18248.5760604385 | 18247.5416666667 | 1.03439377187718 | 1.00989960942047 |
| 64 | 17804 | 18360.7407866219 | 18359.75 | 0.990786621874973 | 0.97874755126211 |
| 65 | 19100 | 18487.271559107 | 18486.25 | 1.02155910700688 | 1.01139556637101 |
| 66 | 18522 | 18594.1482262916 | 18593.1666666667 | 0.981559624901186 | 1.01488733202451 |
| 67 | 18060 | 18709.5619024288 | 18708.5833333333 | 0.978569095450089 | 0.986473327541229 |
| 68 | 18869 | 18830.4119381184 | 18829.4166666667 | 0.995271451725292 | 1.00686320838303 |
| 69 | 18127 | 18931.0357947601 | 18930.0833333333 | 0.952461426798343 | 1.00537020984653 |
| 70 | 18871 | 19040.5779967479 | 19039.5833333333 | 0.994663414615391 | 0.996463351323665 |
| 71 | 18890 | 19146.8920351651 | 19145.9166666667 | 0.975368498391713 | 1.01154933429567 |
| 72 | 21263 | 19230.958641991 | 19229.8333333333 | 1.1253086576297 | 0.982601355359033 |
| 73 | 19547 | 19324.7057794878 | 19323.7083333333 | 0.997446154479086 | 1.01414529213454 |
| 74 | 18450 | 19428.9942788419 | 19428.0416666667 | 0.952612175250179 | 0.996899128621962 |
| 75 | 20254 | 19498.8260604385 | 19497.7916666667 | 1.03439377187718 | 1.00424454884781 |
| 76 | 19240 | 19566.7824532885 | 19565.7916666667 | 0.990786621874973 | 0.99249312915148 |
| 77 | 20216 | 19638.7298924403 | 19637.7083333333 | 1.02155910700688 | 1.00772242635843 |
| 78 | 19420 | 19693.9815596249 | 19693 | 0.981559624901186 | 1.00466357936546 |
| 79 | 19415 | NA | NA | 0.978569095450089 | NA |
| 80 | 20018 | NA | NA | 0.995271451725292 | NA |
| 81 | 18652 | NA | NA | 0.952461426798343 | NA |
| 82 | 19978 | NA | NA | 0.994663414615391 | NA |
| 83 | 19509 | NA | NA | 0.975368498391713 | NA |
| 84 | 21971 | NA | NA | 1.1253086576297 | NA |
