| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.0972 | 0.1121 | -0.128 | -0.9276 | 0.0107 | -0.0097 | -0.9996 |
| (p-val) | (0.5068 ) | (0.4314 ) | (0.3535 ) | (0 ) | (0.9533 ) | (0.9582 ) | (0.0231 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0.0958 | 0.1108 | -0.1287 | -0.9274 | 0.0149 | 0 | -1.0003 |
| (p-val) | (0.5045 ) | (0.4289 ) | (0.3475 ) | (0 ) | (0.9277 ) | (NA ) | (0.0186 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0.0975 | 0.1125 | -0.1305 | -0.9265 | 0 | 0 | -1 |
| (p-val) | (0.4935 ) | (0.4175 ) | (0.3353 ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.0312 ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | 0 | 0.1049 | -0.1344 | -1.1109 | 0 | 0 | -0.9999 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0.4532 ) | (0.3228 ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.091 ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | 0 | 0 | -0.1387 | -1.1429 | 0 | 0 | -1.0154 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.311 ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.3553 ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | 0 | 0 | -0.093 | -0.9738 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.4983 ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.987 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 12 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 13 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| -1.54059701660091 |
| -179.812112411272 |
| 181.974063410336 |
| -63.30452805792 |
| 46.8715736252844 |
| 14.7068762604372 |
| 181.639458324787 |
| 113.243863462279 |
| 63.3160226864243 |
| -160.759867688285 |
| 33.4597947603371 |
| -38.4908221047749 |
| 109.704507620254 |
| 313.772328065371 |
| 31.9449432572699 |
| 20.2873859897289 |
| -16.5106686998556 |
| 127.907861642726 |
| -162.378547083202 |
| -33.0094298085462 |
| -41.0554458329767 |
| 137.836826122725 |
| -70.5227457242629 |
| -101.686851737226 |
| 155.872115661045 |
| -191.233763602481 |
| -171.143676187758 |
| 144.992450782238 |
| -106.458358242773 |
| 9.67102020474263 |
| -39.1797337372434 |
| 1.44584596869544 |
| -77.6634833080167 |
| -57.5338288112421 |
| 89.3293106344554 |
| 338.37549305281 |
| -25.1944774498699 |
| 140.470135876035 |
| 31.743484662609 |
| -44.9575903166303 |
| 135.645590717861 |
| -117.337387636386 |
| 92.7655548265512 |
| -24.2278312762527 |
| 105.102967755675 |
| 170.509532614581 |
| 184.062412730404 |
| -124.64308287278 |
| -205.798350127468 |
| -51.8198237371585 |
| -3.82507819844667 |
| -43.3186332291878 |
| -89.1323600454569 |
| 114.603993252565 |
| 24.6060811551196 |
| 149.354702378104 |
| 216.236258626703 |
| -0.58151040647661 |
| -79.6268271708902 |
| 101.093577818294 |
