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Author's title

Author*Unverified author*
R Software Modulerwasp_exponentialsmoothing.wasp
Title produced by softwareExponential Smoothing
Date of computationTue, 22 May 2012 10:57:15 -0400
Cite this page as followsStatistical Computations at FreeStatistics.org, Office for Research Development and Education, URL https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?v=date/2012/May/22/t13376986719vjleqi1i9styjf.htm/, Retrieved Fri, 03 May 2024 15:20:23 +0000
Statistical Computations at FreeStatistics.org, Office for Research Development and Education, URL https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=167075, Retrieved Fri, 03 May 2024 15:20:23 +0000
QR Codes:

Original text written by user:
IsPrivate?No (this computation is public)
User-defined keywordsKDGP2W102
Estimated Impact90
Family? (F = Feedback message, R = changed R code, M = changed R Module, P = changed Parameters, D = changed Data)
-       [Exponential Smoothing] [Opgave10oef2] [2012-05-22 14:57:15] [76c30f62b7052b57088120e90a652e05] [Current]
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Dataseries X:
10,92
10,98
11,15
11,19
11,33
11,38
11,4
11,45
11,56
11,61
11,82
11,77
11,85
11,82
11,92
11,86
11,87
11,94
11,86
11,92
11,83
11,91
11,93
11,99
11,96
12,12
11,85
12,01
12,1
12,21
12,31
12,31
12,39
12,35
12,41
12,51
12,27
12,51
12,44
12,47
12,51
12,58
12,5
12,52
12,59
12,51
12,67
12,64
12,54
12,6
12,67
12,62
12,72
12,85
12,85
12,82
12,79
12,94
12,71
12,56




Summary of computational transaction
Raw Inputview raw input (R code)
Raw Outputview raw output of R engine
Computing time1 seconds
R Server'Herman Ole Andreas Wold' @ wold.wessa.net

\begin{tabular}{lllllllll}
\hline
Summary of computational transaction \tabularnewline
Raw Input & view raw input (R code)  \tabularnewline
Raw Output & view raw output of R engine  \tabularnewline
Computing time & 1 seconds \tabularnewline
R Server & 'Herman Ole Andreas Wold' @ wold.wessa.net \tabularnewline
\hline
\end{tabular}
%Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=167075&T=0

[TABLE]
[ROW][C]Summary of computational transaction[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]Raw Input[/C][C]view raw input (R code) [/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]Raw Output[/C][C]view raw output of R engine [/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]Computing time[/C][C]1 seconds[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]R Server[/C][C]'Herman Ole Andreas Wold' @ wold.wessa.net[/C][/ROW]
[/TABLE]
Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=167075&T=0

Globally Unique Identifier (entire table): ba.freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=167075&T=0

As an alternative you can also use a QR Code:  

The GUIDs for individual cells are displayed in the table below:

Summary of computational transaction
Raw Inputview raw input (R code)
Raw Outputview raw output of R engine
Computing time1 seconds
R Server'Herman Ole Andreas Wold' @ wold.wessa.net







Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha0.63720661066149
beta0.0384080284877684
gamma0.182987595170336

\begin{tabular}{lllllllll}
\hline
Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing \tabularnewline
Parameter & Value \tabularnewline
alpha & 0.63720661066149 \tabularnewline
beta & 0.0384080284877684 \tabularnewline
gamma & 0.182987595170336 \tabularnewline
\hline
\end{tabular}
%Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=167075&T=1

[TABLE]
[ROW][C]Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]Parameter[/C][C]Value[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]alpha[/C][C]0.63720661066149[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]beta[/C][C]0.0384080284877684[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]gamma[/C][C]0.182987595170336[/C][/ROW]
[/TABLE]
Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=167075&T=1

Globally Unique Identifier (entire table): ba.freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=167075&T=1

As an alternative you can also use a QR Code:  

The GUIDs for individual cells are displayed in the table below:

Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha0.63720661066149
beta0.0384080284877684
gamma0.182987595170336







Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
1311.8511.53219551282050.31780448717949
1411.8211.71567983288730.104320167112656
1511.9211.90360031568760.0163996843124288
1611.8611.8829819823765-0.0229819823765265
1711.8711.9133735997976-0.0433735997976274
1811.9411.9930433581688-0.0530433581688143
1911.8611.9327533074094-0.0727533074093731
2011.9211.91062339319060.00937660680939167
2111.8312.0077233515771-0.177723351577095
2211.9111.9283357383719-0.0183357383718956
2311.9312.1196455531877-0.189645553187717
2411.9911.94173759810860.0482624018913977
2511.9612.0710386527622-0.111038652762163
2612.1211.95459397373950.165406026260534
2711.8512.1646022280797-0.314602228079691
2812.0111.91135218661580.0986478133842468
2912.112.00176944836010.0982305516398636
3012.2112.15837002997980.0516299700202403
3112.3112.15337346201730.156626537982714
3212.3112.27837546703060.0316245329694489
3312.3912.3732927287820.0167072712179657
3412.3512.4291990002649-0.0791990002649374
3512.4112.569684282872-0.159684282871956
3612.5112.42672566871760.0832743312823911
3712.2712.5686818630047-0.29868186300469
3812.5112.34735036190590.162649638094125
3912.4412.5199970337116-0.0799970337116029
4012.4712.44567593292370.0243240670762539
4112.5112.4888895809650.0211104190349634
4212.5812.5915512887833-0.0115512887832718
4312.512.5500155338746-0.0500155338746442
4412.5212.5267380025619-0.00673800256186752
4512.5912.58697384375540.0030261562445606
4612.5112.6182144371985-0.10821443719847
4712.6712.7245765394072-0.0545765394072468
4812.6412.6570036828195-0.0170036828194835
4912.5412.699532257599-0.159532257599045
5012.612.59072660413540.00927339586463738
5112.6712.63901123194890.030988768051138
5212.6212.6345316209449-0.0145316209449291
5312.7212.6440169466420.0759830533579695
5412.8512.77206262411120.0779373758887569
5512.8512.77977332310950.0702266768904956
5612.8212.8337079643225-0.0137079643225064
5712.7912.8877001170889-0.0977001170888965
5812.9412.84245661595040.0975433840495743
5912.7113.0836097379521-0.373609737952123
6012.5612.8075531186854-0.247553118685399

\begin{tabular}{lllllllll}
\hline
Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing \tabularnewline
t & Observed & Fitted & Residuals \tabularnewline
13 & 11.85 & 11.5321955128205 & 0.31780448717949 \tabularnewline
14 & 11.82 & 11.7156798328873 & 0.104320167112656 \tabularnewline
15 & 11.92 & 11.9036003156876 & 0.0163996843124288 \tabularnewline
16 & 11.86 & 11.8829819823765 & -0.0229819823765265 \tabularnewline
17 & 11.87 & 11.9133735997976 & -0.0433735997976274 \tabularnewline
18 & 11.94 & 11.9930433581688 & -0.0530433581688143 \tabularnewline
19 & 11.86 & 11.9327533074094 & -0.0727533074093731 \tabularnewline
20 & 11.92 & 11.9106233931906 & 0.00937660680939167 \tabularnewline
21 & 11.83 & 12.0077233515771 & -0.177723351577095 \tabularnewline
22 & 11.91 & 11.9283357383719 & -0.0183357383718956 \tabularnewline
23 & 11.93 & 12.1196455531877 & -0.189645553187717 \tabularnewline
24 & 11.99 & 11.9417375981086 & 0.0482624018913977 \tabularnewline
25 & 11.96 & 12.0710386527622 & -0.111038652762163 \tabularnewline
26 & 12.12 & 11.9545939737395 & 0.165406026260534 \tabularnewline
27 & 11.85 & 12.1646022280797 & -0.314602228079691 \tabularnewline
28 & 12.01 & 11.9113521866158 & 0.0986478133842468 \tabularnewline
29 & 12.1 & 12.0017694483601 & 0.0982305516398636 \tabularnewline
30 & 12.21 & 12.1583700299798 & 0.0516299700202403 \tabularnewline
31 & 12.31 & 12.1533734620173 & 0.156626537982714 \tabularnewline
32 & 12.31 & 12.2783754670306 & 0.0316245329694489 \tabularnewline
33 & 12.39 & 12.373292728782 & 0.0167072712179657 \tabularnewline
34 & 12.35 & 12.4291990002649 & -0.0791990002649374 \tabularnewline
35 & 12.41 & 12.569684282872 & -0.159684282871956 \tabularnewline
36 & 12.51 & 12.4267256687176 & 0.0832743312823911 \tabularnewline
37 & 12.27 & 12.5686818630047 & -0.29868186300469 \tabularnewline
38 & 12.51 & 12.3473503619059 & 0.162649638094125 \tabularnewline
39 & 12.44 & 12.5199970337116 & -0.0799970337116029 \tabularnewline
40 & 12.47 & 12.4456759329237 & 0.0243240670762539 \tabularnewline
41 & 12.51 & 12.488889580965 & 0.0211104190349634 \tabularnewline
42 & 12.58 & 12.5915512887833 & -0.0115512887832718 \tabularnewline
43 & 12.5 & 12.5500155338746 & -0.0500155338746442 \tabularnewline
44 & 12.52 & 12.5267380025619 & -0.00673800256186752 \tabularnewline
45 & 12.59 & 12.5869738437554 & 0.0030261562445606 \tabularnewline
46 & 12.51 & 12.6182144371985 & -0.10821443719847 \tabularnewline
47 & 12.67 & 12.7245765394072 & -0.0545765394072468 \tabularnewline
48 & 12.64 & 12.6570036828195 & -0.0170036828194835 \tabularnewline
49 & 12.54 & 12.699532257599 & -0.159532257599045 \tabularnewline
50 & 12.6 & 12.5907266041354 & 0.00927339586463738 \tabularnewline
51 & 12.67 & 12.6390112319489 & 0.030988768051138 \tabularnewline
52 & 12.62 & 12.6345316209449 & -0.0145316209449291 \tabularnewline
53 & 12.72 & 12.644016946642 & 0.0759830533579695 \tabularnewline
54 & 12.85 & 12.7720626241112 & 0.0779373758887569 \tabularnewline
55 & 12.85 & 12.7797733231095 & 0.0702266768904956 \tabularnewline
56 & 12.82 & 12.8337079643225 & -0.0137079643225064 \tabularnewline
57 & 12.79 & 12.8877001170889 & -0.0977001170888965 \tabularnewline
58 & 12.94 & 12.8424566159504 & 0.0975433840495743 \tabularnewline
59 & 12.71 & 13.0836097379521 & -0.373609737952123 \tabularnewline
60 & 12.56 & 12.8075531186854 & -0.247553118685399 \tabularnewline
\hline
\end{tabular}
%Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=167075&T=2

[TABLE]
[ROW][C]Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]t[/C][C]Observed[/C][C]Fitted[/C][C]Residuals[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]13[/C][C]11.85[/C][C]11.5321955128205[/C][C]0.31780448717949[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]14[/C][C]11.82[/C][C]11.7156798328873[/C][C]0.104320167112656[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]15[/C][C]11.92[/C][C]11.9036003156876[/C][C]0.0163996843124288[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]16[/C][C]11.86[/C][C]11.8829819823765[/C][C]-0.0229819823765265[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]17[/C][C]11.87[/C][C]11.9133735997976[/C][C]-0.0433735997976274[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]18[/C][C]11.94[/C][C]11.9930433581688[/C][C]-0.0530433581688143[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]19[/C][C]11.86[/C][C]11.9327533074094[/C][C]-0.0727533074093731[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]20[/C][C]11.92[/C][C]11.9106233931906[/C][C]0.00937660680939167[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]21[/C][C]11.83[/C][C]12.0077233515771[/C][C]-0.177723351577095[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]22[/C][C]11.91[/C][C]11.9283357383719[/C][C]-0.0183357383718956[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]23[/C][C]11.93[/C][C]12.1196455531877[/C][C]-0.189645553187717[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]24[/C][C]11.99[/C][C]11.9417375981086[/C][C]0.0482624018913977[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]25[/C][C]11.96[/C][C]12.0710386527622[/C][C]-0.111038652762163[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]26[/C][C]12.12[/C][C]11.9545939737395[/C][C]0.165406026260534[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]27[/C][C]11.85[/C][C]12.1646022280797[/C][C]-0.314602228079691[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]28[/C][C]12.01[/C][C]11.9113521866158[/C][C]0.0986478133842468[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]29[/C][C]12.1[/C][C]12.0017694483601[/C][C]0.0982305516398636[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]30[/C][C]12.21[/C][C]12.1583700299798[/C][C]0.0516299700202403[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]31[/C][C]12.31[/C][C]12.1533734620173[/C][C]0.156626537982714[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]32[/C][C]12.31[/C][C]12.2783754670306[/C][C]0.0316245329694489[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]33[/C][C]12.39[/C][C]12.373292728782[/C][C]0.0167072712179657[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]34[/C][C]12.35[/C][C]12.4291990002649[/C][C]-0.0791990002649374[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]35[/C][C]12.41[/C][C]12.569684282872[/C][C]-0.159684282871956[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]36[/C][C]12.51[/C][C]12.4267256687176[/C][C]0.0832743312823911[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]37[/C][C]12.27[/C][C]12.5686818630047[/C][C]-0.29868186300469[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]38[/C][C]12.51[/C][C]12.3473503619059[/C][C]0.162649638094125[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]39[/C][C]12.44[/C][C]12.5199970337116[/C][C]-0.0799970337116029[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]40[/C][C]12.47[/C][C]12.4456759329237[/C][C]0.0243240670762539[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]41[/C][C]12.51[/C][C]12.488889580965[/C][C]0.0211104190349634[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]42[/C][C]12.58[/C][C]12.5915512887833[/C][C]-0.0115512887832718[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]43[/C][C]12.5[/C][C]12.5500155338746[/C][C]-0.0500155338746442[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]44[/C][C]12.52[/C][C]12.5267380025619[/C][C]-0.00673800256186752[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]45[/C][C]12.59[/C][C]12.5869738437554[/C][C]0.0030261562445606[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]46[/C][C]12.51[/C][C]12.6182144371985[/C][C]-0.10821443719847[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]47[/C][C]12.67[/C][C]12.7245765394072[/C][C]-0.0545765394072468[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]48[/C][C]12.64[/C][C]12.6570036828195[/C][C]-0.0170036828194835[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]49[/C][C]12.54[/C][C]12.699532257599[/C][C]-0.159532257599045[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]50[/C][C]12.6[/C][C]12.5907266041354[/C][C]0.00927339586463738[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]51[/C][C]12.67[/C][C]12.6390112319489[/C][C]0.030988768051138[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]52[/C][C]12.62[/C][C]12.6345316209449[/C][C]-0.0145316209449291[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]53[/C][C]12.72[/C][C]12.644016946642[/C][C]0.0759830533579695[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]54[/C][C]12.85[/C][C]12.7720626241112[/C][C]0.0779373758887569[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]55[/C][C]12.85[/C][C]12.7797733231095[/C][C]0.0702266768904956[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]56[/C][C]12.82[/C][C]12.8337079643225[/C][C]-0.0137079643225064[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]57[/C][C]12.79[/C][C]12.8877001170889[/C][C]-0.0977001170888965[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]58[/C][C]12.94[/C][C]12.8424566159504[/C][C]0.0975433840495743[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]59[/C][C]12.71[/C][C]13.0836097379521[/C][C]-0.373609737952123[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]60[/C][C]12.56[/C][C]12.8075531186854[/C][C]-0.247553118685399[/C][/ROW]
[/TABLE]
Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=167075&T=2

Globally Unique Identifier (entire table): ba.freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=167075&T=2

As an alternative you can also use a QR Code:  

The GUIDs for individual cells are displayed in the table below:

Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
1311.8511.53219551282050.31780448717949
1411.8211.71567983288730.104320167112656
1511.9211.90360031568760.0163996843124288
1611.8611.8829819823765-0.0229819823765265
1711.8711.9133735997976-0.0433735997976274
1811.9411.9930433581688-0.0530433581688143
1911.8611.9327533074094-0.0727533074093731
2011.9211.91062339319060.00937660680939167
2111.8312.0077233515771-0.177723351577095
2211.9111.9283357383719-0.0183357383718956
2311.9312.1196455531877-0.189645553187717
2411.9911.94173759810860.0482624018913977
2511.9612.0710386527622-0.111038652762163
2612.1211.95459397373950.165406026260534
2711.8512.1646022280797-0.314602228079691
2812.0111.91135218661580.0986478133842468
2912.112.00176944836010.0982305516398636
3012.2112.15837002997980.0516299700202403
3112.3112.15337346201730.156626537982714
3212.3112.27837546703060.0316245329694489
3312.3912.3732927287820.0167072712179657
3412.3512.4291990002649-0.0791990002649374
3512.4112.569684282872-0.159684282871956
3612.5112.42672566871760.0832743312823911
3712.2712.5686818630047-0.29868186300469
3812.5112.34735036190590.162649638094125
3912.4412.5199970337116-0.0799970337116029
4012.4712.44567593292370.0243240670762539
4112.5112.4888895809650.0211104190349634
4212.5812.5915512887833-0.0115512887832718
4312.512.5500155338746-0.0500155338746442
4412.5212.5267380025619-0.00673800256186752
4512.5912.58697384375540.0030261562445606
4612.5112.6182144371985-0.10821443719847
4712.6712.7245765394072-0.0545765394072468
4812.6412.6570036828195-0.0170036828194835
4912.5412.699532257599-0.159532257599045
5012.612.59072660413540.00927339586463738
5112.6712.63901123194890.030988768051138
5212.6212.6345316209449-0.0145316209449291
5312.7212.6440169466420.0759830533579695
5412.8512.77206262411120.0779373758887569
5512.8512.77977332310950.0702266768904956
5612.8212.8337079643225-0.0137079643225064
5712.7912.8877001170889-0.0977001170888965
5812.9412.84245661595040.0975433840495743
5912.7113.0836097379521-0.373609737952123
6012.5612.8075531186854-0.247553118685399







Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
6112.680381599202512.42442559415212.9363376042531
6212.675011302590712.368096567862312.9819260373191
6312.709175416371412.35556418065713.0627866520859
6412.671516138549212.273867156988413.0691651201099
6512.686214252479512.246297720559813.1261307843992
6612.754057342923212.273094855084413.235019830762
6712.697771091253212.176620179696713.2189220028097
6812.685843117828912.125106896504413.2465793391534
6912.727788032858712.127884784242913.3276912814745
7012.744946277700212.106155899622713.3837366557777
7112.877463568008312.199959834215213.5549673018015
7212.841783447451812.125657148980713.557909745923

\begin{tabular}{lllllllll}
\hline
Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing \tabularnewline
t & Forecast & 95% Lower Bound & 95% Upper Bound \tabularnewline
61 & 12.6803815992025 & 12.424425594152 & 12.9363376042531 \tabularnewline
62 & 12.6750113025907 & 12.3680965678623 & 12.9819260373191 \tabularnewline
63 & 12.7091754163714 & 12.355564180657 & 13.0627866520859 \tabularnewline
64 & 12.6715161385492 & 12.2738671569884 & 13.0691651201099 \tabularnewline
65 & 12.6862142524795 & 12.2462977205598 & 13.1261307843992 \tabularnewline
66 & 12.7540573429232 & 12.2730948550844 & 13.235019830762 \tabularnewline
67 & 12.6977710912532 & 12.1766201796967 & 13.2189220028097 \tabularnewline
68 & 12.6858431178289 & 12.1251068965044 & 13.2465793391534 \tabularnewline
69 & 12.7277880328587 & 12.1278847842429 & 13.3276912814745 \tabularnewline
70 & 12.7449462777002 & 12.1061558996227 & 13.3837366557777 \tabularnewline
71 & 12.8774635680083 & 12.1999598342152 & 13.5549673018015 \tabularnewline
72 & 12.8417834474518 & 12.1256571489807 & 13.557909745923 \tabularnewline
\hline
\end{tabular}
%Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=167075&T=3

[TABLE]
[ROW][C]Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]t[/C][C]Forecast[/C][C]95% Lower Bound[/C][C]95% Upper Bound[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]61[/C][C]12.6803815992025[/C][C]12.424425594152[/C][C]12.9363376042531[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]62[/C][C]12.6750113025907[/C][C]12.3680965678623[/C][C]12.9819260373191[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]63[/C][C]12.7091754163714[/C][C]12.355564180657[/C][C]13.0627866520859[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]64[/C][C]12.6715161385492[/C][C]12.2738671569884[/C][C]13.0691651201099[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]65[/C][C]12.6862142524795[/C][C]12.2462977205598[/C][C]13.1261307843992[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]66[/C][C]12.7540573429232[/C][C]12.2730948550844[/C][C]13.235019830762[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]67[/C][C]12.6977710912532[/C][C]12.1766201796967[/C][C]13.2189220028097[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]68[/C][C]12.6858431178289[/C][C]12.1251068965044[/C][C]13.2465793391534[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]69[/C][C]12.7277880328587[/C][C]12.1278847842429[/C][C]13.3276912814745[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]70[/C][C]12.7449462777002[/C][C]12.1061558996227[/C][C]13.3837366557777[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]71[/C][C]12.8774635680083[/C][C]12.1999598342152[/C][C]13.5549673018015[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]72[/C][C]12.8417834474518[/C][C]12.1256571489807[/C][C]13.557909745923[/C][/ROW]
[/TABLE]
Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=167075&T=3

Globally Unique Identifier (entire table): ba.freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=167075&T=3

As an alternative you can also use a QR Code:  

The GUIDs for individual cells are displayed in the table below:

Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
6112.680381599202512.42442559415212.9363376042531
6212.675011302590712.368096567862312.9819260373191
6312.709175416371412.35556418065713.0627866520859
6412.671516138549212.273867156988413.0691651201099
6512.686214252479512.246297720559813.1261307843992
6612.754057342923212.273094855084413.235019830762
6712.697771091253212.176620179696713.2189220028097
6812.685843117828912.125106896504413.2465793391534
6912.727788032858712.127884784242913.3276912814745
7012.744946277700212.106155899622713.3837366557777
7112.877463568008312.199959834215213.5549673018015
7212.841783447451812.125657148980713.557909745923



Parameters (Session):
par1 = 12 ; par2 = Triple ; par3 = additive ;
Parameters (R input):
par1 = 12 ; par2 = Triple ; par3 = additive ;
R code (references can be found in the software module):
par1 <- as.numeric(par1)
if (par2 == 'Single') K <- 1
if (par2 == 'Double') K <- 2
if (par2 == 'Triple') K <- par1
nx <- length(x)
nxmK <- nx - K
x <- ts(x, frequency = par1)
if (par2 == 'Single') fit <- HoltWinters(x, gamma=F, beta=F)
if (par2 == 'Double') fit <- HoltWinters(x, gamma=F)
if (par2 == 'Triple') fit <- HoltWinters(x, seasonal=par3)
fit
myresid <- x - fit$fitted[,'xhat']
bitmap(file='test1.png')
op <- par(mfrow=c(2,1))
plot(fit,ylab='Observed (black) / Fitted (red)',main='Interpolation Fit of Exponential Smoothing')
plot(myresid,ylab='Residuals',main='Interpolation Prediction Errors')
par(op)
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test2.png')
p <- predict(fit, par1, prediction.interval=TRUE)
np <- length(p[,1])
plot(fit,p,ylab='Observed (black) / Fitted (red)',main='Extrapolation Fit of Exponential Smoothing')
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test3.png')
op <- par(mfrow = c(2,2))
acf(as.numeric(myresid),lag.max = nx/2,main='Residual ACF')
spectrum(myresid,main='Residals Periodogram')
cpgram(myresid,main='Residal Cumulative Periodogram')
qqnorm(myresid,main='Residual Normal QQ Plot')
qqline(myresid)
par(op)
dev.off()
load(file='createtable')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing',2,TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Parameter',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Value',header=TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'alpha',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,fit$alpha)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'beta',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,fit$beta)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'gamma',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,fit$gamma)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable.tab')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing',4,TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'t',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Observed',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Fitted',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Residuals',header=TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
for (i in 1:nxmK) {
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,i+K,header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,x[i+K])
a<-table.element(a,fit$fitted[i,'xhat'])
a<-table.element(a,myresid[i])
a<-table.row.end(a)
}
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable1.tab')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing',4,TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'t',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Forecast',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'95% Lower Bound',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'95% Upper Bound',header=TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
for (i in 1:np) {
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,nx+i,header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,p[i,'fit'])
a<-table.element(a,p[i,'lwr'])
a<-table.element(a,p[i,'upr'])
a<-table.row.end(a)
}
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable2.tab')