Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha0.759709371745411
beta0
gamma1


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
13102.78100.497660256412.28233974358974
14102.78102.2171520721990.562847927800675
15102.78102.867829840894-0.0878298408939031
16102.78103.120014944058-0.340014944058154
17102.78103.180612660934-0.40061266093393
18102.78103.195173724393-0.415173724392815
19102.78100.7778392781462.00216072185398
20101.67104.432809798689-2.7628097986893
21101.67104.477787558685-2.80778755868523
22101.67102.188595292892-0.518595292892158
23101.67101.6385238451490.0314761548508073
24101.67101.5063468313860.163653168613877
25101.67102.023010784586-0.353010784585763
26101.67101.3272243375910.342775662408897
27101.67101.6543593739750.01564062602462
28101.67101.924554243681-0.25455424368073
29101.67102.03551619209-0.365516192090283
30101.67102.073241484758-0.403241484758269
31101.67100.2458348855781.42416511442215
32105.79102.3167189663323.47328103366846
33105.79107.088505640518-1.29850564051839
34105.79106.496000440306-0.706000440305516
35105.79105.935732559522-0.145732559522358
36105.79105.7006893223730.0893106776270116
37105.79106.03672508254-0.246725082540166
38105.79105.5888758419510.201124158048543
39105.79105.7297894195340.0602105804655366
40105.79105.968919206334-0.178919206334172
41105.79106.110678685153-0.320678685152529
42105.79106.173402417771-0.383402417770554
43105.79104.8001764235010.989823576498978
44104.47107.033470518958-2.56347051895835
45104.47106.072464845879-1.60246484587871
46104.47105.391412435529-0.921412435528566
47104.47104.802121164252-0.332121164252328
48104.47104.481955444425-0.0119554444246575
49104.47104.660312138702-0.190312138702296
50104.47104.3629343156190.107065684380629
51104.47104.3985305771780.0714694228222186
52105.5104.5887531653260.911246834673619
53105.5105.524658528031-0.0246585280306419
54105.5105.797199623122-0.297199623122452
55105.5104.8194360367160.680563963283703
56106.61105.9639594351410.646040564859149
57106.61107.672170068099-1.06217006809868
58106.61107.56523517549-0.955235175490472
59106.61107.091849621487-0.481849621486987
60106.61106.734866611444-0.124866611444133


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
61106.784586191841104.617867882716108.951304500966
62106.703247388025103.982174969841109.424319806208
63106.648951397713103.468730968419109.829171827008
64106.986668637439103.405695466246110.567641808631
65107.005401952277103.064217393454110.9465865111
66107.231187291242102.960063012951111.502311569533
67106.714156470263102.136813411839111.291499528688
68107.333353398612102.469030593904112.197676203321
69108.140293953734103.005003969487113.275583937981
70108.865995068775103.473336160944114.258653976606
71109.232060741991103.593768716021114.87035276796
72109.326923076923103.453261200035115.200584953812