| Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
| Parameter | Value |
| alpha | 0.374221376292511 |
| beta | 0.0593536059183779 |
| gamma | 0.591507822483036 |
| Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
| 13 | 230.3 | 218.064728416994 | 12.2352715830065 |
| 14 | 252.8 | 244.022889640941 | 8.77711035905915 |
| 15 | 270.6 | 265.838850893126 | 4.7611491068742 |
| 16 | 196.9 | 194.698904750861 | 2.2010952491388 |
| 17 | 184.7 | 182.794152648562 | 1.9058473514375 |
| 18 | 202.5 | 201.601478842969 | 0.89852115703107 |
| 19 | 258.2 | 247.201065129127 | 10.9989348708727 |
| 20 | 283.1 | 289.756798138329 | -6.65679813832946 |
| 21 | 268.5 | 295.539614943488 | -27.0396149434878 |
| 22 | 283.8 | 250.051650606616 | 33.7483493933837 |
| 23 | 231.1 | 234.665285384658 | -3.56528538465849 |
| 24 | 212.1 | 214.252407369546 | -2.1524073695459 |
| 25 | 238.5 | 275.3881699606 | -36.8881699605996 |
| 26 | 262.8 | 284.013510175194 | -21.2135101751941 |
| 27 | 245.5 | 293.569820210487 | -48.0698202104872 |
| 28 | 198.2 | 198.440729926364 | -0.240729926364224 |
| 29 | 167.2 | 183.909797185226 | -16.7097971852262 |
| 30 | 184.2 | 192.825632574492 | -8.6256325744917 |
| 31 | 254.9 | 232.937999663332 | 21.9620003366675 |
| 32 | 246.4 | 268.712397515681 | -22.3123975156807 |
| 33 | 264.5 | 257.937736649966 | 6.56226335003424 |
| 34 | 242.4 | 245.60280637579 | -3.20280637578955 |
| 35 | 186.7 | 205.01831402146 | -18.3183140214602 |
| 36 | 254.7 | 180.072330973078 | 74.6276690269218 |
| 37 | 230.1 | 254.253435961407 | -24.153435961407 |
| 38 | 253.6 | 271.971737231726 | -18.3717372317261 |
| 39 | 228 | 270.50473809149 | -42.5047380914896 |
| 40 | 183.8 | 195.234486040439 | -11.4344860404392 |
| 41 | 150 | 170.173627955861 | -20.1736279558606 |
| 42 | 178.5 | 178.817927181645 | -0.317927181645388 |
| 43 | 228.4 | 229.790309637455 | -1.39030963745492 |
| 44 | 228.7 | 237.713300086193 | -9.01330008619266 |
| 45 | 236.7 | 240.610991193787 | -3.91099119378708 |
| 46 | 218.2 | 220.911012208803 | -2.71101220880283 |
| 47 | 173.5 | 177.81735901251 | -4.31735901250988 |
| 48 | 189.1 | 186.803904348658 | 2.29609565134194 |
| 49 | 194.6 | 192.601185400166 | 1.99881459983433 |
| 50 | 213.7 | 214.519228318078 | -0.819228318077904 |
| 51 | 216.3 | 208.480022552596 | 7.81997744740357 |
| 52 | 173.9 | 168.079894485696 | 5.82010551430412 |
| 53 | 156.9 | 147.57972969206 | 9.32027030794038 |
| 54 | 182.9 | 174.174217209399 | 8.72578279060079 |
| 55 | 216.4 | 228.3162990006 | -11.9162990006002 |
| 56 | 234 | 229.582032460944 | 4.41796753905609 |
| 57 | 257.3 | 239.998334220041 | 17.3016657799592 |
| 58 | 225.7 | 229.051139396847 | -3.35113939684743 |
| 59 | 201.7 | 184.199658304767 | 17.5003416952328 |
| 60 | 189.2 | 206.471506498399 | -17.2715064983994 |
| Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
| 61 | 206.160133267262 | 177.53581723912 | 234.784449295404 |
| 62 | 228.632125912916 | 195.389665619629 | 261.874586206203 |
| 63 | 226.991512411677 | 190.082427993912 | 263.900596829442 |
| 64 | 181.015818283869 | 144.26359319998 | 217.768043367758 |
| 65 | 158.997467964379 | 120.88208295545 | 197.112852973308 |
| 66 | 182.816779292047 | 137.511555033183 | 228.122003550911 |
| 67 | 226.633556276193 | 169.460238241737 | 283.806874310649 |
| 68 | 239.227970949675 | 175.324152621506 | 303.131789277843 |
| 69 | 253.322876401912 | 181.921409754233 | 324.724343049592 |
| 70 | 228.172444807787 | 158.836876872989 | 297.508012742586 |
| 71 | 191.848083621458 | 128.123999657699 | 255.572167585217 |
| 72 | 194.061071273802 | -442.430784186659 | 830.552926734263 |
