Multiple Linear Regression - Estimated Regression Equation
I1[t] = + 11.5560841313819 -0.497696002799604month[t] + 0.365101287131251I2[t] + 0.253315811143267I3[t] + 0.257113786806836E1[t] -0.118527824591692E2[t] + 0.0444575023596896E3[t] -0.212687332769597A[t] + 0.00551734322717097t + e[t]


Multiple Linear Regression - Ordinary Least Squares
VariableParameterS.D.T-STAT
H0: parameter = 0
2-tail p-value1-tail p-value
(Intercept)11.55608413138196.6180931.74610.0827950.041397
month-0.4976960027996040.739787-0.67280.5021170.251059
I20.3651012871312510.0635795.742500
I30.2533158111432670.0508464.9822e-061e-06
E10.2571137868068360.0754363.40840.0008350.000418
E2-0.1185278245916920.059202-2.00210.0470430.023522
E30.04445750235968960.0620720.71620.4749450.237472
A-0.2126873327695970.084646-2.51270.0130180.006509
t0.005517343227170970.0129720.42530.6711920.335596


Multiple Linear Regression - Regression Statistics
Multiple R0.743360103298425
R-squared0.552584243175845
Adjusted R-squared0.529189955237328
F-TEST (value)23.6204771279247
F-TEST (DF numerator)8
F-TEST (DF denominator)153
p-value0
Multiple Linear Regression - Residual Statistics
Residual Standard Deviation2.50931737432343
Sum Squared Residuals963.391073817462


Multiple Linear Regression - Actuals, Interpolation, and Residuals
Time or IndexActualsInterpolation
Forecast
Residuals
Prediction Error
12624.13951381487051.86048618512951
22020.9233711353096-0.923371135309556
31921.7260097096157-2.72600970961572
41918.34248687714050.657513122859483
52018.13820969157351.86179030842651
62524.07086305734130.929136942658667
72519.45435722112375.54564277887626
82220.09060200824761.90939799175243
92622.43874021405733.56125978594269
102220.47192496566421.5280750343358
111720.1647319498158-3.1647319498158
122223.0148619707581-1.01486197075807
131920.8512820771864-1.85128207718638
142422.5942258287741.40577417122601
152626.8460878711547-0.846087871154704
162118.97792039610722.02207960389279
171316.3284470157266-3.32844701572656
182627.3688785545613-1.36887855456135
192022.7434533086229-2.74345330862286
202218.84486447198163.15513552801838
211418.1269474631139-4.12694746311394
222120.56978320572170.430216794278327
23714.1148647132544-7.1148647132544
242321.74440622068691.25559377931312
251719.2083800205107-2.20838002051066
262523.12967571899141.87032428100862
272523.13519306221851.86480693778145
281916.32745272848032.67254727151971
292016.712630045533.28736995447001
302321.50645116187361.49354883812637
312224.273723490158-2.27372349015798
322222.0040593329911-0.00405933299105414
332118.02359223300482.97640776699525
341517.9073539033564-2.90735390335643
352016.1752475633883.82475243661199
362221.8204649200280.179535079971958
371816.77987014592651.22012985407346
382021.0125925116908-1.01259251169079
392827.82442217381580.175577826184152
402224.3109173929062-2.3109173929062
411821.9471081760189-3.94710817601891
422320.87341088618962.12658911381041
432021.8996390377716-1.89963903777158
442524.80519090222470.194809097775326
452622.39667088368243.60332911631761
461514.6644332663050.335566733694969
471718.0126182793631-1.01261827936314
482315.62742556666587.37257443333422
492122.2283891135347-1.22838911353466
501316.6254954158953-3.62549541589527
511820.4042014898089-2.40420148980889
521919.4707860685076-0.470786068507584
532222.2518126511531-0.251812651153068
541617.5350265059378-1.53502650593781
552423.01298674140070.98701325859934
561819.7608690571955-1.7608690571955
572021.2599910888394-1.25999108883945
582420.62369585466713.37630414533289
591418.2374622618237-4.23746226182372
602220.2906654347911.70933456520903
612418.02841362069155.97158637930855
621818.4487731511957-0.448773151195726
632124.4634232807322-3.46342328073218
642321.53870453463191.46129546536809
651718.3705409129728-1.37054091297282
662222.6142331133307-0.614233113330655
672424.9077156113732-0.907715611373193
682122.8902290633938-1.89022906339384
692222.0431811632106-0.0431811632105598
701617.0205548699761-1.02055486997611
712125.1573022994668-4.15730229946679
722323.9307196418191-0.930719641819119
732219.39940102892192.60059897107805
742422.53522082281681.46477917718319
752424.7668832100165-0.766883210016453
761617.5056565405801-1.50565654058009
771617.4911157461838-1.49111574618381
782122.9830497322064-1.98304973220639
792626.0707545896182-0.0707545896181977
801517.2283887374184-2.22838873741835
812523.21191160207241.7880883979276
821818.0732626159408-0.0732626159407618
832320.94458660902072.05541339097927
842021.3319446608009-1.33194466080092
851720.8189650412942-3.81896504129415
862525.042051141019-0.0420511410189786
872422.62847390089121.37152609910881
881714.74738752616272.25261247383726
891918.79738843019510.202611569804868
902020.4006191741632-0.400619174163186
911516.4986162348839-1.49861623488389
922724.6933242376272.30667576237297
932219.63060892233282.36939107766716
942322.87983813044350.120161869556466
951620.8597486046703-4.85974860467028
961921.1467790994405-2.14677909944052
972520.59461360857774.40538639142234
981919.751881707755-0.751881707754952
991919.5141424093018-0.514142409301816
1002625.47631316847470.523686831525268
1012119.01573313982451.98426686017553
1022020.0116583506254-0.0116583506253738
1032420.18960353858843.81039646141164
1042224.162665420277-2.16266542027696
1052021.296300085898-1.29630008589803
1061819.3160922473178-1.31609224731779
1071817.07261538227870.927384617721281
1082421.35080612017332.64919387982671
1092421.1087543177882.89124568221204
1102223.2349137148951-1.23491371489512
1112319.59628335320023.40371664679983
1122219.70117555508382.29882444491625
1132017.98587374198472.01412625801526
1141819.4814235020668-1.48142350206677
1152524.42967357976850.570326420231549
1161818.3156422616838-0.315642261683841
1171617.5190470792768-1.51904707927681
1182019.78985958685060.210140413149402
1191918.51190614461690.4880938553831
1201515.6512840662819-0.651284066281912
1211918.8483356274160.151664372584023
1221921.8888750929243-2.88887509292427
1231617.4430809305523-1.44308093055227
1241717.8439169425446-0.843916942544588
1252823.4148695138854.58513048611505
1262322.98446638874190.0155336112580874
1272523.71161751761571.28838248238435
1282018.78128018788031.2187198121197
1291720.1378309997725-3.13783099977252
1302322.67858800314080.321411996859236
1311620.0833478043604-4.0833478043604
1322323.3381978846261-0.338197884626104
1331116.1171551560373-5.11715515603727
1341820.1644814958978-2.16448149589775
1352423.1698098154560.83019018454404
1362318.79824599955144.2017540004486
1372120.65769320464330.342306795356695
1381619.5015933777544-3.50159337775435
1392424.8330626444964-0.83306264449635
1402321.68624163858531.31375836141472
1411815.94924107015922.05075892984082
1422021.0334965527172-1.03349655271724
143918.6019682030411-9.60196820304113
1442420.45347447843843.54652552156164
1452524.87763246884260.122367531157399
1462018.46135952957171.5386404704283
1472119.15270633580931.8472936641907
1482522.91884341188382.08115658811617
1492222.5541267347884-0.55412673478844
1502120.8538207886110.146179211389038
1512120.38819415711430.611805842885747
1522220.20206794721371.79793205278631
1532723.55678874546263.44321125453739
1542421.76959307762782.23040692237222
1552423.90377253333790.0962274666620831
1562120.09037209609640.909627903903578
1571820.6636869370691-2.66368693706914
1581616.2411928229045-0.241192822904468
1592219.49705757252652.50294242747348
1602020.292678420505-0.292678420505025
1611819.0617214619872-1.06172146198716
1622021.0487459152517-1.04874591525171


Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity
p-valuesAlternative Hypothesis
breakpoint indexgreater2-sidedless
120.9338477604792110.1323044790415780.066152239520789
130.921915652511550.1561686949768990.0780843474884495
140.8666710296414330.2666579407171350.133328970358567
150.7958301225268780.4083397549462450.204169877473122
160.7684252504548160.4631494990903690.231574749545184
170.6898985434498990.6202029131002020.310101456550101
180.5993953573210460.8012092853579080.400604642678954
190.6212702325284210.7574595349431580.378729767471579
200.6640958342972030.6718083314055940.335904165702797
210.5984709895474080.8030580209051830.401529010452592
220.5315713136353390.9368573727293210.468428686364661
230.5841074738542470.8317850522915060.415892526145753
240.5610228158868420.8779543682263150.438977184113158
250.4953817493973610.9907634987947210.504618250602639
260.5870497948513230.8259004102973530.412950205148677
270.5634799109718410.8730401780563190.436520089028159
280.8108941969654420.3782116060691160.189105803034558
290.9147019045413540.1705961909172920.0852980954586458
300.8969838672398860.2060322655202280.103016132760114
310.8956973674873030.2086052650253940.104302632512697
320.8642054806682220.2715890386635560.135794519331778
330.864932220171740.270135559656520.13506777982826
340.9040536474371430.1918927051257140.0959463525628568
350.9445320223551490.1109359552897030.0554679776448514
360.9272281351157230.1455437297685540.0727718648842771
370.9129752895131460.1740494209737070.0870247104868537
380.8892436991865670.2215126016268650.110756300813433
390.860137934209160.2797241315816790.13986206579084
400.8489382844321520.3021234311356970.151061715567848
410.877233239643170.245533520713660.12276676035683
420.8752935989729910.2494128020540180.124706401027009
430.8611902570577930.2776194858844140.138809742942207
440.8302515175662760.3394969648674480.169748482433724
450.8599231067839720.2801537864320560.140076893216028
460.829089875575180.341820248849640.17091012442482
470.7951745533857030.4096508932285930.204825446614297
480.9460073443290410.1079853113419170.0539926556709586
490.931274638683770.137450722632460.06872536131623
500.9487164967852710.1025670064294580.0512835032147289
510.9423403093937230.1153193812125540.0576596906062771
520.9298840258097870.1402319483804250.0701159741902127
530.9114447925607460.1771104148785080.0885552074392538
540.8939078467103130.2121843065793740.106092153289687
550.8712388025314450.2575223949371090.128761197468554
560.8594089170371630.2811821659256730.140591082962837
570.8329665396529210.3340669206941580.167033460347079
580.8657089302925290.2685821394149430.134291069707471
590.9062215904562740.1875568190874520.093778409543726
600.895390194448420.209219611103160.10460980555158
610.9670800278276140.06583994434477230.0329199721723861
620.9584824433547280.08303511329054350.0415175566452718
630.9645112395221880.07097752095562480.0354887604778124
640.9592052702776430.08158945944471460.0407947297223573
650.9532841697827870.09343166043442570.0467158302172128
660.9409422164824170.1181155670351660.0590577835175829
670.9259067834034420.1481864331931170.0740932165965583
680.9142438623520860.1715122752958280.085756137647914
690.8948935478609210.2102129042781590.105106452139079
700.8736771859818260.2526456280363480.126322814018174
710.902634998508450.1947300029831010.0973650014915504
720.884134677328430.231730645343140.11586532267157
730.8926983297412360.2146033405175290.107301670258764
740.881301521665150.2373969566697010.11869847833485
750.857038510351930.285922979296140.14296148964807
760.8362418317401530.3275163365196930.163758168259847
770.8123585527770930.3752828944458140.187641447222907
780.7957662725137460.4084674549725080.204233727486254
790.7674533752076550.4650932495846890.232546624792345
800.7539406527029640.4921186945940730.246059347297036
810.7410667601235470.5178664797529070.258933239876453
820.7083962964638130.5832074070723750.291603703536187
830.7037590199102820.5924819601794350.296240980089718
840.6750327651621550.649934469675690.324967234837845
850.7198438054772410.5603123890455180.280156194522759
860.67923974381410.64152051237180.3207602561859
870.6561059107577560.6877881784844870.343894089242244
880.6656656556678080.6686686886643840.334334344332192
890.6320924931464370.7358150137071250.367907506853563
900.5874700090124350.825059981975130.412529990987565
910.5484650364474280.9030699271051440.451534963552572
920.5424733558139580.9150532883720840.457526644186042
930.5392200391750990.9215599216498020.460779960824901
940.5006673738552030.9986652522895940.499332626144797
950.6265912195953180.7468175608093640.373408780404682
960.6234278043510130.7531443912979740.376572195648987
970.709167015432370.581665969135260.29083298456763
980.6719178544097130.6561642911805740.328082145590287
990.6354471907686090.7291056184627820.364552809231391
1000.5912542761156360.8174914477687280.408745723884364
1010.5662188757643640.8675622484712720.433781124235636
1020.5184234219264370.9631531561471260.481576578073563
1030.5931967711609310.8136064576781370.406803228839069
1040.5890171832044710.8219656335910590.410982816795529
1050.5667971417950340.8664057164099320.433202858204966
1060.5434622021797860.9130755956404280.456537797820214
1070.4972090566477880.9944181132955760.502790943352212
1080.4685299121960690.9370598243921380.531470087803931
1090.4566917764160030.9133835528320070.543308223583997
1100.4222748890654630.8445497781309260.577725110934537
1110.4521608914121810.9043217828243620.547839108587819
1120.4516618950099750.9033237900199490.548338104990025
1130.4659861046309530.9319722092619070.534013895369047
1140.4246996528626350.849399305725270.575300347137365
1150.3739422494721340.7478844989442670.626057750527866
1160.325286386114260.650572772228520.67471361388574
1170.2910451136588350.5820902273176710.708954886341165
1180.2490454663628470.4980909327256950.750954533637153
1190.223389726317430.4467794526348610.77661027368257
1200.1986077246745210.3972154493490430.801392275325479
1210.1656671841117630.3313343682235250.834332815888237
1220.1589885749820240.3179771499640470.841011425017976
1230.1301755647298590.2603511294597180.869824435270141
1240.1047320568149230.2094641136298460.895267943185077
1250.2392699223652590.4785398447305180.760730077634741
1260.1966507759541350.3933015519082710.803349224045865
1270.1860166741656010.3720333483312010.813983325834399
1280.1675263050039880.3350526100079750.832473694996013
1290.1483005024107090.2966010048214170.851699497589291
1300.1309882327332870.2619764654665730.869011767266713
1310.14963893059580.2992778611916010.8503610694042
1320.1152508138145430.2305016276290870.884749186185457
1330.1990507789340150.398101557868030.800949221065985
1340.1886767300238810.3773534600477630.811323269976119
1350.184878394096190.369756788192380.81512160590381
1360.1652034846797220.3304069693594430.834796515320278
1370.136162313910880.272324627821760.86383768608912
1380.1397158227052980.2794316454105970.860284177294702
1390.1045611946891880.2091223893783760.895438805310812
1400.08533325895179590.1706665179035920.914666741048204
1410.06298483245032230.1259696649006450.937015167549678
1420.0459014180450030.09180283609000590.954098581954997
1430.9269649793080880.1460700413838240.0730350206919119
1440.9643173096013710.07136538079725760.0356826903986288
1450.933761421133120.1324771577337610.0662385788668804
1460.8849484103175370.2301031793649250.115051589682463
1470.8247115164368260.3505769671263480.175288483563174
1480.7910137044553130.4179725910893730.208986295544686
1490.6716865086262270.6566269827475450.328313491373772
1500.5389436264774430.9221127470451140.461056373522557


Meta Analysis of Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity
Description# significant tests% significant testsOK/NOK
1% type I error level00OK
5% type I error level00OK
10% type I error level70.0503597122302158OK