Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 821 | 0 | 83 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 2.25 | 2.31154628236496 | -0.060358062138966 | 2.248811779774 | 0.061546282364962 |
2 | 2.25 | 2.25227175662703 | -0.0935076958881285 | 2.34123593926109 | 0.00227175662703427 |
3 | 2.45 | 2.54728300649919 | -0.0809431052473727 | 2.43366009874818 | 0.0972830064991879 |
4 | 2.5 | 2.5494302468736 | -0.0780668719189095 | 2.52863662504531 | 0.0494302468735972 |
5 | 2.5 | 2.45872030223034 | -0.0823334535727765 | 2.62361315134244 | -0.0412796977696628 |
6 | 2.64 | 2.59693090842326 | -0.0376549639926831 | 2.72072405556943 | -0.0430690915767427 |
7 | 2.75 | 2.65085569629809 | 0.0313093439054975 | 2.81783495979641 | -0.0991443037019102 |
8 | 2.93 | 2.85151920029326 | 0.0929378990188222 | 2.91554290068792 | -0.0784807997067429 |
9 | 3 | 2.86075413614507 | 0.125995022275497 | 3.01325084157943 | -0.139245863854926 |
10 | 3.17 | 3.08572537543981 | 0.137545996849254 | 3.11672862771094 | -0.08427462456019 |
11 | 3.25 | 3.20923656770382 | 0.0705570184537409 | 3.22020641384244 | -0.0407634322961825 |
12 | 3.39 | 3.47792302784485 | -0.0254811156775958 | 3.32755808783274 | 0.0879230278448526 |
13 | 3.5 | 3.62544830031592 | -0.060358062138966 | 3.43490976182305 | 0.125448300315921 |
14 | 3.5 | 3.56448823535328 | -0.0935076958881285 | 3.52901946053485 | 0.0644882353532763 |
15 | 3.65 | 3.75781394600071 | -0.0809431052473727 | 3.62312915924666 | 0.107813946000713 |
16 | 3.75 | 3.8844140795675 | -0.0780668719189095 | 3.69365279235141 | 0.134414079567498 |
17 | 3.75 | 3.81815702811661 | -0.0823334535727765 | 3.76417642545616 | 0.0681570281166137 |
18 | 3.9 | 4.02496145663889 | -0.0376549639926831 | 3.81269350735379 | 0.124961456638889 |
19 | 4 | 4.10748006684308 | 0.0313093439054975 | 3.86121058925143 | 0.107480066843076 |
20 | 4 | 4.01182900460178 | 0.0929378990188222 | 3.89523309637939 | 0.011829004601783 |
21 | 4 | 3.94474937421714 | 0.125995022275497 | 3.92925560350736 | -0.0552506257828602 |
22 | 4 | 3.90989454873702 | 0.137545996849254 | 3.95255945441373 | -0.0901054512629842 |
23 | 4 | 3.95357967622616 | 0.0705570184537409 | 3.9758633053201 | -0.0464203237738365 |
24 | 4 | 4.03154733507308 | -0.0254811156775958 | 3.99393378060451 | 0.0315473350730837 |
25 | 4 | 4.04835380625004 | -0.060358062138966 | 4.01200425588893 | 0.0483538062500379 |
26 | 4 | 4.06545537158551 | -0.0935076958881285 | 4.02805232430262 | 0.0654553715855126 |
27 | 4 | 4.03684271253107 | -0.0809431052473727 | 4.0441003927163 | 0.0368427125310689 |
28 | 4 | 4.04627887922363 | -0.0780668719189095 | 4.03178799269528 | 0.0462788792236291 |
29 | 4 | 4.06285786089852 | -0.0823334535727765 | 4.01947559267426 | 0.0628578608985197 |
30 | 4 | 4.09997106665451 | -0.0376549639926831 | 3.93768389733817 | 0.0999710666545095 |
31 | 4.18 | 4.47279845409241 | 0.0313093439054975 | 3.85589220200209 | 0.292798454092413 |
32 | 4.25 | 4.71205748015025 | 0.0929378990188222 | 3.69500462083093 | 0.462057480150251 |
33 | 4.25 | 4.83988793806474 | 0.125995022275497 | 3.53411703965976 | 0.589887938064739 |
34 | 3.97 | 4.49552800346685 | 0.137545996849254 | 3.3069259996839 | 0.525528003466849 |
35 | 3.42 | 3.68970802183823 | 0.0705570184537409 | 3.07973495970803 | 0.26970802183823 |
36 | 2.75 | 2.71681936257673 | -0.0254811156775958 | 2.80866175310087 | -0.0331806374232704 |
37 | 2.31 | 2.14276951564526 | -0.060358062138966 | 2.5375885464937 | -0.167230484354738 |
38 | 2 | 1.83407388886956 | -0.0935076958881285 | 2.25943380701857 | -0.165926111130441 |
39 | 1.66 | 1.41966403770394 | -0.0809431052473727 | 1.98127906754343 | -0.240335962296062 |
40 | 1.31 | 0.950350231525112 | -0.0780668719189095 | 1.7477166403938 | -0.359649768474888 |
41 | 1.09 | 0.748179240328617 | -0.0823334535727765 | 1.51415421324416 | -0.341820759671383 |
42 | 1 | 0.676514961593971 | -0.0376549639926831 | 1.36114000239871 | -0.323485038406029 |
43 | 1 | 0.760564864541239 | 0.0313093439054975 | 1.20812579155326 | -0.239435135458761 |
44 | 1 | 0.776524139643182 | 0.0929378990188222 | 1.130537961338 | -0.223475860356818 |
45 | 1 | 0.821054846601775 | 0.125995022275497 | 1.05295013112273 | -0.178945153398225 |
46 | 1 | 0.834586651492801 | 0.137545996849254 | 1.02786735165794 | -0.165413348507199 |
47 | 1 | 0.926658409353098 | 0.0705570184537409 | 1.00278457219316 | -0.0733415906469016 |
48 | 1 | 1.02205310931506 | -0.0254811156775958 | 1.00342800636254 | 0.0220531093150578 |
49 | 1 | 1.05628662160705 | -0.060358062138966 | 1.00407144053192 | 0.0562866216070508 |
50 | 1 | 1.08604183082363 | -0.0935076958881285 | 1.0074658650645 | 0.0860418308236259 |
51 | 1 | 1.07008281565028 | -0.0809431052473727 | 1.01086028959709 | 0.0700828156502826 |
52 | 1 | 1.06951600947222 | -0.0780668719189095 | 1.00855086244669 | 0.0695160094722163 |
53 | 1 | 1.07609201827648 | -0.0823334535727765 | 1.0062414352963 | 0.0760920182764802 |
54 | 1 | 1.03674999182751 | -0.0376549639926831 | 1.00090497216517 | 0.0367499918275143 |
55 | 1 | 0.973122147060461 | 0.0313093439054975 | 0.995568509034041 | -0.0268778529395389 |
56 | 1 | 0.913060075089353 | 0.0929378990188222 | 0.994002025891825 | -0.0869399249106471 |
57 | 1 | 0.881569434974895 | 0.125995022275497 | 0.992435542749608 | -0.118430565025105 |
58 | 1 | 0.859101289944499 | 0.137545996849254 | 1.00335271320625 | -0.140898710055501 |
59 | 1 | 0.915173097883375 | 0.0705570184537409 | 1.01426988366288 | -0.0848269021166251 |
60 | 1 | 0.983597503689324 | -0.0254811156775958 | 1.04188361198827 | -0.0164024963106764 |
61 | 1 | 0.990860721825306 | -0.060358062138966 | 1.06949734031366 | -0.00913927817469395 |
62 | 1 | 0.983743811664669 | -0.0935076958881285 | 1.10976388422346 | -0.0162561883353314 |
63 | 1 | 0.930912677114113 | -0.0809431052473727 | 1.15003042813326 | -0.069087322885887 |
64 | 1.14 | 1.17125863385805 | -0.0780668719189095 | 1.18680823806086 | 0.0312586338580469 |
65 | 1.25 | 1.35874740558431 | -0.0823334535727765 | 1.22358604798847 | 0.108747405584311 |
66 | 1.25 | 1.29608055498483 | -0.0376549639926831 | 1.24157440900785 | 0.0460805549848311 |
67 | 1.4 | 1.50912788606726 | 0.0313093439054975 | 1.25956277002724 | 0.109127886067264 |
68 | 1.5 | 1.64875502712732 | 0.0929378990188222 | 1.25830707385386 | 0.148755027127316 |
69 | 1.5 | 1.61695360004402 | 0.125995022275497 | 1.25705137768049 | 0.116953600044018 |
70 | 1.5 | 1.6215338772549 | 0.137545996849254 | 1.24092012589585 | 0.121533877254896 |
71 | 1.32 | 1.34465410743505 | 0.0705570184537409 | 1.22478887411121 | 0.0246541074350453 |
72 | 1.11 | 1.05388712629582 | -0.0254811156775958 | 1.19159398938178 | -0.0561128737041794 |
73 | 1 | 0.901958957486629 | -0.060358062138966 | 1.15839910465234 | -0.0980410425133706 |
74 | 1 | 0.990542952497766 | -0.0935076958881285 | 1.10296474339036 | -0.00945704750223353 |
75 | 1 | 1.03341272311899 | -0.0809431052473727 | 1.04753038212839 | 0.0334127231189854 |
76 | 1 | 1.08710765225134 | -0.0780668719189095 | 0.990959219667568 | 0.0871076522513411 |
77 | 1 | 1.14794539636603 | -0.0823334535727765 | 0.93438805720675 | 0.147945396366027 |
78 | 1 | 1.15956233023617 | -0.0376549639926831 | 0.87809263375651 | 0.159562330236173 |
79 | 0.83 | 0.806893445788231 | 0.0313093439054975 | 0.821797210306271 | -0.0231065542117687 |
80 | 0.75 | 0.642725631295205 | 0.0929378990188222 | 0.764336469685973 | -0.107274368704795 |
81 | 0.75 | 0.667129248658828 | 0.125995022275497 | 0.706875729065675 | -0.0828707513411721 |
82 | 0.75 | 0.714481182951371 | 0.137545996849254 | 0.647972820199375 | -0.0355188170486292 |