| Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
| Parameter | Value |
| alpha | 0.801771995597131 |
| beta | 0 |
| gamma | 1 |
| Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
| 13 | 1.44 | 1.39851228632479 | 0.0414877136752143 |
| 14 | 1.43 | 1.43104899195894 | -0.00104899195894315 |
| 15 | 1.43 | 1.44698095823067 | -0.0169809582306748 |
| 16 | 1.42 | 1.43597245344427 | -0.0159724534442673 |
| 17 | 1.45 | 1.44993920621969 | 6.0793780306323e-05 |
| 18 | 1.51 | 1.50301096761827 | 0.00698903238173165 |
| 19 | 1.48 | 1.58122093003961 | -0.101220930039615 |
| 20 | 1.48 | 1.54475450828024 | -0.0647545082802403 |
| 21 | 1.45 | 1.56877584226717 | -0.118775842267167 |
| 22 | 1.38 | 1.17323438349858 | 0.206765616501424 |
| 23 | 1.46 | 1.25245294977648 | 0.207547050223521 |
| 24 | 1.45 | 1.47396471439584 | -0.0239647143958412 |
| 25 | 1.41 | 1.4943308561812 | -0.0843308561812 |
| 26 | 1.45 | 1.41755778970667 | 0.0324422102933282 |
| 27 | 1.47 | 1.45718390216289 | 0.012816097837105 |
| 28 | 1.47 | 1.47026575637411 | -0.000265756374111303 |
| 29 | 1.53 | 1.50000393760514 | 0.0299960623948585 |
| 30 | 1.56 | 1.57845032997153 | -0.0184503299715293 |
| 31 | 1.66 | 1.61481347916489 | 0.0451865208351099 |
| 32 | 1.79 | 1.70296111747671 | 0.0870388825232935 |
| 33 | 1.78 | 1.83797760009523 | -0.0579776000952279 |
| 34 | 1.46 | 1.55571390300373 | -0.0957139030037266 |
| 35 | 1.41 | 1.39256776334803 | 0.0174322366519715 |
| 36 | 1.43 | 1.41575867940127 | 0.01424132059873 |
| 37 | 1.43 | 1.45479109028847 | -0.0247910902884674 |
| 38 | 1.45 | 1.44890303266639 | 0.0010969673336092 |
| 39 | 1.35 | 1.45950696201594 | -0.109506962015939 |
| 40 | 1.35 | 1.37192042256705 | -0.0219204225670544 |
| 41 | 1.29 | 1.39029523881475 | -0.100295238814753 |
| 42 | 1.29 | 1.35467428292206 | -0.0646742829220563 |
| 43 | 1.26 | 1.36659096705577 | -0.106590967055769 |
| 44 | 1.3 | 1.34134397615159 | -0.0413439761515919 |
| 45 | 1.3 | 1.34468035001489 | -0.0446803500148933 |
| 46 | 1.16 | 1.06559762363716 | 0.0944023763628379 |
| 47 | 1.24 | 1.07731012615453 | 0.162689873845467 |
| 48 | 1.15 | 1.21633201893468 | -0.0663320189346766 |
| 49 | 1.21 | 1.18302566567505 | 0.0269743343249527 |
| 50 | 1.22 | 1.2237734138485 | -0.00377341384849617 |
| 51 | 1.17 | 1.20854761176427 | -0.0385476117642727 |
| 52 | 1.13 | 1.19521639710045 | -0.065216397100448 |
| 53 | 1.15 | 1.16334163002496 | -0.0133416300249622 |
| 54 | 1.2 | 1.20449871357756 | -0.00449871357756004 |
| 55 | 1.23 | 1.25635342338379 | -0.0263534233837912 |
| 56 | 1.25 | 1.30837242879153 | -0.0583724287915348 |
| 57 | 1.38 | 1.29739450346691 | 0.082605496533086 |
| 58 | 1.28 | 1.14793609558399 | 0.132063904416006 |
| 59 | 1.26 | 1.20338105095744 | 0.0566189490425615 |
| 60 | 1.25 | 1.21195969391315 | 0.0380403060868526 |
| Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
| 61 | 1.28083208017591 | 1.13195681405128 | 1.42970734630053 |
| 62 | 1.29385749772743 | 1.10303922306007 | 1.48467577239479 |
| 63 | 1.27476389333717 | 1.04968749957191 | 1.49984028710244 |
| 64 | 1.28705257418606 | 1.03228375326457 | 1.54182139510754 |
| 65 | 1.31774951951569 | 1.03640467560155 | 1.59909436342983 |
| 66 | 1.37135646207839 | 1.06573792487814 | 1.67697499927864 |
| 67 | 1.42248589893563 | 1.09438460457096 | 1.75058719330029 |
| 68 | 1.48928727765567 | 1.14014800967351 | 1.83842654563783 |
| 69 | 1.55305650385304 | 1.18407683296254 | 1.92203617474355 |
| 70 | 1.34717136366307 | 0.959365011711721 | 1.73497771561442 |
| 71 | 1.28177587590061 | 0.876015434633638 | 1.68753631716757 |
| 72 | 1.24127622377622 | 0.818323147442084 | 1.66422930011036 |
