| Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
| Parameter | Value |
| alpha | 0.918264861346174 |
| beta | 0 |
| gamma | 1 |
| Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
| 13 | 45.51 | 45.7836511752137 | -0.273651175213672 |
| 14 | 45.49 | 45.494102056609 | -0.00410205660902108 |
| 15 | 45.4 | 45.3908204220258 | 0.0091795779741517 |
| 16 | 45.38 | 45.384318179115 | -0.00431817911496779 |
| 17 | 45.38 | 45.3854214201622 | -0.00542142016217184 |
| 18 | 45.38 | 45.3875949270555 | -0.0075949270554645 |
| 19 | 45.49 | 45.3348559122761 | 0.155144087723919 |
| 20 | 45.41 | 45.2403044163387 | 0.169695583661294 |
| 21 | 44.99 | 45.376198381134 | -0.386198381133973 |
| 22 | 44.98 | 44.9662177847567 | 0.0137822152433245 |
| 23 | 44.93 | 44.9831086485863 | -0.0531086485862815 |
| 24 | 44.93 | 44.9377426492827 | -0.00774264928272572 |
| 25 | 44.91 | 44.9150010696239 | -0.00500106962394398 |
| 26 | 44.86 | 44.8941755375624 | -0.0341755375624473 |
| 27 | 44.76 | 44.7643640584056 | -0.00436405840558507 |
| 28 | 44.89 | 44.7443219290651 | 0.145678070934856 |
| 29 | 44.89 | 44.8830712823068 | 0.00692871769317094 |
| 30 | 45 | 44.8964078349382 | 0.103592165061826 |
| 31 | 45.01 | 44.9590695158227 | 0.0509304841772646 |
| 32 | 45.11 | 44.7700116982123 | 0.339988301787741 |
| 33 | 45.05 | 45.0168434119168 | 0.0331565880831874 |
| 34 | 44.67 | 45.0246342177063 | -0.354634217706263 |
| 35 | 44.48 | 44.697753882786 | -0.217753882785985 |
| 36 | 44.48 | 44.504907946572 | -0.0249079465719717 |
| 37 | 44.48 | 44.4666281609714 | 0.0133718390285509 |
| 38 | 44.58 | 44.4602892461441 | 0.119710753855848 |
| 39 | 44.79 | 44.4742227864219 | 0.315777213578052 |
| 40 | 44.79 | 44.7604188520563 | 0.0295811479436878 |
| 41 | 44.41 | 44.7812197827795 | -0.371219782779455 |
| 42 | 44.41 | 44.4552166553295 | -0.0452166553294759 |
| 43 | 44.44 | 44.3769281156015 | 0.0630718843985107 |
| 44 | 44.43 | 44.2226454999831 | 0.207354500016919 |
| 45 | 44.36 | 44.3226053214317 | 0.0373946785682975 |
| 46 | 44.39 | 44.302591681513 | 0.0874083184870429 |
| 47 | 44.39 | 44.392811407953 | -0.00281140795302548 |
| 48 | 44.41 | 44.4131018829242 | -0.00310188292418445 |
| 49 | 44.32 | 44.3979746429194 | -0.0779746429194006 |
| 50 | 44.43 | 44.3164470894594 | 0.113552910540584 |
| 51 | 44.82 | 44.3407516178699 | 0.479248382130116 |
| 52 | 44.97 | 44.753665238322 | 0.216334761677992 |
| 53 | 44.91 | 44.9131959306215 | -0.00319593062154411 |
| 54 | 44.79 | 44.9517820855691 | -0.161782085569136 |
| 55 | 44.76 | 44.7753065860137 | -0.015306586013665 |
| 56 | 44.8 | 44.5608447347226 | 0.239155265277397 |
| 57 | 44.65 | 44.6761143919022 | -0.0261143919021549 |
| 58 | 44.49 | 44.601870475987 | -0.111870475986976 |
| 59 | 44.56 | 44.5017253660002 | 0.0582746339997584 |
| 60 | 44.4 | 44.5780852648033 | -0.178085264803315 |
| Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
| 61 | 44.3961571984798 | 44.065635756125 | 44.7266786408346 |
| 62 | 44.4018855508268 | 43.9531535001088 | 44.8506176015449 |
| 63 | 44.3518086016597 | 43.8100739038352 | 44.8935432994842 |
| 64 | 44.3031559917231 | 43.6821950329565 | 44.9241169504897 |
| 65 | 44.2460907025122 | 43.5549260753808 | 44.9372553296435 |
| 66 | 44.2746495068856 | 43.5197822528052 | 45.0295167609661 |
| 67 | 44.2587050069691 | 43.4451076859507 | 45.0723023279875 |
| 68 | 44.079097130459 | 43.2107327885761 | 44.9474614723418 |
| 69 | 43.9530770589181 | 43.0332006217055 | 44.8729534961307 |
| 70 | 43.895803786039 | 42.9271507577444 | 44.8644568143336 |
| 71 | 43.9122922373293 | 42.8972037098059 | 44.9273807648527 |
| 72 | 43.9158216783217 | 42.8563308816675 | 44.9753124749759 |
