Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha0.651118695995578
beta0.0987662409783271
gamma1


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
1315.8416.0296741452991-0.189674145299144
1415.7915.844969684387-0.0549696843870127
1515.7915.7906887959299-0.000688795929887576
1615.7515.72670691331770.0232930866823153
1715.6315.595671360710.0343286392900222
1815.6315.59652888760590.0334711123941336
1915.6315.6464805412797-0.0164805412797406
2015.6215.57493123303640.0450687669635688
2115.5915.54635613699090.0436438630090841
2215.5515.43674326604740.113256733952602
2315.6115.56224001274620.0477599872537908
2415.5815.6423286451481-0.0623286451481064
2515.5815.54013781641620.039862183583768
2615.6415.56771845702510.0722815429748938
2715.5615.6392479887488-0.0792479887487723
2815.5715.55144672976990.0185532702300737
2915.4615.43983543367610.0201645663239223
3015.515.44892076344960.0510792365504216
3115.515.5117920214539-0.0117920214539264
3215.5815.48395223450110.0960477654988825
3315.6915.51053511588430.179464884115687
3415.7815.54484065340.235159346600016
3515.815.76589543278220.0341045672177689
3615.7915.8368422929549-0.0468422929548904
3715.7915.8195406847333-0.0295406847333037
3815.7915.8479324285317-0.0579324285317497
3915.7515.8081276170509-0.0581276170509106
4015.7115.7958737068586-0.0858737068585622
4115.7615.63778910677690.122210893223123
4215.7615.75162561130310.00837438869685592
4315.7615.7895314042989-0.0295314042988917
4415.7615.8113987314131-0.0513987314131139
4515.7815.7852313176801-0.00523131768008689
4615.8415.72098312019190.119016879808102
4715.8215.79107681963490.0289231803651422
4815.8615.82488163356470.0351183664352774
4915.8615.8667256192235-0.00672561922354475
5015.8715.9012778023946-0.0312778023946301
5115.8415.8816848112215-0.0416848112215469
5215.8415.874439032782-0.0344390327820108
5315.8915.82973103179520.0602689682048485
5415.8915.86682686215860.0231731378414395
5515.8915.9054017603756-0.0154017603755552
5615.9115.9340067035396-0.0240067035395501
5715.9515.94870988258960.00129011741036855
5816.0815.93940335438990.140596645610129
5916.0816.00085136663640.0791486333635874
6016.0916.08148555365830.00851444634173504


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
6116.101663042891115.957631081530616.2456950042517
6216.142715517208515.965618504322716.3198125300944
6316.152555619537615.942850621689716.3622606173856
6416.190358549659115.947963632971916.4327534663463
6516.218710053802715.943260842862316.4941592647431
6616.217339536923115.908310913762516.5263681600837
6716.239595626667115.896366622495316.582824630839
6816.288445020599315.910336262146216.6665537790524
6916.342367017661515.928663586482416.7560704488406
7016.395500964163715.945466938949416.845534989378
7116.349603294414915.862491289679816.8367152991499
7216.354606930880215.829664495766616.8795493659939