Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha0.809356675163719
beta0.129073905393437
gammaFALSE


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
388.4988.420.0699999999999932
488.3386.29396764514582.03603235485417
587.785.9718545398981.72814546010196
687.3385.58108499385951.74891500614045
787.3385.3898290197911.94017098020896
887.3385.55605085098381.7739491490162
985.4785.7730587722573-0.303058772257259
1086.184.27736687977221.82263312022775
1186.184.69252260852021.40747739147982
1286.1384.91870397402251.21129602597746
1383.3185.112644894107-1.80264489410705
1483.3182.67891601982190.631083980178147
1583.5582.28086919640711.2691308035929
1684.1182.53181189658741.57818810341263
1784.1183.19776048883070.912239511169346
1877.5983.4200179097485-5.83001790974852
1977.5977.57634080945840.0136591905416452
2076.4476.4637097100836-0.0237097100835797
2172.7175.3183569633646-2.60835696336463
2272.971.80861593382271.09138406617734
2372.3971.40729843326180.982701566738228
2472.4671.02067774079251.43932225920754
2572.4871.15398748312521.32601251687475
2672.4871.33411354923351.14588645076645
2772.4871.48816050288790.991839497112124
2872.371.62114285139030.678857148609694
2972.371.57172889917080.728271100829161
3072.371.63838863006730.6616113699327
3171.1471.7202133032689-0.580213303268906
3271.1470.73634584510270.403654154897268
3368.9970.5909465504148-1.60094655041476
3468.4268.6558644876548-0.235864487654837
3568.4267.80098068992760.619019310072403
3669.2867.70266978350551.57733021649454
3765.2268.5447528887999-3.32475288879991
3870.2165.07197592603225.1380240739678
3970.2168.98535706014641.22464293985364
4071.269.85935161294151.34064838705852
4168.9470.9672892317982-2.02728923179816
4268.9469.1375795840039-0.197579584003904
4368.9368.76811714105840.161882858941624
4468.9368.70649941438780.2235005856122
4568.9368.71810080310010.21189919689995
4668.9368.74244896714380.187551032856177
4759.9468.7666836433788-8.82668364337879
4861.0460.57309168046350.466908319536465
4960.259.9501068395860.249893160414025
5060.259.17758487659831.02241512340167
5160.1259.13711718480170.982882815198273
5260.2559.16733240441371.08266759558633
5358.0359.391411950432-1.36141195043204
5462.3757.49513701465724.87486298534277
5562.1661.15549429405471.00450570594533
5662.1661.78828959782610.371710402173932
5762.1661.9477592047260.212240795274042
5862.1662.00033314322090.159666856779133
5962.2962.02703590354720.262964096452784
6064.3962.16481399907962.22518600092036


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
6164.123187611967560.112955769003568.1334194549315
6264.280592081529658.848136295737669.7130478673216
6364.437996551091757.641879722078771.2341133801046
6464.595401020653856.443109393526772.7476926477808
6564.752805490215855.230171642515674.2754393379161
6664.910209959777953.99232056223975.8280993573169
6765.0676144293452.723784620699277.4114442379809
6865.225018898902151.421358267999479.0286795298049
6965.382423368464250.083271059443780.6815756774847
7065.539827838026348.708601112041982.3710545640107
7165.697232307588447.296948150375984.0975164648009
7265.854636777150545.848241091245285.8610324630558