Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
Parameter | Value |
alpha | 0.969392656236537 |
beta | 0.0599857981385038 |
gamma | FALSE |
Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
3 | 67.14 | 67.4 | -0.260000000000005 |
4 | 67.22 | 67.2228389634081 | -0.00283896340808099 |
5 | 67.17 | 67.2948028620263 | -0.124802862026314 |
6 | 67.27 | 67.241278592506 | 0.0287214074939754 |
7 | 67.27 | 67.3382497662901 | -0.0682497662900658 |
8 | 67.27 | 67.3372490866142 | -0.0672490866141544 |
9 | 67.48 | 67.3333079380555 | 0.14669206194452 |
10 | 67.38 | 67.545289880695 | -0.165289880694985 |
11 | 67.22 | 67.4452272470471 | -0.225227247047144 |
12 | 67.2 | 67.2739648530112 | -0.0739648530111623 |
13 | 67.2 | 67.2450340720862 | -0.0450340720861675 |
14 | 67.19 | 67.2415298557956 | -0.051529855795593 |
15 | 67.32 | 67.2287322240743 | 0.0912677759257008 |
16 | 67.61 | 67.3596687700757 | 0.250331229924313 |
17 | 67.85 | 67.6593569692587 | 0.190643030741299 |
18 | 67.74 | 67.9122697191105 | -0.172269719110545 |
19 | 67.74 | 67.8033600660338 | -0.0633600660338232 |
20 | 67.61 | 67.7963422561697 | -0.186342256169667 |
21 | 67.85 | 67.6592706508667 | 0.190729349133264 |
22 | 67.89 | 67.8988203626372 | -0.00882036263716657 |
23 | 67.97 | 67.9444151470088 | 0.0255848529912015 |
24 | 67.94 | 68.0248498486316 | -0.0848498486315634 |
25 | 67.94 | 67.9932959604419 | -0.053295960441929 |
26 | 68.07 | 67.9892310307146 | 0.0807689692854296 |
27 | 67.85 | 68.1198243581034 | -0.269824358103435 |
28 | 67.84 | 67.8948648582434 | -0.0548648582434055 |
29 | 67.89 | 67.8750951388304 | 0.0149048611696116 |
30 | 67.86 | 67.9238263876237 | -0.0638263876237204 |
31 | 67.86 | 67.8925246508436 | -0.0325246508436408 |
32 | 67.89 | 67.8896752861379 | 0.000324713862113413 |
33 | 67.7 | 67.9186887363835 | -0.218688736383527 |
34 | 68.05 | 67.7226754517682 | 0.327324548231829 |
35 | 68.18 | 68.0749972899262 | 0.105002710073833 |
36 | 68.19 | 68.2179078566234 | -0.0279078566234148 |
37 | 68.19 | 68.2303530599649 | -0.0403530599648718 |
38 | 68.27 | 68.2283874525304 | 0.0416125474695832 |
39 | 68.22 | 68.3082984639949 | -0.0882984639949029 |
40 | 68.14 | 68.2571401576491 | -0.117140157649104 |
41 | 68.36 | 68.1712112494566 | 0.188788750543367 |
42 | 68.34 | 68.3928256048091 | -0.0528256048090583 |
43 | 68.34 | 68.3771489804994 | -0.037148980499353 |
44 | 68.24 | 68.3745089551738 | -0.134508955173814 |
45 | 68.14 | 68.2696672175959 | -0.129667217595866 |
46 | 68.23 | 68.1619789031118 | 0.0680210968881596 |
47 | 68.09 | 68.2498836015613 | -0.159883601561262 |
48 | 68.03 | 68.107561960806 | -0.0775619608060225 |
49 | 68.03 | 68.0405321021452 | -0.0105321021452198 |
50 | 67.89 | 68.0378680566676 | -0.147868056667647 |
51 | 67.63 | 67.8934730486715 | -0.263473048671457 |
52 | 67.61 | 67.6216905073735 | -0.0116905073735296 |
53 | 67.41 | 67.593304312004 | -0.183304312003997 |
54 | 67.29 | 67.3878978470656 | -0.0978978470655676 |
55 | 67.29 | 67.2595910425705 | 0.0304089574295148 |
56 | 67.49 | 67.2574321866535 | 0.23256781334652 |
57 | 67.68 | 67.4647684110727 | 0.21523158892731 |
58 | 68.05 | 67.6678146990228 | 0.382185300977241 |
59 | 67.7 | 68.0549286851969 | -0.354928685196867 |
60 | 67.86 | 67.7068507570767 | 0.153149242923305 |
Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
61 | 67.8602054379227 | 67.562996761926 | 68.1574141139195 |
62 | 67.8650983673707 | 67.4389542410173 | 68.2912424937241 |
63 | 67.8699912968187 | 67.3354640648311 | 68.4045185288063 |
64 | 67.8748842262667 | 67.2414080932371 | 68.5083603592964 |
65 | 67.8797771557147 | 67.1525123190361 | 68.6070419923933 |
66 | 67.8846700851627 | 67.0666339401866 | 68.7027062301388 |
67 | 67.8895630146107 | 66.9825369043632 | 68.7965891248583 |
68 | 67.8944559440587 | 66.8994427726296 | 68.8894691154879 |
69 | 67.8993488735067 | 66.8168309510105 | 68.981866796003 |
70 | 67.9042418029547 | 66.7343378468997 | 69.0741457590097 |
71 | 67.9091347324027 | 66.6517011432943 | 69.1665683215112 |
72 | 67.9140276618507 | 66.5687268313675 | 69.2593284923339 |