| Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
| Parameter | Value |
| alpha | 0.79958475419847 |
| beta | 0.193045695066485 |
| gamma | 1 |
| Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
| 13 | 561 | 590.546981204633 | -29.5469812046326 |
| 14 | 549 | 550.566515007488 | -1.56651500748819 |
| 15 | 532 | 528.400944045843 | 3.59905595415728 |
| 16 | 526 | 521.930747664548 | 4.06925233545155 |
| 17 | 511 | 506.663976523528 | 4.33602347647212 |
| 18 | 499 | 494.622945488866 | 4.37705451113408 |
| 19 | 555 | 555.847983051436 | -0.84798305143579 |
| 20 | 565 | 555.639938732896 | 9.36006126710379 |
| 21 | 542 | 554.934355304029 | -12.9343553040294 |
| 22 | 527 | 512.092261972009 | 14.9077380279912 |
| 23 | 510 | 502.942970135328 | 7.05702986467196 |
| 24 | 514 | 501.118049350794 | 12.8819506492059 |
| 25 | 517 | 512.560476018053 | 4.43952398194654 |
| 26 | 508 | 513.205218529442 | -5.20521852944228 |
| 27 | 493 | 496.958756256623 | -3.95875625662285 |
| 28 | 490 | 490.428704291724 | -0.428704291724216 |
| 29 | 469 | 477.392640972135 | -8.39264097213533 |
| 30 | 478 | 458.877941873123 | 19.1220581268767 |
| 31 | 528 | 533.671226221265 | -5.67122622126544 |
| 32 | 534 | 536.522681524719 | -2.52268152471947 |
| 33 | 518 | 525.64089322074 | -7.6408932207396 |
| 34 | 506 | 497.484562199417 | 8.51543780058267 |
| 35 | 502 | 485.425866705134 | 16.5741332948663 |
| 36 | 516 | 496.870499806464 | 19.1295001935357 |
| 37 | 528 | 517.079117434268 | 10.9208825657322 |
| 38 | 533 | 527.347317344497 | 5.65268265550299 |
| 39 | 536 | 527.548414857521 | 8.45158514247873 |
| 40 | 537 | 541.569643617947 | -4.56964361794655 |
| 41 | 524 | 531.537952250634 | -7.53795225063357 |
| 42 | 536 | 527.970391555478 | 8.02960844452218 |
| 43 | 587 | 603.781085025389 | -16.7810850253885 |
| 44 | 597 | 606.280141932036 | -9.28014193203649 |
| 45 | 581 | 593.635888992656 | -12.6358889926557 |
| 46 | 564 | 567.442330632014 | -3.44233063201432 |
| 47 | 558 | 548.327639711354 | 9.67236028864556 |
| 48 | 575 | 556.104097265729 | 18.8959027342714 |
| 49 | 580 | 576.018812364701 | 3.98118763529874 |
| 50 | 575 | 579.735140389586 | -4.73514038958615 |
| 51 | 563 | 570.311248097787 | -7.31124809778737 |
| 52 | 552 | 565.465453061588 | -13.4654530615879 |
| 53 | 537 | 542.492282748867 | -5.4922827488673 |
| 54 | 545 | 539.197334195007 | 5.80266580499278 |
| 55 | 601 | 603.669495171766 | -2.66949517176567 |
| 56 | 604 | 615.998794895717 | -11.9987948957166 |
| 57 | 586 | 596.696682227465 | -10.6966822274646 |
| 58 | 564 | 570.45415763852 | -6.4541576385202 |
| 59 | 549 | 547.873031579436 | 1.12696842056425 |
| 60 | 551 | 545.611300622723 | 5.38869937727691 |
| Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
| 61 | 544.832880915595 | 524.673850505436 | 564.991911325754 |
| 62 | 536.447860528201 | 508.733650055583 | 564.162071000818 |
| 63 | 524.287027815378 | 489.169572977466 | 559.404482653291 |
| 64 | 518.704895800046 | 475.696730652613 | 561.713060947478 |
| 65 | 505.400446278617 | 454.893540770781 | 555.907351786453 |
| 66 | 506.006369919352 | 446.498826629447 | 565.513913209257 |
| 67 | 556.250640125665 | 481.088483826616 | 631.412796424714 |
| 68 | 564.462784803227 | 477.705490131918 | 651.220079474537 |
| 69 | 553.93573126906 | 457.989638400904 | 649.881824137217 |
| 70 | 537.904844737237 | 433.755460445062 | 642.054229029411 |
| 71 | 523.587190581746 | 411.064671417049 | 636.109709746443 |
| 72 | 522.060470777005 | 399.727754475117 | 644.393187078894 |
