| Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
| Parameter | Value |
| alpha | 0.0760125846681286 |
| beta | FALSE |
| gamma | FALSE |
| Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
| 2 | 984.8 | 804.7 | 180.1 |
| 3 | 904.7 | 818.38986649873 | 86.31013350127 |
| 4 | 244.7 | 824.950522829213 | -580.250522829213 |
| 5 | 804.6 | 780.844180833931 | 23.7558191660687 |
| 6 | 254.6 | 782.649922049653 | -528.049922049653 |
| 7 | 184.7 | 742.511482640855 | -557.811482640855 |
| 8 | 354.7 | 700.110790087763 | -345.410790087763 |
| 9 | 204.5 | 673.855223160931 | -469.355223160931 |
| 10 | 624.4 | 638.178319520983 | -13.7783195209827 |
| 11 | 964.5 | 637.130993841809 | 327.369006158191 |
| 12 | 324.4 | 662.01515814013 | -337.61515814013 |
| 13 | 24.6 | 636.35215734676 | -611.75215734676 |
| 14 | 414.5 | 589.851294690529 | -175.351294690529 |
| 15 | 884.4 | 576.522389556199 | 307.877610443801 |
| 16 | 84.5 | 599.92496248748 | -515.42496248748 |
| 17 | 504.4 | 560.746178886333 | -56.346178886333 |
| 18 | 194.6 | 556.46316019301 | -361.86316019301 |
| 19 | 804.7 | 528.957006090562 | 275.742993909438 |
| 20 | 824.6 | 549.916943761747 | 274.683056238253 |
| 21 | 144.7 | 570.796312830957 | -426.096312830957 |
| 22 | 764.7 | 538.407630775117 | 226.292369224883 |
| 23 | 864.7 | 555.608698650575 | 309.091301349426 |
| 24 | 5 | 579.10352736458 | -574.10352736458 |
| 25 | 715 | 535.464434382508 | 179.535565617492 |
| 26 | 214.9 | 549.111396764948 | -334.211396764948 |
| 27 | 435.1 | 523.707124671299 | -88.6071246712991 |
| 28 | 295 | 516.971868105023 | -221.971868105023 |
| 29 | 205.4 | 500.099212686747 | -294.699212686747 |
| 30 | 845.6 | 477.698363830765 | 367.901636169235 |
| 31 | 155.8 | 505.663518099622 | -349.863518099622 |
| 32 | 646.1 | 479.069487807785 | 167.030512192215 |
| 33 | 876.1 | 491.765908757956 | 384.334091242044 |
| 34 | 216.5 | 520.980136409341 | -304.480136409341 |
| 35 | 906.8 | 497.835814260762 | 408.964185739238 |
| 36 | 257.3 | 528.922239055498 | -271.622239055498 |
| 37 | 227.8 | 508.275530611546 | -280.475530611546 |
| 38 | 168.3 | 486.955860593597 | -318.655860593597 |
| 39 | 808.7 | 462.734005010231 | 345.965994989769 |
| 40 | 558.9 | 489.031774496684 | 69.8682255033158 |
| 41 | 29.4 | 494.342638903367 | -464.942638903367 |
| 42 | 749.5 | 459.001147197902 | 290.498852802098 |
| 43 | 239.5 | 481.082715842515 | -241.582715842515 |
| 44 | 249.6 | 462.71938920018 | -213.11938920018 |
| 45 | 259.8 | 446.519633584181 | -186.719633584181 |
| 46 | 2710 | 432.326591627162 | 2277.67340837284 |
| 47 | 829.9 | 605.458434427447 | 224.441565572553 |
| 48 | 259.9 | 622.518817933578 | -362.618817933578 |
| 49 | 179.7 | 594.955224333145 | -415.255224333145 |
| 50 | 319.8 | 563.390601434639 | -243.590601434639 |
| 51 | 469.8 | 544.874650218728 | -75.0746502187284 |
| 52 | 789.9 | 539.168032012547 | 250.731967987453 |
| 53 | 309.6 | 558.2268169582 | -248.6268169582 |
| 54 | 689.4 | 539.328049983397 | 150.071950016602 |
| 55 | 269.5 | 550.735406790346 | -281.235406790346 |
| 56 | 279.6 | 529.357976620019 | -249.757976620019 |
| 57 | 379.5 | 510.373227275649 | -130.873227275649 |
| 58 | 469.5 | 500.425215006568 | -30.9252150065677 |
| 59 | 619.8 | 498.074509482501 | 121.725490517499 |
| 60 | 419.4 | 507.327178636732 | -87.9271786367318 |
| 61 | 419.1 | 500.643606525978 | -81.5436065259775 |
| 62 | 959 | 494.445266230777 | 464.554733769223 |
| 63 | 148.9 | 529.75727226439 | -380.85727226439 |
| 64 | 149 | 500.807326609921 | -351.807326609921 |
| 65 | 659 | 474.065542409116 | 184.934457590884 |
| 66 | 729.1 | 488.122888524798 | 240.977111475202 |
| 67 | 739.1 | 506.440181613887 | 232.659818386113 |
| 68 | 659.1 | 524.125255757833 | 134.974744242167 |
| 69 | 619 | 534.3850349326 | 84.6149650674 |
| 70 | 598.9 | 540.816837128976 | 58.0831628710235 |
| 71 | 498.7 | 545.231888464503 | -46.5318884645029 |
| 72 | 398.5 | 541.694879352827 | -143.194879352827 |
| Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
| 73 | 530.810266461978 | -262.867683586215 | 1324.48821651017 |
| 74 | 530.810266461978 | -265.157282158178 | 1326.77781508213 |
| 75 | 530.810266461978 | -267.440313569167 | 1329.06084649312 |
| 76 | 530.810266461978 | -269.716834006043 | 1331.33736693 |
| 77 | 530.810266461978 | -271.986898859011 | 1333.60743178297 |
| 78 | 530.810266461978 | -274.250562737341 | 1335.8710956613 |
| 79 | 530.810266461978 | -276.507879484695 | 1338.12841240865 |
| 80 | 530.810266461978 | -278.758902194074 | 1340.37943511803 |
| 81 | 530.810266461978 | -281.003683222388 | 1342.62421614634 |
| 82 | 530.810266461978 | -283.24227420466 | 1344.86280712862 |
| 83 | 530.810266461978 | -285.474726067891 | 1347.09525899185 |
| 84 | 530.810266461978 | -287.70108904457 | 1349.32162196853 |
