Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha0.544845042486155
beta0.135929694087167
gamma1


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
1368.9868.38250493810520.59749506189479
1468.9468.71528008394470.224719916055307
1569.2169.17219929889990.0378007011000676
1669.2169.2511083283824-0.0411083283824354
1769.6769.7384745774128-0.0684745774128004
1869.6669.7327092881544-0.0727092881543996
1969.6669.7007462670907-0.0407462670907108
2069.6669.8839829511605-0.223982951160522
2169.7769.7933614557467-0.0233614557466666
2270.3270.27199734601740.0480026539826213
2370.3470.3114235678350.0285764321649538
2470.3870.36603817393250.0139618260674581
2570.3870.6820898040141-0.302089804014102
2670.2970.3171074119522-0.0271074119522297
2770.4270.5038157355684-0.0838157355684359
2870.2970.419443099423-0.129443099422986
2970.5970.786329239954-0.196329239954039
3070.6470.63238627297290.00761372702707774
3170.6470.58826783160210.0517321683979048
3270.6870.6761698028420.00383019715799549
3370.7870.75592654549120.024073454508752
3470.971.2568641481657-0.356864148165684
3571.0470.99398823154420.0460117684557844
3671.1570.98034504547380.169654954526237
3771.1571.1787229546433-0.0287229546432997
3871.1571.0474387315760.102561268423997
3971.0771.2509770075831-0.180977007583138
4071.1771.05528899499830.114711005001652
4171.2471.5104395467084-0.27043954670836
4271.2371.385215891376-0.155215891376031
4371.2371.2360824524713-0.00608245247124728
4471.2371.2306860415333-0.000686041533271009
4571.2471.2772724056362-0.0372724056362443
4671.2871.5278658861246-0.247865886124572
4771.5271.47148271789710.0485172821029067
4871.5271.47865611500710.0413438849928838
4971.5271.47063046057390.0493695394261238
5071.671.40093657221620.199063427783841
5171.6171.49469759012710.115302409872882
5271.7871.5838223488270.196177651173016
5371.6671.9039044042756-0.243904404275611
5471.8671.84263621558230.0173637844177108
5571.8671.8648105131592-0.00481051315924219
5671.8271.8720228215472-0.0520228215471832
5771.871.8799078450693-0.0799078450692576
5872.2272.01521556222970.2047844377703
5972.5172.37908441506940.130915584930648
6072.5672.46978123431790.0902187656820672


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
6172.537356429353372.218803023087972.8559098356186
6272.55030055199272.175766457351472.9248346466325
6372.523715837433672.089280957022372.9581507178449
6472.605857211368672.107490186834573.1042242359027
6572.622401874460472.056982722382573.1878210265382
6672.837390157120672.200481979592873.4742983346484
6772.860608828153872.150414555161873.5708031011458
6872.86966636605172.083509940165973.6558227919361
6972.918268811015672.053097781052373.7834398409788
7073.262161637163472.311967561755674.2123557125711
7173.499422554566772.462460919489974.5363841896435
7273.505951635230469.304702780095277.7072004903656