Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha0.361783247130432
beta0.596736008154211
gamma0.960681181919333


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
13226.33228.542465277778-2.21246527777777
14226.22227.217851197465-0.997851197464712
15224.84224.849738955453-0.00973895545342884
16221.88221.2665899679820.61341003201764
17222.37221.4975643786890.872435621310899
18221.8220.9568492411680.843150758832252
19221.8222.001733048329-0.201733048329288
20221.8221.5071267678250.292873232174685
21221.9221.2234388893210.676561110679415
22220.2219.9125416870470.287458312953277
23219.95219.6695993916110.280400608389016
24220.05220.261722502614-0.211722502613611
25220.05218.9377488444771.11225115552293
26220.05220.328693475143-0.278693475143086
27220.62219.7498773129660.870122687033899
28221.53217.980349619893.54965038011017
29221.61221.1795585829440.430441417055562
30221.5222.112697886485-0.612697886484824
31221.5223.327651849165-1.82765184916454
32221.87223.534465570384-1.66446557038449
33222.27223.341720791002-1.0717207910015
34220.86221.346149380093-0.486149380093281
35221.49220.8383807812930.651619218707282
36221.67221.3625939425510.30740605744856
37221.67221.2497862499660.420213750033724
38221.72221.5997355947150.120264405284559
39221.67222.017943928581-0.34794392858123
40220.29221.335975241881-1.04597524188083
41220.75219.8533157128860.896684287113686
42219.59219.3094281866780.28057181332241
43219.59219.289350166840.300649833159895
44219.59220.012392138797-0.42239213879688
45219.82220.546775300804-0.726775300804206
46221.59219.0238377838422.56616221615846
47220.9220.965708254587-0.0657082545867524
48221.01221.512268203814-0.502268203813912
49221.01221.493807855098-0.483807855098235
50219.69221.455732092431-1.76573209243057
51221220.6203237580180.379676241982395
52219.82219.646476670770.173523329230363
53218.04219.932236371583-1.89223637158264
54217.97217.5356500877780.434349912222103
55217.97217.150754348490.819245651510272
56217.53217.2972988915320.232701108468234
57217217.702683865209-0.702683865208598
58217.18218.033262768874-0.853262768874345
59217.68216.2119915494271.46800845057342
60217.71216.4644811850551.24551881494463


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
61216.885709056408214.773405139018218.998012973798
62216.137188395298213.697769700084218.576607090512
63217.537691998249214.577868713319220.49751528318
64216.499820222306212.851928585556220.147711859055
65215.618508744544211.145662139911220.091355349178
66215.903769300313210.493205690574221.314332910052
67216.074734261618209.630624276175222.518844247061
68215.865412266411208.30371033043223.427114202393
69215.863013030374207.108102339847224.617923720901
70216.75709863244206.739621743143226.774575521738
71217.253568888563205.908993229429228.598144547697
72217.107438110737204.37507631862229.839799902855