Multiple Linear Regression - Estimated Regression Equation |
werkloosheid[t] = + 419.778003374043 + 1.76129274906834chemie[t] + 1.60376814161943vm[t] -1.20989112286638textiel[t] -16.5723552810496maand[t] + e[t] |
Multiple Linear Regression - Ordinary Least Squares | |||||
Variable | Parameter | S.D. | T-STAT H0: parameter = 0 | 2-tail p-value | 1-tail p-value |
(Intercept) | 419.778003374043 | 70.359665 | 5.9662 | 0 | 0 |
chemie | 1.76129274906834 | 0.447416 | 3.9366 | 0.000141 | 7.1e-05 |
vm | 1.60376814161943 | 0.532863 | 3.0097 | 0.003209 | 0.001604 |
textiel | -1.20989112286638 | 0.327323 | -3.6963 | 0.000335 | 0.000168 |
maand | -16.5723552810496 | 8.666188 | -1.9123 | 0.058304 | 0.029152 |
Multiple Linear Regression - Regression Statistics | |
Multiple R | 0.551026185417988 |
R-squared | 0.303629857016299 |
Adjusted R-squared | 0.279617093465137 |
F-TEST (value) | 12.6445195018632 |
F-TEST (DF numerator) | 4 |
F-TEST (DF denominator) | 116 |
p-value | 1.42720724127798e-08 |
Multiple Linear Regression - Residual Statistics | |
Residual Standard Deviation | 39.9751882720934 |
Sum Squared Residuals | 185369.81857716 |
Multiple Linear Regression - Actuals, Interpolation, and Residuals | |||
Time or Index | Actuals | Interpolation Forecast | Residuals Prediction Error |
1 | 467 | 484.40770824616 | -17.40770824616 |
2 | 460 | 474.925909855434 | -14.9259098554338 |
3 | 448 | 491.305265591007 | -43.3052655910071 |
4 | 443 | 485.456424158499 | -42.4564241584994 |
5 | 436 | 494.068056170259 | -58.0680561702585 |
6 | 431 | 493.199106470537 | -62.1991064705367 |
7 | 484 | 489.864071608844 | -5.86407160884383 |
8 | 510 | 527.956429537396 | -17.9564295373956 |
9 | 513 | 476.986179219608 | 36.0138207803923 |
10 | 503 | 494.169028353406 | 8.83097164659409 |
11 | 471 | 491.796516024593 | -20.7965160245925 |
12 | 471 | 502.48759606788 | -31.4875960678798 |
13 | 476 | 507.795116777933 | -31.7951167779328 |
14 | 475 | 500.750488621151 | -25.7504886211514 |
15 | 470 | 521.916407752451 | -51.9164077524511 |
16 | 461 | 523.626969472923 | -62.6269694729228 |
17 | 455 | 530.495939037782 | -75.4959390377823 |
18 | 456 | 520.219027477595 | -64.2190274775954 |
19 | 517 | 538.155828894874 | -21.1558288948736 |
20 | 525 | 545.031176147571 | -20.0311761475714 |
21 | 523 | 508.044677400247 | 14.9553225997534 |
22 | 519 | 526.80347909199 | -7.8034790919897 |
23 | 509 | 503.077673386808 | 5.92232661319225 |
24 | 512 | 535.566386762255 | -23.5663867622554 |
25 | 519 | 529.214658408514 | -10.2146584085135 |
26 | 517 | 517.492974984933 | -0.49297498493337 |
27 | 510 | 542.131559516823 | -32.131559516823 |
28 | 509 | 533.633328693917 | -24.6333286939167 |
29 | 501 | 524.72608926582 | -23.72608926582 |
30 | 507 | 540.649814118985 | -33.6498141189848 |
31 | 569 | 550.309743194861 | 18.6902568051387 |
32 | 580 | 562.697968065149 | 17.3020319348514 |
33 | 578 | 542.043626162302 | 35.9563738376982 |
34 | 565 | 554.225395346043 | 10.7746046539575 |
35 | 547 | 535.394928834621 | 11.6050711653786 |
36 | 555 | 573.636241650457 | -18.6362416504568 |
37 | 562 | 528.793626545813 | 33.2063734541866 |
38 | 561 | 532.550255088033 | 28.4497449119668 |
39 | 555 | 559.699807649392 | -4.69980764939207 |
40 | 544 | 542.292028031168 | 1.70797196883199 |
41 | 537 | 542.462341436063 | -5.46234143606337 |
42 | 543 | 544.430340628446 | -1.43034062844613 |
43 | 594 | 554.309547610086 | 39.6904523899144 |
44 | 611 | 566.30032402404 | 44.69967597596 |
45 | 613 | 568.896963127947 | 44.1030368720532 |
46 | 611 | 541.547005419841 | 69.4529945801592 |
47 | 594 | 545.796388922852 | 48.2036110771481 |
48 | 595 | 582.978139382664 | 12.0218606173359 |
49 | 591 | 538.914760430125 | 52.0852395698753 |
50 | 589 | 506.534023891005 | 82.465976108995 |
51 | 584 | 540.016223012013 | 43.9837769879872 |
52 | 573 | 529.355089832222 | 43.6449101677779 |
53 | 567 | 540.446687360691 | 26.5533126393087 |
54 | 569 | 565.904531416918 | 3.09546858308171 |
55 | 621 | 537.978162396579 | 83.021837603421 |
56 | 629 | 572.739313023232 | 56.2606869767677 |
57 | 628 | 537.405691018682 | 90.5943089813178 |
58 | 612 | 540.304536231185 | 71.6954637688146 |
59 | 595 | 545.127308539377 | 49.8726914606234 |
60 | 597 | 560.424126286841 | 36.575873713159 |
61 | 593 | 548.532070614611 | 44.4679293853891 |
62 | 590 | 526.456898350455 | 63.5431016495451 |
63 | 580 | 556.414497463057 | 23.5855025369434 |
64 | 574 | 532.994850548219 | 41.0051494517815 |
65 | 573 | 552.090472377043 | 20.909527622957 |
66 | 573 | 533.677407799603 | 39.3225922003972 |
67 | 620 | 536.777600090165 | 83.2223999098354 |
68 | 626 | 582.383437803601 | 43.6165621963994 |
69 | 620 | 538.369280039485 | 81.6307199605151 |
70 | 588 | 557.781448954037 | 30.2185510459631 |
71 | 566 | 543.186288877769 | 22.8137111222307 |
72 | 557 | 565.267818720746 | -8.26781872074593 |
73 | 561 | 544.625290262264 | 16.3747097377358 |
74 | 549 | 526.632295294469 | 22.3677047055312 |
75 | 532 | 561.22338162945 | -29.2233816294499 |
76 | 526 | 547.647839702471 | -21.6478397024707 |
77 | 511 | 550.28416611283 | -39.2841661128302 |
78 | 499 | 542.537507180359 | -43.5375071803588 |
79 | 555 | 562.6805097767 | -7.68050977670014 |
80 | 565 | 580.58600220754 | -15.5860022075395 |
81 | 542 | 529.381355497577 | 12.6186445024225 |
82 | 527 | 545.940719902615 | -18.9407199026153 |
83 | 510 | 541.983862199928 | -31.9838621999283 |
84 | 514 | 559.554679651602 | -45.5546796516022 |
85 | 517 | 554.627463209926 | -37.6274632099258 |
86 | 508 | 539.693258885889 | -31.6932588858889 |
87 | 493 | 539.036888699703 | -46.0368886997031 |
88 | 490 | 549.966553052041 | -59.9665530520414 |
89 | 469 | 538.587851761928 | -69.5878517619276 |
90 | 478 | 555.674962443019 | -77.6749624430194 |
91 | 528 | 562.311485191185 | -34.3114851911849 |
92 | 534 | 587.954962034121 | -53.9549620341212 |
93 | 518 | 555.741020993104 | -37.7410209931044 |
94 | 506 | 568.534578230793 | -62.534578230793 |
95 | 502 | 538.036325579114 | -36.036325579114 |
96 | 516 | 559.037235849057 | -43.0372358490574 |
97 | 528 | 535.200993183663 | -7.20099318366256 |
98 | 533 | 515.368034863257 | 17.6319651367425 |
99 | 536 | 546.466974133669 | -10.4669741336686 |
100 | 537 | 532.036894297197 | 4.9631057028033 |
101 | 524 | 537.798847623406 | -13.798847623406 |
102 | 536 | 553.615484606108 | -17.6154846061083 |
103 | 587 | 543.763431337733 | 43.2365686622669 |
104 | 597 | 564.848284676396 | 32.1517153236041 |
105 | 581 | 531.380406776117 | 49.6195932238831 |
106 | 564 | 548.575953007178 | 15.4240469928216 |
107 | 558 | 529.44601335023 | 28.5539866497704 |
108 | 575 | 546.24650461803 | 28.7534953819705 |
109 | 580 | 528.060025243543 | 51.9399747564566 |
110 | 575 | 552.492938254543 | 22.5070617454574 |
111 | 563 | 588.747394427892 | -25.7473944278915 |
112 | 552 | 570.231853140098 | -18.2318531400981 |
113 | 537 | 575.638074270132 | -38.6380742701316 |
114 | 545 | 584.238252063925 | -39.2382520639253 |
115 | 601 | 579.186551976515 | 21.8134480234848 |
116 | 604 | 595.275545995535 | 8.72445400446476 |
117 | 586 | 573.177413460685 | 12.8225865393147 |
118 | 564 | 582.677292870439 | -18.6772928704385 |
119 | 549 | 585.168275131173 | -36.1682751311728 |
120 | 551 | 592.744777293721 | -41.7447772937214 |
121 | 556 | 587.932504737499 | -31.9325047374993 |
Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity | |||
p-values | Alternative Hypothesis | ||
breakpoint index | greater | 2-sided | less |
8 | 0.18778437359767 | 0.37556874719534 | 0.81221562640233 |
9 | 0.0928184492606079 | 0.185636898521216 | 0.907181550739392 |
10 | 0.038487092545216 | 0.076974185090432 | 0.961512907454784 |
11 | 0.0485227078194099 | 0.0970454156388197 | 0.95147729218059 |
12 | 0.0531463481435456 | 0.106292696287091 | 0.946853651856454 |
13 | 0.0436778396942296 | 0.0873556793884592 | 0.95632216030577 |
14 | 0.0318076716039547 | 0.0636153432079094 | 0.968192328396045 |
15 | 0.0198644365085798 | 0.0397288730171595 | 0.98013556349142 |
16 | 0.0121047806651143 | 0.0242095613302285 | 0.987895219334886 |
17 | 0.00926375406104017 | 0.0185275081220803 | 0.99073624593896 |
18 | 0.00797550824408587 | 0.0159510164881717 | 0.992024491755914 |
19 | 0.0194330691817574 | 0.0388661383635148 | 0.980566930818243 |
20 | 0.0141674044934877 | 0.0283348089869754 | 0.985832595506512 |
21 | 0.0150490089072847 | 0.0300980178145694 | 0.984950991092715 |
22 | 0.00912093376411401 | 0.018241867528228 | 0.990879066235886 |
23 | 0.00700092486547519 | 0.0140018497309504 | 0.992999075134525 |
24 | 0.00455985653081908 | 0.00911971306163815 | 0.995440143469181 |
25 | 0.012468713538704 | 0.0249374270774079 | 0.987531286461296 |
26 | 0.0188180752023383 | 0.0376361504046767 | 0.981181924797662 |
27 | 0.0187945423574698 | 0.0375890847149397 | 0.98120545764253 |
28 | 0.0166022275127593 | 0.0332044550255186 | 0.983397772487241 |
29 | 0.0175945635083305 | 0.0351891270166611 | 0.982405436491669 |
30 | 0.0175422355338266 | 0.0350844710676532 | 0.982457764466173 |
31 | 0.0289171928510337 | 0.0578343857020674 | 0.971082807148966 |
32 | 0.0358749337433704 | 0.0717498674867409 | 0.96412506625663 |
33 | 0.0629940498691521 | 0.125988099738304 | 0.937005950130848 |
34 | 0.0460991606385383 | 0.0921983212770766 | 0.953900839361462 |
35 | 0.048158974690295 | 0.09631794938059 | 0.951841025309705 |
36 | 0.0450275388456521 | 0.0900550776913042 | 0.954972461154348 |
37 | 0.0909829394893281 | 0.181965878978656 | 0.909017060510672 |
38 | 0.169561571602002 | 0.339123143204004 | 0.830438428397998 |
39 | 0.154540111798085 | 0.30908022359617 | 0.845459888201915 |
40 | 0.180669292153172 | 0.361338584306345 | 0.819330707846828 |
41 | 0.281430862518305 | 0.56286172503661 | 0.718569137481695 |
42 | 0.244699423189066 | 0.489398846378133 | 0.755300576810934 |
43 | 0.267707471617763 | 0.535414943235527 | 0.732292528382237 |
44 | 0.237029452101242 | 0.474058904202484 | 0.762970547898758 |
45 | 0.229432629201655 | 0.45886525840331 | 0.770567370798345 |
46 | 0.252418712453596 | 0.504837424907191 | 0.747581287546404 |
47 | 0.216765469800644 | 0.433530939601288 | 0.783234530199356 |
48 | 0.218199495015279 | 0.436398990030557 | 0.781800504984721 |
49 | 0.196924868530497 | 0.393849737060993 | 0.803075131469503 |
50 | 0.247655809427026 | 0.495311618854051 | 0.752344190572974 |
51 | 0.208404989145112 | 0.416809978290223 | 0.791595010854888 |
52 | 0.171232716258259 | 0.342465432516517 | 0.828767283741741 |
53 | 0.152665659731324 | 0.305331319462649 | 0.847334340268676 |
54 | 0.168176479307559 | 0.336352958615118 | 0.831823520692441 |
55 | 0.204828569904723 | 0.409657139809447 | 0.795171430095277 |
56 | 0.170641789362227 | 0.341283578724453 | 0.829358210637773 |
57 | 0.238457481265386 | 0.476914962530772 | 0.761542518734614 |
58 | 0.238907701906037 | 0.477815403812074 | 0.761092298093963 |
59 | 0.225169625585429 | 0.450339251170857 | 0.774830374414571 |
60 | 0.204289274189262 | 0.408578548378523 | 0.795710725810738 |
61 | 0.172709141363674 | 0.345418282727347 | 0.827290858636326 |
62 | 0.163147407583308 | 0.326294815166616 | 0.836852592416692 |
63 | 0.159707630509453 | 0.319415261018905 | 0.840292369490547 |
64 | 0.130140531469933 | 0.260281062939867 | 0.869859468530067 |
65 | 0.118920489700938 | 0.237840979401877 | 0.881079510299062 |
66 | 0.108498195462936 | 0.216996390925872 | 0.891501804537064 |
67 | 0.153865569348046 | 0.307731138696092 | 0.846134430651954 |
68 | 0.143177272701621 | 0.286354545403243 | 0.856822727298379 |
69 | 0.311941717058256 | 0.623883434116513 | 0.688058282941744 |
70 | 0.386945692398721 | 0.773891384797441 | 0.613054307601279 |
71 | 0.430958144428251 | 0.861916288856503 | 0.569041855571749 |
72 | 0.471189485728063 | 0.942378971456127 | 0.528810514271937 |
73 | 0.469516528133852 | 0.939033056267703 | 0.530483471866148 |
74 | 0.459454949018854 | 0.918909898037708 | 0.540545050981146 |
75 | 0.543918954234847 | 0.912162091530307 | 0.456081045765153 |
76 | 0.582042379482664 | 0.835915241034673 | 0.417957620517336 |
77 | 0.67715556846859 | 0.64568886306282 | 0.32284443153141 |
78 | 0.762194557133438 | 0.475610885733124 | 0.237805442866562 |
79 | 0.740861305916998 | 0.518277388166005 | 0.259138694083002 |
80 | 0.753624984729774 | 0.492750030540451 | 0.246375015270226 |
81 | 0.712511654738175 | 0.574976690523649 | 0.287488345261825 |
82 | 0.686237874723275 | 0.62752425055345 | 0.313762125276725 |
83 | 0.766129843056512 | 0.467740313886977 | 0.233870156943488 |
84 | 0.860387177564443 | 0.279225644871114 | 0.139612822435557 |
85 | 0.879254885042872 | 0.241490229914257 | 0.120745114957128 |
86 | 0.880023378445261 | 0.239953243109478 | 0.119976621554739 |
87 | 0.88840127910343 | 0.22319744179314 | 0.11159872089657 |
88 | 0.903857871100895 | 0.192284257798211 | 0.0961421288991054 |
89 | 0.958006390015613 | 0.0839872199687729 | 0.0419936099843865 |
90 | 0.987155678912241 | 0.0256886421755181 | 0.0128443210877591 |
91 | 0.984174838175806 | 0.0316503236483879 | 0.0158251618241939 |
92 | 0.990018116281484 | 0.0199637674370327 | 0.00998188371851635 |
93 | 0.986738442411192 | 0.0265231151776162 | 0.0132615575888081 |
94 | 0.988650683268832 | 0.0226986334623364 | 0.0113493167311682 |
95 | 0.993245037009157 | 0.0135099259816869 | 0.00675496299084343 |
96 | 0.995746743299061 | 0.00850651340187809 | 0.00425325670093904 |
97 | 0.995658563985756 | 0.00868287202848714 | 0.00434143601424357 |
98 | 0.995111376990369 | 0.0097772460192614 | 0.0048886230096307 |
99 | 0.99339535925483 | 0.0132092814903393 | 0.00660464074516966 |
100 | 0.991773662270473 | 0.0164526754590538 | 0.00822633772952692 |
101 | 0.997534275165107 | 0.00493144966978637 | 0.00246572483489319 |
102 | 0.998180997723992 | 0.00363800455201659 | 0.0018190022760083 |
103 | 0.996774610394575 | 0.00645077921085074 | 0.00322538960542537 |
104 | 0.994282960207014 | 0.0114340795859714 | 0.00571703979298569 |
105 | 0.991156236749821 | 0.0176875265003572 | 0.00884376325017861 |
106 | 0.982383353718156 | 0.0352332925636876 | 0.0176166462818438 |
107 | 0.968042108843532 | 0.0639157823129368 | 0.0319578911564684 |
108 | 0.940370009056614 | 0.119259981886771 | 0.0596299909433856 |
109 | 0.896772606216023 | 0.206454787567955 | 0.103227393783977 |
110 | 0.826031300357425 | 0.34793739928515 | 0.173968699642575 |
111 | 0.72548414961353 | 0.549031700772941 | 0.27451585038647 |
112 | 0.605137640296617 | 0.789724719406766 | 0.394862359703383 |
113 | 0.870029229280788 | 0.259941541438424 | 0.129970770719212 |
Meta Analysis of Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity | |||
Description | # significant tests | % significant tests | OK/NOK |
1% type I error level | 7 | 0.0660377358490566 | NOK |
5% type I error level | 33 | 0.311320754716981 | NOK |
10% type I error level | 44 | 0.415094339622642 | NOK |