| Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
| Parameter | Value |
| alpha | 1 |
| beta | 0.0767906267090112 |
| gamma | FALSE |
| Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
| 3 | 4.96 | 4.95 | 0.00999999999999979 |
| 4 | 4.93 | 4.96076790626709 | -0.0307679062670907 |
| 5 | 4.95 | 4.92840521946232 | 0.0215947805376846 |
| 6 | 4.96 | 4.95006349619345 | 0.00993650380655176 |
| 7 | 4.97 | 4.96082652654805 | 0.00917347345195019 |
| 8 | 5.01 | 4.97153096332352 | 0.0384690366764762 |
| 9 | 5.04 | 5.0144850247588 | 0.0255149752411983 |
| 10 | 5.07 | 5.04644433569804 | 0.0235556643019619 |
| 11 | 5.07 | 5.07825318992233 | -0.0082531899223337 |
| 12 | 5.08 | 5.07761942229585 | 0.00238057770415079 |
| 13 | 5.07 | 5.08780222834968 | -0.0178022283496801 |
| 14 | 5.08 | 5.07643518407789 | 0.00356481592210844 |
| 15 | 5.09 | 5.08670892852665 | 0.00329107147334717 |
| 16 | 5.09 | 5.09696165196763 | -0.00696165196763499 |
| 17 | 5.14 | 5.09642706235011 | 0.0435729376498895 |
| 18 | 5.17 | 5.1497730555398 | 0.0202269444602026 |
| 19 | 5.17 | 5.18132629528131 | -0.0113262952813056 |
| 20 | 5.18 | 5.18045654196836 | -0.000456541968362423 |
| 21 | 5.18 | 5.19042148382449 | -0.0104214838244925 |
| 22 | 5.18 | 5.18962121155037 | -0.00962121155037199 |
| 23 | 5.17 | 5.18888239268572 | -0.0188823926857191 |
| 24 | 5.17 | 5.17743240191762 | -0.00743240191761707 |
| 25 | 5.18 | 5.17686166311641 | 0.00313833688358933 |
| 26 | 5.18 | 5.18710265797252 | -0.00710265797252507 |
| 27 | 5.26 | 5.18655724041551 | 0.0734427595844851 |
| 28 | 5.26 | 5.27219695595125 | -0.0121969559512465 |
| 29 | 5.26 | 5.27126034405981 | -0.0112603440598082 |
| 30 | 5.28 | 5.2703956551825 | 0.00960434481750383 |
| 31 | 5.28 | 5.29113317884016 | -0.0111331788401623 |
| 32 | 5.31 | 5.29027825505976 | 0.0197217449402372 |
| 33 | 5.37 | 5.32179270021352 | 0.0482072997864815 |
| 34 | 5.42 | 5.38549456897607 | 0.0345054310239279 |
| 35 | 5.43 | 5.43814426264926 | -0.00814426264926382 |
| 36 | 5.43 | 5.44751885961634 | -0.0175188596163443 |
| 37 | 5.44 | 5.44617357540718 | -0.00617357540717745 |
| 38 | 5.5 | 5.45569950268263 | 0.0443004973173746 |
| 39 | 5.52 | 5.51910136563515 | 0.000898634364852491 |
| 40 | 5.55 | 5.53917037233121 | 0.0108296276687936 |
| 41 | 5.55 | 5.57000198622692 | -0.0200019862269185 |
| 42 | 5.55 | 5.56846602116913 | -0.0184660211691288 |
| 43 | 5.55 | 5.56704800383073 | -0.0170480038307295 |
| 44 | 5.55 | 5.56573887693243 | -0.0157388769324296 |
| 45 | 5.55 | 5.56453027870909 | -0.0145302787090928 |
| 46 | 5.55 | 5.56341448950076 | -0.0134144895007644 |
| 47 | 5.55 | 5.56238438244502 | -0.0123843824450196 |
| 48 | 5.56 | 5.56143337795566 | -0.00143337795566278 |
| 49 | 5.57 | 5.57132330796414 | -0.00132330796413527 |
| 50 | 5.59 | 5.58122169031624 | 0.00877830968375815 |
| 51 | 5.69 | 5.6018957822183 | 0.088104217781698 |
| 52 | 5.73 | 5.70866136031747 | 0.0213386396825337 |
| 53 | 5.76 | 5.75029996783181 | 0.00970003216819304 |
| 54 | 5.77 | 5.7810448393811 | -0.0110448393810998 |
| 55 | 5.77 | 5.79019669924312 | -0.0201966992431242 |
| 56 | 5.79 | 5.78864578205079 | 0.00135421794920898 |
| 57 | 5.79 | 5.80874977329581 | -0.018749773295812 |
| 58 | 5.79 | 5.80730996645377 | -0.0173099664537748 |
| 59 | 5.79 | 5.80598072328148 | -0.0159807232814773 |
| 60 | 5.79 | 5.80475355352543 | -0.0147535535254288 |
| Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
| 61 | 5.80362061890403 | 5.75749807777033 | 5.84974316003772 |
| 62 | 5.81724123780805 | 5.74946341341846 | 5.88501906219765 |
| 63 | 5.83086185671208 | 5.74469502765494 | 5.91702868576921 |
| 64 | 5.84448247561611 | 5.74130765287507 | 5.94765729835714 |
| 65 | 5.85810309452013 | 5.73860461449916 | 5.9776015745411 |
| 66 | 5.87172371342416 | 5.73624552749193 | 6.00720189935639 |
| 67 | 5.88534433232819 | 5.73403838779582 | 6.03665027686055 |
| 68 | 5.89896495123221 | 5.73186490609745 | 6.06606499636697 |
| 69 | 5.91258557013624 | 5.72964777754597 | 6.09552336272651 |
| 70 | 5.92620618904027 | 5.72733434621979 | 6.12507803186074 |
| 71 | 5.93982680794429 | 5.72488766491595 | 6.15476595097263 |
| 72 | 5.95344742684832 | 5.72228125205337 | 6.18461360164327 |
