Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha0.312724386625416
beta0.0542931337928069
gamma0.338534322419725


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
13100.84100.499165257990.340834742009534
14102.68102.4278381904860.252161809513609
15101.27101.0931317480150.176868251985127
16100.28100.149654071510.130345928489618
17100.82100.7212754113130.0987245886874604
18100.87100.7893055318730.0806944681267083
19101.23100.8676864659910.362313534008564
20101.09101.0859037374320.00409626256788442
21101.22101.1290448838350.0909551161647926
22101.33101.2652554760720.0647445239283826
23101.3101.346654176889-0.0466541768887225
24102.39102.3093376079060.0806623920944816
25101.69102.244954970182-0.554954970182038
26103.75103.909251470311-0.159251470310735
27102.99102.4149053823230.575094617677351
28100.8101.582209326248-0.782209326248037
29102.21101.8627310777660.347268922234306
30102.45102.0046211122610.445378887739452
31102.49102.2700305812380.219969418761963
32102.4102.3642080776620.0357919223379497
33102.99102.4423251396290.547674860370961
34103.19102.728360747190.461639252810429
35103.35102.9267345274670.423265472532506
36104.44104.1095476012790.330452398721349
37103.42104.001151028744-0.581151028744159
38105.81105.815366826904-0.00536682690410828
39104.25104.548013638874-0.298013638874437
40103.78103.1213574530960.658642546904105
41104.53104.1742815978950.3557184021046
42105.01104.3848747137330.62512528626678
43104.83104.7006176341990.129382365801092
44104.55104.766441608197-0.216441608196789
45105.16104.9277657627650.232234237235048
46105.06105.130554262132-0.0705542621321911
47105.2105.1787870798960.0212129201044036
48105.87106.252138235754-0.382138235753715
49105.41105.706812186666-0.296812186666074
50107.89107.7943755326210.0956244673789115
51106.06106.477405525427-0.417405525427426
52105.5105.2250919844790.274908015521376
53106.71106.1048856648310.605114335168594
54106.34106.466592273033-0.12659227303331
55106.11106.427068428748-0.31706842874766
56106.15106.259668689902-0.109668689902136
57106.61106.5532830553980.0567169446017459
58106.63106.618180601550.0118193984496031
59106.27106.702850619722-0.432850619722217
60105.59107.533339337999-1.94333933799889
61107.09106.4710485732320.618951426768078
62108.53108.929904058402-0.399904058402413
63108.01107.2873599632290.722640036770898
64106.52106.522275375096-0.00227537509630338
65107.27107.3777552369-0.107755236899706
66107.58107.3107833507370.269216649262802
67107.36107.321393459960.0386065400399644
68107.23107.290431820381-0.0604318203814813
69107.54107.619836502148-0.0798365021475433
70107.64107.6076958721810.0323041278188327
71108.23107.5711429748550.658857025144584
72108.42108.39090019020.0290998097998028


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
73108.571422142245108.115487526665109.027356757826
74110.650324455271110.114979691957111.185669218586
75109.395005775587108.78934770543110.000663845745
76108.228146246091107.554933194476108.901359297707
77109.084548936368108.337273931748109.831823940989
78109.153064062258108.335688574532109.970439549984
79109.032466391367108.146337918312109.918594864422
80108.973316724881108.018153190804109.928480258957
81109.331602336911108.304160643382110.35904403044
82109.381488069186108.283736313577110.479239824794
83109.4917049052108.322675830906110.660733979494
84109.96427935254106.262994328608113.665564376472