Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha0.111979586853965
beta0
gamma0.324308302608781


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
132.672.644004273504270.0259957264957262
142.4492.424488982165950.0245110178340484
152.622.608599100431760.0114008995682364
162.2052.201491153070560.00350884692943687
172.5892.587874456915440.00112554308456048
182.7062.72132421271375-0.0153242127137529
192.3522.286931931653920.0650680683460774
202.4782.55450027834675-0.076500278346753
212.3162.45717419339866-0.141174193398656
222.2952.227147616829480.0678523831705169
232.112.14690274994603-0.0369027499460262
241.9442.23888577986868-0.29488577986868
252.2022.62796654816314-0.425966548163141
262.0362.35741312323475-0.32141312323475
272.4342.49901118477069-0.065011184770694
282.2972.081073792650470.215926207349529
292.3542.49055713137858-0.136557131378579
302.652.603851833639090.0461481663609118
312.5552.199495569581610.355504430418386
322.4772.458816253188050.0181837468119537
332.2682.35346725070687-0.0854672507068654
342.512.189876778524660.320123221475341
352.0152.1077124144383-0.0927124144382998
361.9942.11914875108154-0.125148751081543
372.2712.48948633761313-0.218486337613135
382.2892.272277051970320.0167229480296811
392.3332.52558125886148-0.192581258861478
402.7952.174266454352810.620733545647186
412.3322.52756743141206-0.195567431412065
422.7992.68687192054060.112128079459403
432.2942.37899631062758-0.0849963106275835
442.4152.49184411240668-0.0768441124066848
452.4732.346003230711840.126996769288155
462.2362.32301136231877-0.0870113623187723
471.972.07636271309668-0.106362713096683
482.3182.076929076729920.241070923270076
492.1082.46139527620332-0.353395276203321
502.0642.29681742835163-0.232817428351632
512.5192.461900187612020.0570998123879756
522.2982.37277304301364-0.0747730430136393
532.1872.41310300793557-0.226103007935567
542.7462.657602102271680.0883978977283224
552.3642.290298871618390.0737011283816122
562.5122.42326531812530.0887346818746972
572.2242.35467050468976-0.130670504689762
582.2092.24119244749588-0.0321924474958797
592.1861.995109355891660.190890644108344
602.3032.129020271956230.173979728043771
612.3812.334771883840360.0462281161596394
622.4322.24966920129250.182330798707501
632.9132.544734047396810.368265952603195
642.3922.45247277944104-0.0604727794410396
652.5322.450822203259030.0811777967409695
662.7092.82030434353269-0.111304343532691
672.3872.42640598063757-0.0394059806375746
682.6092.551036288850080.0579637111499225
692.3992.41580873013904-0.0168087301390392
702.1842.3434417987542-0.159441798754195
711.8392.14735561072842-0.308355610728421
722.0562.22049092225493-0.164490922254935
732.1512.351549238157-0.200549238156998
742.1552.27800906665074-0.12300906665074
752.4632.59242999067113-0.129429990671134
762.1552.32096344325143-0.165963443251429
772.6792.348294354504960.33070564549504
782.3672.69028512802864-0.323285128028637
792.0522.29335542603824-0.241355426038238
802.5472.423413249320220.123586750679782
812.4662.274000237176340.191999762823656


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
822.183938355832291.811912651497542.55596406016704
831.962820349516511.588469416987922.33717128204509
842.111917130819371.735255324042692.48857893759605
852.25101055155731.872051961888812.62996914122578
862.222258780419321.841017244535862.60350031630279
872.548605031629492.165094139108782.93211592415021
882.281110644663281.895343745252132.66687754407443
892.47006299305732.0820532036442.85807278247059
902.586677117246612.196437328552792.97691690594043
912.249543881252181.857086764258412.64200099824594
922.511729156158852.117067168277692.90639114404001
932.368179377803941.971324768812732.76503398679515