| Structural Time Series Model | |||||
| t | Observed | Level | Slope | Seasonal | Stand. Residuals |
| 1 | 9.676 | 9.676 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 8.642 | 9.60396769599248 | 0.0037394895423648 | -0.635058359433444 | -3.47443271267423 |
| 3 | 9.402 | 9.45401077342991 | -0.0183133797076445 | 0.0917052633369661 | -1.7839977791407 |
| 4 | 9.61 | 9.43894767543408 | -0.0178804704798153 | 0.168684318269467 | 0.0319664407104806 |
| 5 | 9.294 | 9.39464770528669 | -0.0209346464613445 | -0.0795135764902457 | -0.283132125202997 |
| 6 | 9.448 | 9.38938852884792 | -0.01937746181176 | 0.0442548779777317 | 0.187641947747878 |
| 7 | 10.319 | 9.58042412606209 | -0.00130401052492251 | 0.523636123391154 | 2.75166179230744 |
| 8 | 9.548 | 9.62787857730653 | 0.00236634682640294 | -0.133793107346051 | 0.680043723035899 |
| 9 | 9.801 | 9.67649632767438 | 0.00546645790732064 | 0.0703935686862788 | 0.6754774252295 |
| 10 | 9.596 | 9.67748512830492 | 0.00519504145954117 | -0.0760304554521848 | -0.0675980843382872 |
| 11 | 8.923 | 9.53814577187952 | -0.0028374757067737 | -0.433800968321019 | -2.23560178201297 |
| 12 | 9.746 | 9.53267329017727 | -0.00297328794229966 | 0.21670642319818 | -0.0415040319391615 |
| 13 | 9.829 | 9.53144970730544 | -0.00298406521554054 | 0.294785805523468 | 0.0347006197747974 |
| 14 | 9.125 | 9.5440510591881 | -0.00271303345401848 | -0.440480409251016 | 0.271745824741238 |
| 15 | 9.782 | 9.57494981318903 | -0.00145357076401724 | 0.167643798427332 | 0.513030534567471 |
| 16 | 9.441 | 9.52939855088511 | -0.00347671029563411 | -0.0401051136396316 | -0.640253557225453 |
| 17 | 9.162 | 9.47664406780267 | -0.00582601190212476 | -0.260770145080189 | -0.718434981877873 |
| 18 | 9.915 | 9.56351469535383 | -0.00153663778039349 | 0.247401081889839 | 1.38630358411364 |
| 19 | 10.444 | 9.65936857408945 | 0.00270271030437873 | 0.67160630049203 | 1.49962559961438 |
| 20 | 10.209 | 9.8104437644388 | 0.00869521973419781 | 0.221061885125647 | 2.34501331825596 |
| 21 | 9.985 | 9.86864371116475 | 0.0105385160887819 | 0.0556150632571217 | 0.799334414619553 |
| 22 | 9.842 | 9.87891315337422 | 0.0105293543427928 | -0.0365759965042006 | -0.00442061204912929 |
| 23 | 9.429 | 9.88573969076159 | 0.0104168171042543 | -0.45201073500547 | -0.0617673854028371 |
| 24 | 10.132 | 9.90095498553048 | 0.0105373722629404 | 0.22477850329811 | 0.0814923110828912 |
| 25 | 9.849 | 9.86503670283959 | 0.00982066548610975 | 0.0471643893365732 | -0.819407515218257 |
| 26 | 9.172 | 9.82447995880997 | 0.00894473785376252 | -0.585339933389858 | -0.871909808635459 |
| 27 | 10.313 | 9.86474502705525 | 0.0096614710660162 | 0.40832851430915 | 0.522128326411872 |
| 28 | 9.819 | 9.88550073870896 | 0.00996257825657431 | -0.0801986893993088 | 0.180396640687546 |
| 29 | 9.955 | 9.97953843666184 | 0.012424873216196 | -0.127155029741011 | 1.35713037262053 |
| 30 | 10.048 | 10.0113446040073 | 0.0130011840913902 | 0.0129217183633434 | 0.314314062753663 |
| 31 | 10.082 | 9.95612650519667 | 0.0110183515396396 | 0.210328891185492 | -1.11790152955937 |
| 32 | 10.541 | 10.0135235425193 | 0.0123039968289974 | 0.469276620210794 | 0.769202123806266 |
| 33 | 10.208 | 10.0573363740517 | 0.0131219884391485 | 0.110582367939303 | 0.528690174813661 |
| 34 | 10.233 | 10.1088337620679 | 0.0140385076971991 | 0.0747248965536091 | 0.65073156662347 |
| 35 | 9.439 | 10.0936785562411 | 0.0134117634359361 | -0.616613469478362 | -0.499867084694306 |
| 36 | 9.963 | 10.032419163179 | 0.0120151366468516 | 0.0290963087014454 | -1.29087481916628 |
| 37 | 10.158 | 10.0304109860858 | 0.0117903276095696 | 0.146284556190881 | -0.244544275281895 |
| 38 | 9.225 | 10.0102530159503 | 0.011276453434801 | -0.742873049128375 | -0.554458089892897 |
| 39 | 10.474 | 10.0268785958478 | 0.011371548876377 | 0.440129145242782 | 0.0916806477567964 |
| 40 | 9.757 | 10.0201187467869 | 0.0110155592217956 | -0.239740626635693 | -0.307389283023547 |
| 41 | 10.49 | 10.1201923558669 | 0.0128777566876442 | 0.255815457243038 | 1.5020972558923 |
| 42 | 10.281 | 10.1734992326625 | 0.0137444326864358 | 0.0557874383935306 | 0.682176649897095 |
| 43 | 10.444 | 10.2162290124158 | 0.014361891411443 | 0.190547305570256 | 0.491083845982409 |
| 44 | 10.64 | 10.2346792636286 | 0.0144463608961661 | 0.400036073351879 | 0.0696772944863721 |
| 45 | 10.695 | 10.3041473065312 | 0.0155277263046824 | 0.319197778165925 | 0.943787080721844 |
| 46 | 10.786 | 10.3857152635156 | 0.0167421717871056 | 0.313631844867039 | 1.13991971802078 |
| 47 | 9.832 | 10.4155948967777 | 0.0169651240943325 | -0.600954940499762 | 0.228079657951756 |
| 48 | 9.747 | 10.3228731551119 | 0.0152586102821331 | -0.430047057760226 | -1.91366749822315 |
| 49 | 10.411 | 10.2942365219112 | 0.0146225919401837 | 0.175339599888201 | -0.768054900182843 |
| 50 | 9.511 | 10.2920288871418 | 0.0143814938328919 | -0.758603369680746 | -0.294033238808511 |
| 51 | 10.402 | 10.2539210823849 | 0.0136006146599634 | 0.217640024590396 | -0.912760057357238 |
| 52 | 9.701 | 10.2199388544998 | 0.0128551596982026 | -0.456252344583077 | -0.82351506394424 |
| 53 | 10.54 | 10.2368602585868 | 0.0129215206936001 | 0.297803296402311 | 0.0701789779402011 |
| 54 | 10.112 | 10.2272416179907 | 0.0125460783776696 | -0.0856874764630684 | -0.388909784963529 |
| 55 | 10.915 | 10.3150408691588 | 0.0137981679689141 | 0.501128916912482 | 1.30072142449968 |
| 56 | 11.183 | 10.431254126555 | 0.0154678310562309 | 0.616797301273182 | 1.77561284754979 |
| 57 | 10.384 | 10.4213275003801 | 0.0150686594822864 | -0.00372583921285353 | -0.441878884865934 |
| 58 | 10.834 | 10.4340176145795 | 0.0150330589589415 | 0.403143566019176 | -0.0415421102982172 |
| 59 | 9.886 | 10.4317069972562 | 0.0147877419138621 | -0.522561024739936 | -0.303946992021462 |
| 60 | 10.216 | 10.4616932157659 | 0.0149910490924513 | -0.266044163635058 | 0.267070645235596 |
| 61 | 10.943 | 10.5181494922369 | 0.0155230990720406 | 0.369225975863527 | 0.729655586561197 |
| 62 | 9.867 | 10.5493886427109 | 0.0157221167674807 | -0.703463739161317 | 0.276430728992788 |
| 63 | 10.203 | 10.4752105483055 | 0.0145688699435745 | -0.151907956700221 | -1.57839772441336 |
| 64 | 10.837 | 10.5936061411938 | 0.0159344603901666 | 0.104812133641736 | 1.81913824844548 |
| 65 | 10.573 | 10.5921665616523 | 0.0157005986703439 | 0.00398009754127546 | -0.303994953119957 |
| 66 | 10.647 | 10.6415994814089 | 0.0161605224267335 | -0.0395145228649667 | 0.590087109561325 |
| 67 | 11.502 | 10.7347149129627 | 0.0172089821194915 | 0.664739184730139 | 1.34736691222468 |
| 68 | 10.656 | 10.6595108822779 | 0.0159679364093401 | 0.119855528505717 | -1.62072258870195 |
| 69 | 10.866 | 10.6803963806691 | 0.0160322615011469 | 0.17902308220629 | 0.0864255845019666 |
| 70 | 10.835 | 10.656774979412 | 0.0155314579475213 | 0.231427802690694 | -0.698459897223181 |
| 71 | 9.945 | 10.6351041452543 | 0.0150797617375863 | -0.640066837854304 | -0.656624372683265 |
| 72 | 10.331 | 10.6376576752644 | 0.0149332571183332 | -0.289776685931933 | -0.221441162176421 |
| 73 | 10.718 | 10.6017434190628 | 0.0143549257761365 | 0.184857754549448 | -0.899666091475739 |
| 74 | 9.462 | 10.5260205506136 | 0.0133432056316908 | -0.942483441113585 | -1.59376740793004 |
| 75 | 10.579 | 10.55904073347 | 0.0135646677495032 | -0.00656929139189781 | 0.347915434691131 |
| 76 | 10.633 | 10.5702242878133 | 0.0135375862127626 | 0.0659824559773204 | -0.042064790946943 |
| 77 | 10.346 | 10.5515318695593 | 0.0131668518619567 | -0.162162767251075 | -0.569033146205613 |
| 78 | 10.757 | 10.5940439482601 | 0.0135065291812581 | 0.123478116848081 | 0.518065669507745 |
| 79 | 11.207 | 10.5876525493821 | 0.013276653392268 | 0.64612826997795 | -0.351460810256383 |
| 80 | 11.013 | 10.634753402522 | 0.0136631293059228 | 0.332674322612097 | 0.598029424747637 |
| 81 | 11.015 | 10.6746152501376 | 0.0139567735298053 | 0.305035495256469 | 0.46379596005622 |
| 82 | 10.765 | 10.6614984951396 | 0.0136608775991435 | 0.140089604859237 | -0.479937306128604 |
| 83 | 10.042 | 10.6596311609356 | 0.013495819622295 | -0.596613824671237 | -0.275621354469652 |
| 84 | 10.661 | 10.6969270967114 | 0.0137422631743604 | -0.0681799995112097 | 0.422869443064775 |
