Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
Parameter | Value |
alpha | 1 |
beta | 1 |
gamma | FALSE |
Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
3 | 73.97 | 73.97 | 0 |
4 | 73.97 | 73.97 | 0 |
5 | 73.97 | 73.97 | 0 |
6 | 73.97 | 73.97 | 0 |
7 | 73.96 | 73.97 | -0.0100000000000051 |
8 | 74.44 | 73.95 | 0.490000000000009 |
9 | 75.43 | 74.92 | 0.510000000000005 |
10 | 75.77 | 76.42 | -0.65000000000002 |
11 | 75.82 | 76.11 | -0.289999999999992 |
12 | 75.85 | 75.87 | -0.019999999999996 |
13 | 75.85 | 75.88 | -0.0300000000000011 |
14 | 75.85 | 75.85 | 0 |
15 | 77.95 | 75.85 | 2.10000000000001 |
16 | 82.07 | 80.05 | 2.01999999999998 |
17 | 84.82 | 86.19 | -1.36999999999999 |
18 | 85.08 | 87.57 | -2.48999999999999 |
19 | 85.34 | 85.34 | 0 |
20 | 85.65 | 85.6 | 0.0499999999999972 |
21 | 85.65 | 85.96 | -0.310000000000002 |
22 | 85.72 | 85.65 | 0.0699999999999932 |
23 | 85.73 | 85.79 | -0.0599999999999881 |
24 | 85.73 | 85.74 | -0.0100000000000051 |
25 | 85.73 | 85.73 | 0 |
26 | 85.73 | 85.73 | 0 |
27 | 85.74 | 85.73 | 0.00999999999999091 |
28 | 86.32 | 85.75 | 0.570000000000007 |
29 | 87.59 | 86.9 | 0.690000000000012 |
30 | 87.81 | 88.86 | -1.05000000000001 |
31 | 87.87 | 88.03 | -0.159999999999997 |
32 | 87.94 | 87.93 | 0.00999999999999091 |
33 | 87.96 | 88.01 | -0.0499999999999972 |
34 | 88.01 | 87.98 | 0.0300000000000153 |
35 | 88.01 | 88.06 | -0.0500000000000114 |
36 | 88.01 | 88.01 | 0 |
37 | 88.01 | 88.01 | 0 |
38 | 88.01 | 88.01 | 0 |
39 | 88.59 | 88.01 | 0.579999999999998 |
40 | 89.43 | 89.17 | 0.260000000000005 |
41 | 89.63 | 90.27 | -0.640000000000015 |
42 | 89.73 | 89.83 | -0.0999999999999801 |
43 | 89.88 | 89.83 | 0.0499999999999829 |
44 | 89.89 | 90.03 | -0.139999999999986 |
45 | 89.9 | 89.9 | 0 |
46 | 89.91 | 89.91 | -1.4210854715202e-14 |
47 | 89.86 | 89.92 | -0.0599999999999881 |
48 | 90.07 | 89.81 | 0.259999999999991 |
49 | 90.17 | 90.28 | -0.109999999999985 |
50 | 90.17 | 90.27 | -0.100000000000009 |
51 | 90.28 | 90.17 | 0.109999999999999 |
52 | 90.87 | 90.39 | 0.480000000000004 |
53 | 92.05 | 91.46 | 0.589999999999989 |
54 | 92.1 | 93.23 | -1.13 |
55 | 92.16 | 92.15 | 0.0100000000000051 |
56 | 92.22 | 92.22 | 0 |
57 | 92.25 | 92.28 | -0.0300000000000011 |
58 | 92.29 | 92.28 | 0.0100000000000051 |
59 | 92.29 | 92.33 | -0.0400000000000063 |
60 | 92.29 | 92.29 | 0 |
Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
61 | 92.29 | 91.0605858957577 | 93.5194141042424 |
62 | 92.29 | 89.5409464904171 | 95.0390535095829 |
63 | 92.29 | 87.6899536354575 | 96.8900463645425 |
64 | 92.29 | 85.5562216259146 | 99.0237783740854 |
65 | 92.29 | 83.1724209801038 | 101.407579019896 |
66 | 92.29 | 80.5621369118832 | 104.017863088117 |
67 | 92.29 | 77.7433761456686 | 106.836623854331 |
68 | 92.29 | 74.7304543310243 | 109.849545668976 |
69 | 92.29 | 71.5351011489491 | 113.044898851051 |
70 | 92.29 | 68.1671533543747 | 116.412846645625 |
71 | 92.29 | 64.6350135763318 | 119.944986423668 |
72 | 92.29 | 60.9459674609103 | 123.63403253909 |