Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 86.9 | NA | NA | 0.973289806270092 | NA |
2 | 85.8 | NA | NA | 0.970759068743889 | NA |
3 | 84.4 | NA | NA | 0.99306458600999 | NA |
4 | 80.4 | NA | NA | 0.999761281332826 | NA |
5 | 84.4 | NA | NA | 1.02335492679649 | NA |
6 | 90.7 | NA | NA | 1.04323854113452 | NA |
7 | 91.6 | 92.7660133905865 | 89.075 | 1.04143714162881 | 0.987430597177039 |
8 | 91.9 | 92.162210113833 | 89.7958333333333 | 1.02635285728365 | 0.997154906403513 |
9 | 92.5 | 92.245635981719 | 90.6958333333333 | 1.01708791453175 | 1.00275746397728 |
10 | 92.5 | 91.0956436300483 | 92.0083333333333 | 0.990080358265175 | 1.01541628462119 |
11 | 92 | 90.0957130801959 | 93.6041666666667 | 0.962518190039929 | 1.02113626558579 |
12 | 92 | 91.2581105195346 | 95.1541666666666 | 0.959055327962881 | 1.00812957310032 |
13 | 94.5 | 94.056293653426 | 96.6375 | 0.973289806270092 | 1.00471745514669 |
14 | 95.5 | 95.1343887369011 | 98 | 0.970759068743889 | 1.00384310308768 |
15 | 96.3 | 98.4623537028905 | 99.15 | 0.99306458600999 | 0.978038777039442 |
16 | 100 | 100.096932621444 | 100.120833333333 | 0.999761281332826 | 0.999031612468983 |
17 | 103.1 | 103.388695458477 | 101.029166666667 | 1.02335492679649 | 0.997207669008715 |
18 | 109.2 | 106.236458105532 | 101.833333333333 | 1.04323854113452 | 1.02789571440272 |
19 | 108.7 | 106.703913802719 | 102.458333333333 | 1.04143714162881 | 1.0187067758449 |
20 | 107.5 | 105.731450181171 | 103.016666666667 | 1.02635285728365 | 1.01672680943843 |
21 | 104.5 | 105.514395400048 | 103.741666666667 | 1.01708791453175 | 0.990386189522276 |
22 | 103.8 | 103.360264068058 | 104.395833333333 | 0.990080358265175 | 1.00425440023694 |
23 | 102.5 | 100.984200105023 | 104.916666666667 | 0.962518190039929 | 1.01501026787756 |
24 | 100.8 | 100.936577204227 | 105.245833333333 | 0.959055327962881 | 0.99864690077661 |
25 | 100.7 | 102.483361226048 | 105.295833333333 | 0.973289806270092 | 0.982598529120114 |
26 | 102.7 | 102.204750620919 | 105.283333333333 | 0.970759068743889 | 1.00484565909189 |
27 | 106.5 | 104.673145134561 | 105.404166666667 | 0.99306458600999 | 1.01745294710587 |
28 | 105.5 | 105.620613700808 | 105.645833333333 | 0.999761281332826 | 0.998858047718325 |
29 | 110.1 | 108.177143720112 | 105.708333333333 | 1.02335492679649 | 1.01777506979536 |
30 | 110.1 | 110.235539179881 | 105.666666666667 | 1.04323854113452 | 0.998770458412152 |
31 | 109 | 110.118959762977 | 105.7375 | 1.04143714162881 | 0.989838627558914 |
32 | 106.9 | 108.511155836314 | 105.725 | 1.02635285728365 | 0.985152164089523 |
33 | 108 | 107.383294443 | 105.579166666667 | 1.01708791453175 | 1.00574303070323 |
34 | 106.1 | 104.428725788019 | 105.475 | 0.990080358265175 | 1.01600397016596 |
35 | 101.7 | 101.23285063745 | 105.175 | 0.962518190039929 | 1.00461460246954 |
36 | 100.6 | 100.41708890158 | 104.704166666667 | 0.959055327962881 | 1.00182151365291 |
37 | 102.6 | 101.538459039127 | 104.325 | 0.973289806270092 | 1.01045457032654 |
38 | 100.5 | 100.950853490458 | 103.991666666667 | 0.970759068743889 | 0.99553393086963 |
39 | 105.2 | 102.807011266684 | 103.525 | 0.99306458600999 | 1.02327651299101 |
40 | 104.3 | 102.700477624915 | 102.725 | 0.999761281332826 | 1.01557463423809 |
41 | 104.1 | 104.113571864958 | 101.7375 | 1.02335492679649 | 0.999869643652456 |
42 | 104.8 | 105.280156109492 | 100.916666666667 | 1.04323854113452 | 0.99543925344305 |
43 | 105.2 | 104.386716162595 | 100.233333333333 | 1.04143714162881 | 1.00779106640483 |
44 | 102.7 | 102.216191644974 | 99.5916666666667 | 1.02635285728365 | 1.00473318705422 |
45 | 101 | 100.509475287289 | 98.8208333333333 | 1.01708791453175 | 1.0048803827829 |
46 | 93.9 | 96.9948724313784 | 97.9666666666667 | 0.990080358265175 | 0.968092411961592 |
47 | 90.2 | 93.6650513682606 | 97.3125 | 0.962518190039929 | 0.963005931052798 |
48 | 92.4 | 92.8485439384064 | 96.8125 | 0.959055327962881 | 0.995169079455851 |
49 | 94.4 | 93.8373034470153 | 96.4125 | 0.973289806270092 | 1.00599651239235 |
50 | 93.3 | 93.342529289178 | 96.1541666666667 | 0.970759068743889 | 0.999544373936491 |
51 | 93.9 | 95.3300624878507 | 95.9958333333333 | 0.99306458600999 | 0.984998829849368 |
52 | 95.1 | 96.0312367440235 | 96.0541666666667 | 0.999761281332826 | 0.990302772560289 |
53 | 97.6 | 98.6940547317983 | 96.4416666666667 | 1.02335492679649 | 0.98891468452916 |
54 | 99.3 | 101.155017044755 | 96.9625 | 1.04323854113452 | 0.981661640727768 |
55 | 101.1 | NA | NA | 1.04143714162881 | NA |
56 | 100.6 | NA | NA | 1.02635285728365 | NA |
57 | 99.3 | NA | NA | 1.01708791453175 | NA |
58 | 97 | NA | NA | 0.990080358265175 | NA |
59 | 96.4 | NA | NA | 0.962518190039929 | NA |
60 | 98.7 | NA | NA | 0.959055327962881 | NA |