Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 15.579 | NA | NA | 1.02272365896648 | NA |
2 | 16.348 | NA | NA | 1.04921072867795 | NA |
3 | 15.928 | NA | NA | 1.03142279622572 | NA |
4 | 16.171 | NA | NA | 0.990391690930254 | NA |
5 | 15.937 | NA | NA | 1.00874040597535 | NA |
6 | 15.713 | NA | NA | 1.00521341831971 | NA |
7 | 15.594 | 16.1391535180581 | 16.4809583333333 | 0.979260622570475 | 0.966221678389261 |
8 | 15.683 | 16.0100861460319 | 16.79825 | 0.953080597445086 | 0.979569994624109 |
9 | 16.438 | 16.6152943313429 | 17.13075 | 0.969910501953676 | 0.989329449854615 |
10 | 17.032 | 17.1202297900956 | 17.4054583333333 | 0.983612695639764 | 0.994846459937902 |
11 | 17.696 | 17.5837658620511 | 17.6103333333333 | 0.998491370334717 | 1.00638282713893 |
12 | 17.745 | 17.9678173954177 | 17.82625 | 1.00794151296081 | 0.987599083933562 |
13 | 19.394 | 18.4981732736699 | 18.0871666666667 | 1.02272365896648 | 1.04842784814894 |
14 | 20.148 | 19.2386776579485 | 18.3363333333333 | 1.04921072867795 | 1.04726532447909 |
15 | 20.108 | 19.1033683924451 | 18.521375 | 1.03142279622572 | 1.0525892390764 |
16 | 18.584 | 18.5355931589643 | 18.7154166666667 | 0.990391690930254 | 1.00261156147638 |
17 | 18.441 | 19.0517858317048 | 18.8867083333333 | 1.00874040597535 | 0.967940756992536 |
18 | 18.391 | 19.1277454143891 | 19.0285416666667 | 1.00521341831971 | 0.96148289312577 |
19 | 19.178 | 18.7702227982752 | 19.16775 | 0.979260622570475 | 1.02172468628141 |
20 | 18.079 | 18.4623228115666 | 19.3712083333333 | 0.953080597445086 | 0.979237563145282 |
21 | 18.483 | 19.0419699942934 | 19.6327083333333 | 0.969910501953676 | 0.970645369441242 |
22 | 19.644 | 19.559302388246 | 19.8851666666667 | 0.983612695639764 | 1.00433029819125 |
23 | 19.195 | 20.1346200866067 | 20.1650416666667 | 0.998491370334717 | 0.953333110703604 |
24 | 19.65 | 20.613831857192 | 20.4514166666667 | 1.00794151296081 | 0.953243440430233 |
25 | 20.83 | 21.1543996834348 | 20.684375 | 1.02272365896648 | 0.984665143502568 |
26 | 23.595 | 21.9467779828937 | 20.9174166666667 | 1.04921072867795 | 1.07510086530201 |
27 | 22.937 | 21.8736840712077 | 21.2072916666667 | 1.03142279622572 | 1.04861165249214 |
28 | 21.814 | 21.2760895004092 | 21.4825 | 0.990391690930254 | 1.02528239503695 |
29 | 21.928 | 22.0132795402474 | 21.8225416666667 | 1.00874040597535 | 0.996125995670408 |
30 | 21.777 | 22.3740821488526 | 22.2580416666667 | 1.00521341831971 | 0.973313669589649 |
31 | 21.383 | 22.1922490438477 | 22.66225 | 0.979260622570475 | 0.963534608761427 |
32 | 21.467 | 21.8577915750394 | 22.9338333333333 | 0.953080597445086 | 0.982121177535354 |
33 | 22.052 | 22.471735180952 | 23.168875 | 0.969910501953676 | 0.981321639046915 |
34 | 22.68 | 23.1665789979179 | 23.5525416666667 | 0.983612695639764 | 0.978996510535216 |
35 | 24.32 | 24.1193495227699 | 24.1557916666667 | 0.998491370334717 | 1.00831906669127 |
36 | 24.977 | 25.1634698588819 | 24.9652083333333 | 1.00794151296081 | 0.992589660331918 |
37 | 25.204 | 26.3607449233468 | 25.7750416666667 | 1.02272365896648 | 0.956118655724242 |
38 | 25.739 | 27.8105107256789 | 26.506125 | 1.04921072867795 | 0.925513387865756 |
39 | 26.434 | 28.1130184212761 | 27.2565416666667 | 1.03142279622572 | 0.940276124174365 |
40 | 27.525 | 27.7225077503537 | 27.9914583333333 | 0.990391690930254 | 0.992875545310246 |
41 | 30.695 | 28.9213439946179 | 28.67075 | 1.00874040597535 | 1.06132688735738 |
42 | 32.436 | 29.5236207027591 | 29.3705 | 1.00521341831971 | 1.09864573612303 |
43 | 30.16 | 29.4343709780677 | 30.05775 | 0.979260622570475 | 1.02465243855467 |
44 | 30.236 | 29.2077505840781 | 30.645625 | 0.953080597445086 | 1.03520467668203 |
45 | 31.293 | 30.239546326411 | 31.1776666666667 | 0.969910501953676 | 1.03483695364401 |
46 | 31.077 | 31.1405222021578 | 31.6593333333333 | 0.983612695639764 | 0.997960143322406 |
47 | 32.226 | 31.9671172593369 | 32.0154166666667 | 0.998491370334717 | 1.00809840745297 |
48 | 33.865 | 32.4781434160015 | 32.22225 | 1.00794151296081 | 1.04270122729107 |
49 | 32.81 | 33.2447830988218 | 32.506125 | 1.02272365896648 | 0.986921764611026 |
50 | 32.242 | 34.7340337386562 | 33.1049166666667 | 1.04921072867795 | 0.928253834339927 |
51 | 32.7 | 34.9861191036753 | 33.92025 | 1.03142279622572 | 0.93465639624387 |
52 | 32.819 | 34.3523547947227 | 34.685625 | 0.990391690930254 | 0.955363910163206 |
53 | 33.947 | 35.7058797801066 | 35.3965 | 1.00874040597535 | 0.950739771966448 |
54 | 34.148 | 36.2239545103541 | 36.0360833333333 | 1.00521341831971 | 0.942691113148326 |
55 | 35.261 | NA | NA | 0.979260622570475 | NA |
56 | 39.506 | NA | NA | 0.953080597445086 | NA |
57 | 41.591 | NA | NA | 0.969910501953676 | NA |
58 | 39.148 | NA | NA | 0.983612695639764 | NA |
59 | 41.216 | NA | NA | 0.998491370334717 | NA |
60 | 40.225 | NA | NA | 1.00794151296081 | NA |