Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 100.17 | NA | NA | 0.998575110192315 | NA |
2 | 102.01 | NA | NA | 1.01706720849642 | NA |
3 | 100.3 | NA | NA | 1.00417205770226 | NA |
4 | 99.94 | NA | NA | 0.99198650168014 | NA |
5 | 100.16 | NA | NA | 0.999676871368877 | NA |
6 | 100.18 | NA | NA | 0.999804863620916 | NA |
7 | 99.98 | 100.16989800986 | 100.367916666667 | 0.998027072162269 | 0.998104240758624 |
8 | 100.04 | 100.038042055457 | 100.42375 | 0.996159195961683 | 1.00001957199984 |
9 | 100.05 | 100.33769266076 | 100.492083333333 | 0.998463653379925 | 0.99713275586541 |
10 | 100.11 | 100.334525060051 | 100.546666666667 | 0.997890117955684 | 0.997762235283254 |
11 | 100.11 | 100.249906428898 | 100.588333333333 | 0.996635525281909 | 0.998604423346793 |
12 | 101.03 | 100.799759385984 | 100.644583333333 | 1.00154182219759 | 1.00228413852789 |
13 | 100.84 | 100.581894047084 | 100.725416666667 | 0.998575110192315 | 1.00256612738666 |
14 | 102.68 | 102.54198729462 | 100.82125 | 1.01706720849642 | 1.00134591408867 |
15 | 101.27 | 101.334767987952 | 100.91375 | 1.00417205770226 | 0.999360851273084 |
16 | 100.28 | 100.203863156383 | 101.013333333333 | 0.99198650168014 | 1.00075981944427 |
17 | 100.82 | 101.081077252375 | 101.11375 | 0.999676871368877 | 0.997417150079209 |
18 | 100.87 | 101.200248295709 | 101.22 | 0.999804863620916 | 0.996736684926463 |
19 | 101.23 | 101.112201903826 | 101.312083333333 | 0.998027072162269 | 1.00116502354766 |
20 | 101.09 | 101.002656210213 | 101.392083333333 | 0.996159195961683 | 1.00086476725528 |
21 | 101.22 | 101.352381348507 | 101.508333333333 | 0.998463653379925 | 0.998693850635319 |
22 | 101.33 | 101.387299134494 | 101.601666666667 | 0.997890117955684 | 0.999434848990128 |
23 | 101.3 | 101.339146005071 | 101.68125 | 0.996635525281909 | 0.999613712897589 |
24 | 102.39 | 101.961965208826 | 101.805 | 1.00154182219759 | 1.00419798490837 |
25 | 101.69 | 101.778103814501 | 101.923333333333 | 0.998575110192315 | 0.999134353940589 |
26 | 103.75 | 103.771791060894 | 102.030416666667 | 1.01706720849642 | 0.999790009783285 |
27 | 102.99 | 102.584962199791 | 102.15875 | 1.00417205770226 | 1.00394831553791 |
28 | 100.8 | 101.490138986895 | 102.31 | 0.99198650168014 | 0.993199940469248 |
29 | 102.21 | 102.439804733377 | 102.472916666667 | 0.999676871368877 | 0.997756685167693 |
30 | 102.45 | 102.623720470289 | 102.64375 | 0.999804863620916 | 0.998307209390838 |
31 | 102.49 | 102.598430552121 | 102.80125 | 0.998027072162269 | 0.998943155840319 |
32 | 102.4 | 102.563720683552 | 102.959166666667 | 0.996159195961683 | 0.998403717391877 |
33 | 102.99 | 102.939106504337 | 103.0975 | 0.998463653379925 | 1.00049440389946 |
34 | 103.19 | 103.056270356775 | 103.274166666667 | 0.997890117955684 | 1.00129763713321 |
35 | 103.35 | 103.146793689051 | 103.495 | 0.996635525281909 | 1.0019700690994 |
36 | 104.44 | 103.85821772552 | 103.698333333333 | 1.00154182219759 | 1.00560169707531 |
37 | 103.42 | 103.754450386757 | 103.9025 | 0.998575110192315 | 0.996776520086509 |
38 | 105.81 | 105.866101954389 | 104.089583333333 | 1.01706720849642 | 0.999470066873592 |
39 | 104.25 | 104.704602051591 | 104.269583333333 | 1.00417205770226 | 0.995658241923626 |
40 | 103.78 | 103.601003596929 | 104.437916666667 | 0.99198650168014 | 1.00172774777132 |
41 | 104.53 | 104.559119700679 | 104.592916666667 | 0.999676871368877 | 0.999721500135403 |
42 | 105.01 | 104.709146781659 | 104.729583333333 | 0.999804863620916 | 1.00287322767483 |
43 | 104.83 | 104.665178280724 | 104.872083333333 | 0.998027072162269 | 1.00157475219537 |
44 | 104.55 | 104.638222209142 | 105.041666666667 | 0.996159195961683 | 0.999156883524211 |
45 | 105.16 | 105.042120574268 | 105.20375 | 0.998463653379925 | 1.00112221102437 |
46 | 105.06 | 105.12855550173 | 105.350833333333 | 0.997890117955684 | 0.999347888864235 |
47 | 105.2 | 105.158336390912 | 105.513333333333 | 0.996635525281909 | 1.00039619882282 |
48 | 105.87 | 105.822491624305 | 105.659583333333 | 1.00154182219759 | 1.00044894402849 |
49 | 105.41 | 105.617625113191 | 105.768333333333 | 0.998575110192315 | 0.99803418119875 |
50 | 107.89 | 107.695551595672 | 105.888333333333 | 1.01706720849642 | 1.00180553793956 |
51 | 106.06 | 106.45771910233 | 106.015416666667 | 1.00417205770226 | 0.996264065154851 |
52 | 105.5 | 105.290687271457 | 106.14125 | 0.99198650168014 | 1.00198795101416 |
53 | 106.71 | 106.216917179032 | 106.25125 | 0.999676871368877 | 1.00464222493048 |
54 | 106.34 | 106.263426759229 | 106.284166666667 | 0.999804863620916 | 1.00072059826326 |
55 | 106.11 | 106.132693921416 | 106.3425 | 0.998027072162269 | 0.999786174075324 |
56 | 106.15 | 106.030354685498 | 106.439166666667 | 0.996159195961683 | 1.00112840624609 |
57 | 106.61 | 106.383390081975 | 106.547083333333 | 0.998463653379925 | 1.00213012499273 |
58 | 106.63 | 106.445770457431 | 106.670833333333 | 0.997890117955684 | 1.00173073614646 |
59 | 106.27 | 106.377553850173 | 106.736666666667 | 0.996635525281909 | 0.998988942250686 |
60 | 105.59 | 106.976351265295 | 106.811666666667 | 1.00154182219759 | 0.98704058187723 |
61 | 107.09 | 106.763073979174 | 106.915416666667 | 0.998575110192315 | 1.00306216380478 |
62 | 108.53 | 108.838904649224 | 107.0125 | 1.01706720849642 | 0.997161817732186 |
63 | 108.01 | 107.543061734696 | 107.09625 | 1.00417205770226 | 1.00434187252782 |
64 | 106.52 | 106.318219956114 | 107.177083333333 | 0.99198650168014 | 1.0018978877183 |
65 | 107.27 | 107.26616136194 | 107.300833333333 | 0.999676871368877 | 1.0000357861045 |
66 | 107.58 | 107.479439424608 | 107.500416666667 | 0.999804863620916 | 1.0009356261619 |
67 | 107.36 | NA | NA | 0.998027072162269 | NA |
68 | 107.23 | NA | NA | 0.996159195961683 | NA |
69 | 107.54 | NA | NA | 0.998463653379925 | NA |
70 | 107.64 | NA | NA | 0.997890117955684 | NA |
71 | 108.23 | NA | NA | 0.996635525281909 | NA |
72 | 108.42 | NA | NA | 1.00154182219759 | NA |