Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
Parameter | Value |
alpha | 1 |
beta | 0.0475528658390805 |
gamma | FALSE |
Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
3 | 9.39 | 9.34 | 0.0500000000000025 |
4 | 9.42 | 9.44237764329195 | -0.0223776432919536 |
5 | 9.42 | 9.4713135222227 | -0.0513135222226957 |
6 | 9.43 | 9.46887341718471 | -0.0388734171847105 |
7 | 9.5 | 9.47702487479262 | 0.0229751252073811 |
8 | 9.53 | 9.54811740783924 | -0.0181174078392417 |
9 | 9.58 | 9.57725587317491 | 0.00274412682509073 |
10 | 9.58 | 9.62738636426967 | -0.0473863642696681 |
11 | 9.6 | 9.62513300684695 | -0.0251330068469517 |
12 | 9.61 | 9.64393786034423 | -0.033937860344226 |
13 | 9.65 | 9.65232401782441 | -0.00232401782441016 |
14 | 9.71 | 9.6922135041166 | 0.0177864958834011 |
15 | 9.78 | 9.75305930296909 | 0.0269406970309092 |
16 | 9.79 | 9.82434041032061 | -0.0343404103206115 |
17 | 9.84 | 9.83270742539578 | 0.00729257460422339 |
18 | 9.87 | 9.88305420821755 | -0.0130542082175538 |
19 | 9.9 | 9.91243344320555 | -0.0124334432055466 |
20 | 9.95 | 9.94184219734888 | 0.00815780265112132 |
21 | 9.96 | 9.99223012424389 | -0.0322301242438865 |
22 | 9.98 | 10.0006974894697 | -0.0206974894697414 |
23 | 10.01 | 10.0197132645298 | -0.00971326452978083 |
24 | 10 | 10.0492513709647 | -0.0492513709647362 |
25 | 10.03 | 10.0369093271289 | -0.00690932712886116 |
26 | 10.05 | 10.0665807688229 | -0.0165807688228607 |
27 | 10.06 | 10.0857923057475 | -0.0257923057475207 |
28 | 10.09 | 10.0945658076926 | -0.00456580769262871 |
29 | 10.24 | 10.124348690452 | 0.115651309548026 |
30 | 10.23 | 10.279848241659 | -0.0498482416590242 |
31 | 10.27 | 10.2674778149111 | 0.00252218508889968 |
32 | 10.28 | 10.3075977520403 | -0.0275977520402524 |
33 | 10.29 | 10.31628539984 | -0.0262853998400221 |
34 | 10.44 | 10.3250354537479 | 0.114964546252097 |
35 | 10.51 | 10.4805023473921 | 0.0294976526079207 |
36 | 10.52 | 10.5519050453091 | -0.031905045309113 |
37 | 10.57 | 10.5603878689699 | 0.00961213103006209 |
38 | 10.62 | 10.6108449533472 | 0.00915504665275968 |
39 | 10.71 | 10.6612803020525 | 0.0487196979475346 |
40 | 10.73 | 10.7535970633127 | -0.0235970633126872 |
41 | 10.74 | 10.7724749553268 | -0.0324749553267836 |
42 | 10.75 | 10.780930678133 | -0.0309306781329983 |
43 | 10.79 | 10.7894598357454 | 0.000540164254571707 |
44 | 10.81 | 10.8294855221038 | -0.0194855221037553 |
45 | 10.87 | 10.8485589296854 | 0.0214410703146459 |
46 | 10.92 | 10.9095785140255 | 0.0104214859745291 |
47 | 10.95 | 10.9600740855499 | -0.0100740855498618 |
48 | 10.94 | 10.9895950339113 | -0.0495950339112579 |
49 | 10.97 | 10.9772366479174 | -0.00723664791738976 |
50 | 10.99 | 11.0068925245699 | -0.016892524569851 |
51 | 11.04 | 11.0260892366153 | 0.0139107633847022 |
52 | 11.09 | 11.0767507332802 | 0.0132492667197521 |
53 | 11.12 | 11.127380773883 | -0.0073807738830407 |
54 | 11.11 | 11.1570297969328 | -0.0470297969327902 |
55 | 11.14 | 11.1447933953088 | -0.00479339530880551 |
56 | 11.2 | 11.1745654556248 | 0.0254345443752246 |
57 | 11.25 | 11.2357749411011 | 0.0142250588988748 |
58 | 11.3 | 11.2864513834185 | 0.0135486165815024 |
59 | 11.31 | 11.3370956589651 | -0.0270956589651039 |
60 | 11.31 | 11.3458071827295 | -0.0358071827295134 |
Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
61 | 11.3441044485731 | 11.2779819138319 | 11.4102269833143 |
62 | 11.3782088971462 | 11.2824483300246 | 11.4739694642678 |
63 | 11.4123133457193 | 11.2922572617791 | 11.5323694296596 |
64 | 11.4464177942924 | 11.3045654264096 | 11.5882701621752 |
65 | 11.4805222428655 | 11.3183009353543 | 11.6427435503767 |
66 | 11.5146266914386 | 11.3329285578554 | 11.6963248250219 |
67 | 11.5487311400117 | 11.3481389040417 | 11.7493233759817 |
68 | 11.5828355885848 | 11.3637360080089 | 11.8019351691608 |
69 | 11.6169400371579 | 11.3795877074337 | 11.8542923668821 |
70 | 11.651044485731 | 11.3956007047756 | 11.9064882666865 |
71 | 11.6851489343041 | 11.4117068196528 | 11.9585910489554 |
72 | 11.7192533828772 | 11.4278548647264 | 12.010651901028 |