| Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
| Parameter | Value |
| alpha | 0.999958201984458 |
| beta | FALSE |
| gamma | FALSE |
| Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
| 2 | 164.28 | 163.93 | 0.349999999999994 |
| 3 | 164.58 | 164.279985370695 | 0.300014629305451 |
| 4 | 165.97 | 164.579987459984 | 1.39001254001613 |
| 5 | 166.3 | 165.969941900234 | 0.330058099765751 |
| 6 | 166.27 | 166.299986204226 | -0.0299862042264181 |
| 7 | 166.27 | 166.270001253364 | -1.25336381984198e-06 |
| 8 | 166.44 | 166.270000000052 | 0.169999999947606 |
| 9 | 166.26 | 166.439992894337 | -0.179992894337374 |
| 10 | 166.64 | 166.260007523346 | 0.379992476654195 |
| 11 | 166.07 | 166.639984117069 | -0.569984117068543 |
| 12 | 166.19 | 166.070023824205 | 0.119976175795017 |
| 13 | 166.19 | 166.189994985234 | 5.01476606018514e-06 |
| 14 | 166.19 | 166.18999999979 | 2.0961010704923e-10 |
| 15 | 166.35 | 166.19 | 0.159999999999997 |
| 16 | 166.52 | 166.349993312318 | 0.170006687682502 |
| 17 | 167.17 | 166.519992894058 | 0.650007105942137 |
| 18 | 167.16 | 167.169972830993 | -0.00997283099286506 |
| 19 | 167.16 | 167.160000416845 | -4.16844557094009e-07 |
| 20 | 167.16 | 167.160000000017 | -1.74225078808377e-11 |
| 21 | 167.39 | 167.16 | 0.22999999999999 |
| 22 | 168.46 | 167.389990386456 | 1.07000961354359 |
| 23 | 168.55 | 168.459955275722 | 0.0900447242784708 |
| 24 | 168.58 | 168.549996236309 | 0.0300037636907859 |
| 25 | 168.58 | 168.579998745902 | 1.25409778206631e-06 |
| 26 | 169.21 | 168.579999999948 | 0.630000000052405 |
| 27 | 169.29 | 169.20997366725 | 0.0800263327497817 |
| 28 | 169.24 | 169.289996655058 | -0.049996655058095 |
| 29 | 169.53 | 169.240002089761 | 0.289997910239038 |
| 30 | 169.57 | 169.529987878663 | 0.0400121213371563 |
| 31 | 169.57 | 169.569998327573 | 1.67242725979122e-06 |
| 32 | 169.67 | 169.56999999993 | 0.100000000069912 |
| 33 | 170.04 | 169.669995820198 | 0.370004179801555 |
| 34 | 170.39 | 170.03998453456 | 0.350015465440464 |
| 35 | 170.57 | 170.389985370048 | 0.18001462995187 |
| 36 | 170.48 | 170.569992475746 | -0.0899924757457029 |
| 37 | 170.48 | 170.480003761507 | -3.76150688907728e-06 |
| 38 | 170.48 | 170.480000000157 | -1.57228896568995e-10 |
| 39 | 170.49 | 170.48 | 0.0100000000000193 |
| 40 | 170.72 | 170.48999958202 | 0.230000417980136 |
| 41 | 171.11 | 170.719990386439 | 0.390009613561062 |
| 42 | 171.07 | 171.109983698372 | -0.03998369837214 |
| 43 | 171.07 | 171.070001671239 | -1.67123923233703e-06 |
| 44 | 171.07 | 171.07000000007 | -6.98605617799331e-11 |
| 45 | 171.05 | 171.07 | -0.0199999999999818 |
| 46 | 172.28 | 171.05000083596 | 1.22999916403967 |
| 47 | 172.74 | 172.279948588476 | 0.460051411524177 |
| 48 | 172.86 | 172.739980770764 | 0.12001922923605 |
| 49 | 172.86 | 172.859994983434 | 5.01656560913943e-06 |
| 50 | 173.24 | 172.85999999979 | 0.380000000209691 |
| 51 | 173.2 | 173.239984116754 | -0.0399841167541126 |
| 52 | 173.38 | 173.200001671257 | 0.179998328743267 |
| 53 | 172.89 | 173.379992476427 | -0.489992476427062 |
| 54 | 172.98 | 172.890020480713 | 0.0899795192868567 |
| 55 | 172.98 | 172.979996239035 | 3.76096534182579e-06 |
| 56 | 172.69 | 172.979999999843 | -0.289999999842792 |
| 57 | 172.77 | 172.690012121425 | 0.0799878785755084 |
| 58 | 172.65 | 172.769996656665 | -0.119996656665421 |
| 59 | 172.3 | 172.650005015622 | -0.350005015622116 |
| 60 | 172.17 | 172.300014629515 | -0.130014629515102 |
| Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
| 61 | 172.170005434353 | 171.501332963851 | 172.838677904856 |
| 62 | 172.170005434353 | 171.224379520633 | 173.115631348074 |
| 63 | 172.170005434353 | 171.011863014532 | 173.328147854175 |
| 64 | 172.170005434353 | 170.832702416903 | 173.507308451804 |
| 65 | 172.170005434353 | 170.674858332436 | 173.665152536271 |
| 66 | 172.170005434353 | 170.532156127407 | 173.8078547413 |
| 67 | 172.170005434353 | 170.400927751448 | 173.939083117259 |
| 68 | 172.170005434353 | 170.27878325173 | 174.061227616977 |
| 69 | 172.170005434353 | 170.164062553826 | 174.175948314881 |
| 70 | 172.170005434353 | 170.055556963515 | 174.284453905192 |
| 71 | 172.170005434353 | 169.952354011852 | 174.387656856855 |
| 72 | 172.170005434353 | 169.853744799707 | 174.486266069 |
